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As another example in NY Johnson and Stein got 90,000 votes in 2012. They combined for 290,000 in 2016. The difference is that NY was blue enough to cover for the addled brainers. We were apparently not blue enough. But it wasn't "Joe Sixpack." It was people who saw the two real candidates as effectively the same. |
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Why doesn't Sebby get it yet? How thick is he? The people who got us Trump are the one's who bitch and moan about "both parties" and protest votes and such. Yes, Sebby, your vote matters, even when you throw it away. Anyway, preach brother. |
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Yes, when pushed, you acknowledge that the rich use government to serve their self-interest. You don't seem to get that this undercuts the argument (which you described and seem to believe) that the poor should not be allowed to use government to serve their self-interest. The implication here -- and it's a fiction -- is that the rich use their control over the government in a neutral, selfless way that the poor would corrupt. "We can't let the poor into the club -- they'll eat all the pie." That pie is getting eaten already, and what we're talking about is who gets to eat it, not whether there will be any left. Quote:
Alas, we have a two-party system that often lacks good solutions to hard problems. The Republicans are so committed to cutting taxes that they cannot offer solutions to problems which involve spending money, which is most of them. The Democrats often lack the courage of their convictions, and often struggle to propose solutions that will make a difference to ordinary people. Also, the nature of our government makes it hard to get things done, and people get frustrated with that. Quote:
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The good news is that we've put in place the right tools for next time. Oh. Wait. |
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And, in other cases, the government bailed out investors while middle-class homeowners took the hits. |
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But those days are long gone. And if we want to talk about whose dick is most prominently inserted in the poor's ass, the upper middle class and affluent-but-not-rich are the real culprits I see. The rich can pay greater taxes. It's the aspirant affluent who refuse to cough an extra $3k of their $600k salary because they want to use that money to put Mackenzie Childs doorknobs through the first floor, a liposuction tune-up, or bring the nanny along on summer vacation. Quote:
If you had immigrant grandparents who did alright here and were thankful for the opportunity, they probably drilled it into your head: "Treat people fairly, and don't draw attention to yourself." You hear anyone following that rule today? Quote:
The poor are often too harried by life, trying to simply survive, to avail themselves of educational opportunities which would give them a better grasp of the issues. Hence, they acquire the narrow view you describe. Again, the worst class are the non-earning members of the newly affluent. The spouses and children of docs, lawyers, small business owners... These people are often amazingly, shockingly incurious. And dull as all fuck. Quote:
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We've allowed the merchant class to morph into a rentier class. These people know no bounds. They are your Mnuchins, your Pruitts, your [Insert everybody on Wall Street in 2008]. They're blunt, thoughtless elitists. Nihilists, really. You don't get rid of these people, or their corrosive mindsets, with government policy giving the poor more power. You get rid of them with Great Depression level crisis that shocks some decency out of politicians and business people alike. You need an extreme event the forces politicians to elevate their sense of decency over their careers and say, "Wait minute. This is not America anymore. We need to stop this. We can't destroy the environment, create massive underclasses like Brazil, run a budget indistinguishable from that of a Banana Republic, and worship consumption. this degenerate behavior does not work." Quote:
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We're going to get it one way or another. 2008 is not over. Not by any stretch. Quote:
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(This version was rejected by Keith.) I want a pony. Quote:
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It's ultimately all of the classes working together to demand too much. A pincer effect where the rich create rules allowing them to avoid paying money to support the lower classes and the lower classes demand increasing benefits. The govt is left with no choice but to borrow. Quote:
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And we didn't have to nationalize the banks. We could have thrown them into some special receivership as a condition of the bailout. The 2008 crisis was an "ask forgiveness later rather than permission now" moment. We could have done anything we wanted, and creaming investors who deserved to lose along with the incompetents who ran those banks would have helped the bailout go through Congress. It would have sailed through on one vote rather than the two it ultimately required. And we could have paid the Goldman pricks .10 on the dollar on their AIG CDOs, rather than the .80 they received. That was fucking criminal. What fails needs to be left to fail or go through bankruptcy. The investors in those banks deserved to lose everything they'd invested in them. Saving their asses was an outrageous act of political favoritism. And a consequence is the cynicism you see today, manifesting itself in Trump and populism. |
