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-   -   We are all Slave now. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=882)

Icky Thump 01-15-2019 03:08 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 520325)
Have you looked at all at the Green New Deal? I have problems with parts of it, but I think it's actually something geared towards what you are talking about.

I think that AOC and new colleagues are approaching things VASTLY differently than their predecessors. And people are listening.

Tax the fucking rich. F. T. W.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-15-2019 03:32 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520366)
She’s green but incredibly savvy, and as Trump has proven it’s largely about the cult of personality. She works media like a rock star. Let her be one.

If we've learned anything in the last ten years, it's that we need Presidents who are larger than life figures, Presidents who will solve all of our problems without the messy process of negotiation and building consensus and policy and the law and all of that other shit no one wants to think about. Find the personality, form your cult, and Bob's your uncle.

ThurgreedMarshall 01-15-2019 03:47 PM

Bingo!
 
https://scontent-ort2-1.xx.fbcdn.net...75&oe=5CC21DD7

TM

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 01-15-2019 03:54 PM

Re: Bingo!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 520369)

Where are the squares for Charles Murray "Whites are inherently smarter than blacks" and the "I don't see why rich black kids should have preference in college admissions"....

Tyrone Slothrop 01-15-2019 04:16 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Why is Labour calling a no-confidence vote if they don't think they'll win it?

Adder 01-15-2019 05:10 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520371)
Why is Labour calling a no-confidence vote if they don't think they'll win it?

Corbin is a moron?

Like, seriously. They could have spent the last two years or whatever organizing around how brexit is stupid and harmful and (at minimum) the wrong approach to the problems that voters were concerned about he be in a position to win big majorities. If nothing else, be the opposition.

Instead, he’s gitthey standing for nothing.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-15-2019 05:55 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 520372)
Corbin is a moron?

Like, seriously. They could have spent the last two years or whatever organizing around how brexit is stupid and harmful and (at minimum) the wrong approach to the problems that voters were concerned about he be in a position to win big majorities. If nothing else, be the opposition.

Instead, he’s gitthey standing for nothing.

It appears to me that there are three substantial groups of voters in the UK: Those who are for Remain, those who are for Brexit, and those who are for Brexit under notional conditions that will never come to pass in the real world. None has a majority. So there's a majority for Brexit in the abstract, but a majority against May's Brexit plan.

Hank Chinaski 01-15-2019 07:03 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520373)
It appears to me that there are three substantial groups of voters in the UK: Those who are for Remain, those who are for Brexit, and those who are for Brexit under notional conditions that will never come to pass in the real world. None has a majority. So there's a majority for Brexit in the abstract, but a majority against May's Brexit plan.

What specific things wrecked this, or what your third group wants? Was Brexit passed by a large margin?

Tyrone Slothrop 01-15-2019 10:36 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 520374)
What specific things wrecked this, or what your third group wants? Was Brexit passed by a large margin?

The Brexit referendum passed by a non-large margin, but Theresa May's proposal today got crushed in Parliament. If you assume that Parliament represents the country on this, which it may not, then many Britons are for the abstract idea of Brexit, but against the actual Brexit deal which this government has been able to negotiate. Anyone who has been paying attention has to believe that the May government has done about what could be expected, given that it has no leverage vis-a-vis the other 27 EU member states. So the problem is that there are many Britons who like and voted for some notional Brexit, but who don't like actual Brexit.

eta: Sort of like the way that Donald Trump got enough votes to win against Hillary, but most of the country has been unhappy with him. Sort of.

eata: https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/Eu8AA...88K/s-l500.jpg

Adder 01-16-2019 11:09 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520373)
It appears to me that there are three substantial groups of voters in the UK: Those who are for Remain, those who are for Brexit, and those who are for Brexit under notional conditions that will never come to pass in the real world. None has a majority. So there's a majority for Brexit in the abstract, but a majority against May's Brexit plan.

Right, the job is to move the third group to Labour. I’m not close enough to know whether that’s by pushing the impossibility of a deal those voters will like, the harms of a bad deal or the positives of remaining, but Corbyn’s “I’m secretly for Brexit” doesn’t seem to be working.

Adder 01-16-2019 11:21 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Confidential to Hank: have you explored whether Guernica was inspired by Gaudi’s iron work, in particular on the balconies of La Pedrera?

