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			| Spanky | 03-09-2005 06:51 PM |  
 Central America
 
	Quote: 
	
		| Originally posted by Tyrone Slothrop
 OK, I'm trying to follow.  Right-wing dictatorships show good economic growth and eventually turn into democracies, except when they are kleptocracies and don't, except that some kleptocracies (like the Phillipines) do evolve into democracies.  Communist regimes do not show good economic growth and do not turn into democracies, except that some liberalize their economic policy and do experience rapid growth (like China and Vietnam).  These countries are going to turn into democracies soon, notwithstanding whatever their leaders might try to do about it.
 
 |  First of all you are using the logic that one exception disproves the rule.  This is not Geometry, it is politics.  You can't say - the theory that democracy is good is wrong because democratic Germany produced Nazi Germany.    
 
Second - it is not right wing dictatorships - whatever the hell that means - it is pro-growth dictatorships.  A kleptocracy is very different from a pro-growth dictatorship.  Yes - sometimes a kleptocracy can turn into a democracy - but in the Philippines it came with US intervention and the resulting democracy is very unstable. 
 
Third - Before Russia buckled no communist dictatorships turned into democracies. After Russia buckled some did.  But many held on by keeping their countries poor - Cuba, North Korea, Burma and Vietnam.  
 
After the end of the cold war it became obvious that socialism does not work.  Cuba, North Korea and Burma all ignored the message.  However, China decided, hey, lets switch to Capitalism.  For once a Communist dictatorship decided to do the right thing.  So China is now a pro-growth dictatorship.  Vietnam following China's example, experimented with free markets, but changed its mind after it saw the political instability free markets caused.  
 
And yes - China will become more Democratic the larger its middle class gets.
 
Because almost all of the other progrowth dictatorships go democratic - Spain, Portugal, Chile, Taiwan, Thailand, South Korea, Indoneisa, Malaysia etc. |