Tyrone Slothrop 01-16-2019 11:24 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 520392)
Right, the job is to move the third group to Labour. I’m not close enough to know whether that’s by pushing the impossibility of a deal those voters will like, the harms of a bad deal or the positives of remaining, but Corbyn’s “I’m secretly for Brexit” doesn’t seem to be working.

Corbyn appears to be part of the problem rather than part of the solution.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-16-2019 11:44 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520391)
The Brexit referendum passed by a non-large margin, but Theresa May's proposal today got crushed in Parliament. If you assume that Parliament represents the country on this, which it may not, then many Britons are for the abstract idea of Brexit, but against the actual Brexit deal which this government has been able to negotiate. Anyone who has been paying attention has to believe that the May government has done about what could be expected, given that it has no leverage vis-a-vis the other 27 EU member states. So the problem is that there are many Britons who like and voted for some notional Brexit, but who don't like actual Brexit.

eta: Sort of like the way that Donald Trump got enough votes to win against Hillary, but most of the country has been unhappy with him. Sort of.

eata: https://i.ebayimg.com/images/g/Eu8AA...88K/s-l500.jpg

Some majority of Britons appear to want the trade advantages of the EU without the liberal immigration. The EU has to take an all-in or all-out posture. Otherwise, every other country can arm-twist for a bespoke “membership.”

What will be interesting is if a no deal Brexit proceeds and somehow the economic impact to GB is not as significant as expected. This would embolden problem debtor nations in the EU to push against austerity dictates from Brussels. The EU could run into enforcement problems regarding other members if GB survives a hard Brexit.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-16-2019 05:16 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Pelosi knows how to play the game, and the reporters who said she was "asking" the White House to do anything should go back to school to learn what's what.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-16-2019 07:16 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520396)
Pelosi knows how to play the game, and the reporters who said she was "asking" the White House to do anything should go back to school to learn what's what.

One more norm violated.

Good move on her part. Fight fire with fire.

He’ll say he doesn’t care and try to do it live from Oval. Winners: Networks. Losers: Everybody else.

But this and Cohen’s testimony look to be some wild entertainment. Pathetic, but also weirdly fascinating.

Hank Chinaski 01-16-2019 07:20 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520396)
Pelosi knows how to play the game, and the reporters who said she was "asking" the White House to do anything should go back to school to learn what's what.

"play the game?" as to Trump? GTFOH. Do you remember trying to deal with Penske socks? Knowing how to play the game helped how?

Tyrone Slothrop 01-16-2019 07:35 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520397)
One more norm violated.

Good move on her part. Fight fire with fire.

He’ll say he doesn’t care and try to do it live from Oval. Winners: Networks. Losers: Everybody else.

But this and Cohen’s testimony look to be some wild entertainment. Pathetic, but also weirdly fascinating.

I see shutting down the government as violating a norm, and pretending that things continue normally when it's shut down as additional violation. So in that sense, saying that the speech should wait until the government is open seems restorative. Not sure that the shutdown will go another two weeks, so I would not be surprised if there's a deal before then and that even if Trump backs down, his getting to do the SOTU on the original date will be painted (by him) as Pelosi caving.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-17-2019 11:12 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520399)
I see shutting down the government as violating a norm, and pretending that things continue normally when it's shut down as additional violation. So in that sense, saying that the speech should wait until the government is open seems restorative. Not sure that the shutdown will go another two weeks, so I would not be surprised if there's a deal before then and that even if Trump backs down, his getting to do the SOTU on the original date will be painted (by him) as Pelosi caving.

Don't think I view Pelosi as the norm violator here. I'm just citing the fact that in this bizarre set of affairs, another norm (that the President give a SOTU before Congress) has been violated. Has that ever happened before?

I think Pelosi was smart to do what she did. I'd have done the same. You can't give a bully a pedestal to make a political speech to Congress lambasting half the room for refusing to get behind his request for $5bil for a wall that is never going to be built and even if it were going to be built would be largely futile.

The abnormality here isn't that the govt is shut down. That's happened quite a few times before. The abnormality is that the govt is shutdown over something that is a pure political stunt. At least in the past when it was shut down, there was a real dispute, an actual disagreement over something that was going to happen. The wall is complete fiction. From a construction standpoint it cannot be built. This dispute might as well be over whether Congress will allocate funds for Trump to build time machines.

Adder 01-17-2019 11:31 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520402)
Don't think I view Pelosi as the norm violator here. I'm just citing the fact that in this bizarre set of affairs, another norm (that the President give a SOTU before Congress) has been violated. Has that ever happened before?
.

Per Pelosi’s letter, sotu messGeswere given in writings til the Wilson administration.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-17-2019 11:46 AM

Yup
 
But we'll never do this because it gives up guaranteed revenue streams for states and local govts.

https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/e...nal-licensing/

sebastian_dangerfield 01-17-2019 11:57 AM

I'd like to buy the world a shave...
 
this = this

Tyrone Slothrop 01-17-2019 01:01 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520402)
The abnormality here isn't that the govt is shut down. That's happened quite a few times before. The abnormality is that the govt is shutdown over something that is a pure political stunt. At least in the past when it was shut down, there was a real dispute, an actual disagreement over something that was going to happen. The wall is complete fiction. From a construction standpoint it cannot be built. This dispute might as well be over whether Congress will allocate funds for Trump to build time machines.

Trump and the Republicans are taking hostages to try to get leverage to do something that is unpopular. They have done this before. Negotiating with them encourages them to do it again.

The way this should end is with a bigger deal that gives both the GOP and Democrats a win on something they care about. But the wall is about dominance for Trump, and he is too worried about being criticized by the right wing of his party.

LessinSF 01-17-2019 03:48 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520397)
One more norm violated.

Good move on her part. Fight fire with fire.

He’ll say he doesn’t care and try to do it live from Oval. Winners: Networks. Losers: Everybody else.

But this and Cohen’s testimony look to be some wild entertainment. Pathetic, but also weirdly fascinating.

Trump Fires Back. This is childish, on both sides.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-17-2019 04:28 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 520407)
Trump Fires Back. This is childish, on both sides.

Pelosi's move left open the possibility that they could strike a deal and Trump would then get to do his speech. No one really cares if Pelosi goes to Afghanistan -- it's just petty.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-17-2019 05:32 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 520407)
Trump Fires Back. This is childish, on both sides.

I guess I stand corrected. I still think it was wise to preclude him from using SOTU before Congress to grandstand and attack.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-17-2019 05:58 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520406)
Trump and the Republicans are taking hostages to try to get leverage to do something that is unpopular. They have done this before. Negotiating with them encourages them to do it again.

The way this should end is with a bigger deal that gives both the GOP and Democrats a win on something they care about. But the wall is about dominance for Trump, and he is too worried about being criticized by the right wing of his party.

Agreed. But the way the immigration issue should end is with a deal for sensible reform coupled with some more robust security at borders. Everyone gets something.

$5.7 billion for a wall is a Monty Python skit. He should be mocked openly and regularly for this.

LessinSF 01-17-2019 06:45 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
As always, Nevada never disappoints - https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...b08aaf7a86b9e4

Tyrone Slothrop 01-17-2019 06:55 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520410)
Agreed. But the way the immigration issue should end is with a deal for sensible reform coupled with some more robust security at borders. Everyone gets something.

Yes, but Trump's minority wants to end immigration, not reform it, and they also want to stick it to the libs, so there is no deal they can accept.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-17-2019 08:55 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520412)
Yes, but Trump's minority wants to end immigration, not reform it, and they also want to stick it to the libs, so there is no deal they can accept.

Agreed. But politics has a finish line. This nonsense has to end for economic reasons. You’ve had your fun, Donald. Now capitulate, and Nancy, give him a face-saving exit.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-17-2019 11:36 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520413)
Agreed. But politics has a finish line. This nonsense has to end for economic reasons. You’ve had your fun, Donald. Now capitulate, and Nancy, give him a face-saving exit.

Forgive me if I'm repeating myself, but if they can cut a quick deal, the Donald can do the SOTU on the original date and say that Nancy backed down on that.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-18-2019 09:11 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520414)
Forgive me if I'm repeating myself, but if they can cut a quick deal, the Donald can do the SOTU on the original date and say that Nancy backed down on that.

That doesn't save face. She needs to give him a few dollars plus some future commitment to enhanced border security (that'll ultimately never happen).

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 01-18-2019 10:05 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520415)
That doesn't save face. She needs to give him a few dollars plus some future commitment to enhanced border security (that'll ultimately never happen).

I think the Mutha Fucka needs to start getting rid of some of the alligators he's let loose so he can focus on his criminal and impeachment defenses.

He needs to beg for mercy. He's just so fucked. It's so bad that even Buzzfeed is getting in body blows.

Adder 01-18-2019 10:35 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520415)
That doesn't save face. She needs to give him a few dollars plus some future commitment to enhanced border security (that'll ultimately never happen).

They gave him more than that. He said no in order to try further restrict legal immigration. He showed bad faith on a deal already, he needs to eat the loss.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-18-2019 11:33 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520415)
That doesn't save face. She needs to give him a few dollars plus some future commitment to enhanced border security (that'll ultimately never happen).

No doubt, it needs to be part of a larger deal.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-18-2019 11:34 AM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 520416)
I think the Mutha Fucka needs to start getting rid of some of the alligators he's let loose so he can focus on his criminal and impeachment defenses.

He needs to beg for mercy. He's just so fucked. It's so bad that even Buzzfeed is getting in body blows.

Sebastian, still wondering if you think there's nothing to the Russia story.

eta: Someone I don't know on Twitter:

Imagine 10 years ago getting this fortune cookie: *Buzzfeed* News will break the story on President *Trump* obstructing justice to conceal *collusion with Russia*

LessinSF 01-18-2019 12:58 PM

Bexit Signage
 
Ha.

Hank Chinaski 01-18-2019 02:53 PM

Re: Bexit Signage
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 520420)

Too wordy.

Hank (the only one here to ever make the New Yorker Caption Contest finals) Chinaski

sebastian_dangerfield 01-18-2019 04:25 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 520416)
I think the Mutha Fucka needs to start getting rid of some of the alligators he's let loose so he can focus on his criminal and impeachment defenses.

He needs to beg for mercy. He's just so fucked. It's so bad that even Buzzfeed is getting in body blows.

He can’t beg. Alienates the rabid base. He’s going to keep swinging and deny everything Cohen says.

Expect him to appeal to the base even more. I think his only way out is to do what Stone recommended: Galvanize his followers and create the fear his impeachment would create widespread social unrest. Only problem for Trump there is that this idiotic shutdown is hurting that base.

He’s at war on all fronts. One of the toughest enemies, perhaps the toughest, is his own impulsivity.

sebastian_dangerfield 01-18-2019 04:29 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520419)
Sebastian, still wondering if you think there's nothing to the Russia story.

eta: Someone I don't know on Twitter:

Imagine 10 years ago getting this fortune cookie: *Buzzfeed* News will break the story on President *Trump* obstructing justice to conceal *collusion with Russia*

I don’t think there will be collusion involving him directly. I think this latest Cohen admission is Trump trying to cover up a business deal that might create a conflict of interest investigation. That’s different from collusion.

It’s a classic “cover up is worse than crime” scenario.

I think he’s just dumb enough to have had no idea there was a crime/fraud exception to atty/client privilege, or that Cohen could be made to talk.

Tyrone Slothrop 01-18-2019 04:43 PM

Re: We are all Slave now.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520423)
I don’t think there will be collusion involving him directly. I think this latest Cohen admission is Trump trying to cover up a business deal that might create a conflict of interest investigation. That’s different from collusion.

It’s a classic “cover up is worse than crime” scenario.

I think he’s just dumb enough to have had no idea there was a crime/fraud exception to atty/client privilege, or that Cohen could be made to talk.

Since the word "collusion" is ambiguous, it's hard for me to tell what you think we're not going to find. The big picture is that Trump had financial dealings with the Russians, directly involving the Russian government, for some time, and at the same time has used his position (as a candidate and as the President) to benefit Russia. Are you saying there won't be proof of an express quid pro quo? If there isn't, and there is proof that (e.g.) Trump told Cohen to lie to Congress, it's not that the cover-up is *worse* than the crime -- the crime is still worse, but he gets nailed for the things that prosecutors can prove.

Anyway, the idea that there's no evidence of collusion is laughable. It's right in front of us.


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