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Nobody tells the non-connected kids life is a giant business development enterprise, and having an already deep Rolodex is worth 15 years of hard work. (And that one lucky break - meeting that life changing business connection at a party, or getting that $$$$$$$ case referral - is worth 30 years of hard work.) "It's random, hard work guarantees little, acumen is cheap, and who you know is paramount... Hope you picked your parents well," doesn't appear in any self help literature. But that's only because we're a full of shit culture that worships Horatio Alger myths, and pretends the Actual Rules don't apply. |
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and other than the depression it worked. the UAW kept demanding a bigger share, but that, in combination with Americans in steel and electronics and everything else still resulted in a middle class getting bigger. But at some point it become vulnerable, because it relied upon Americans buying American. By the late 70s american cars were for shit, and Japan blew the whole charade up because they sold for much less. And at some point the PA steelworker and Cali electronics worker bought a Datsun. And then UAW workers realized Japan made decent TVs. And pretty soon, for a US manufacturer to sell stuff they had to lower costs- they beat up their workers, and moved stuff to Mexico. Take a look at what happened to wages when GM spun off Delphi. And all the FB memes about how Reagan's tax cuts killed the middle class miss that the above happened at the same time. Of course manufacturers choose very low price foreign labor; their consumers won't buy their products otherwise. Henry Ford's workers knew better than to force such a result. |
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And to the extent that the white world followed the pattern you suggest, I think you're missing just how much all of that was about staving off the reds. We don't need a revolution. We need a credible threat of one. |
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And, actually, we had a way except that the Treasury secretary decided to try your way instead of further twisting arms to get someone to absorb Lehman and avoid the collapse. |
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I've just been engaged in a debate over maternity/paternity leave policies in an organization that has had trouble attracting women employees, for example, and while there is an abstract acknowledgement of the problem, an effort to address it that requires expenditure (or effort) just leads to a barrage of complaints. Sitting in on a lot of boards, there is a completely different approach to these issues when you have a board with women (those boards often see benefits as problems to solve to maximize value) and a board that is all men (which often see benefits, especially relating to childcare and healthcare, just as costs to minimize). |
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Ty's point on overt racism being a thing in the new conservatism is also right on point.
Also, I think the lack of forward movement on issues of both race and gender over the last generation is notable (with the sole exception of LGBT issues, where it has been a generation of great progress). Fundamentally, our kids are entering a workforce over the next decade or so that looks an awful lot like the workforce we entered, and there has not been a generation that has said that since the generation that killed reconstruction. But if you look at minority and women partners in law firms, for example, there has just not been much progress. |
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Almost certainly because I am older, I cannot agree that the workplace now is pretty much the same as the one my wife, esq., and I entered in the early '70s. Less than 3% of our law school class was women. Less than 1% were black. When my wife went to work at what was then a mid-size law firm on Wall Street, there were no women partners and she was the second woman associate. Black lawyers were mythical creatures on Wall Street. Is the profession where it should be on these issues? No. But it is far, far better than it was. |
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By the time I went to school, my law school was 51% women and the firm I went to had a number of great women partners, probably 5-10% of the partnership. Today, that firm may have broken 10% women partners, but if it has, it is just barely. The years between you and I were years of great progress, the years since - meh. |
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In that argument you have given ground and given ground, and now are explaining that while government does screw the poor, we shouldn't think about how the rich gobble the food at the table (we've moved from drinks to the meal now), but should focus on the upper middle-class and the crumbs they get. ("Not crumbs!" you're going to say. "It's a full meal. The rich aren't eating because they filled up at Masa before they came over, and they don't like the government grub." Go ahead, just say it.) What. ever. You are still saying, OK, so the government doesn't do anything for the lumpenproletariat but it just has to be that way because if it did, they'd drink us and eat us out of house and home, and then we'd have no democracy and we'd just be sitting by the side of the road, presumably without any of the benefits of the Schumpeterian destruction that you're otherwise always insisting is going to bring the phoenix-like rebirth of our economy -- somehow letting the government help poor people will nullify all of the advantages of heightening the contradictions. It's Marx for capitalists, I guess. Quote:
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Of course, if you announce that the things that some people need aren't "necessities" and so they don't get to submit their wish lists, then those people get screwed, relatively. Quote:
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In any crisis, the poor will be screwed most of all. Quote:
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All this class talk reminds me of my biggest class faux pas-
My first big law, I got into because they bought my new IP boutique. It was seriously white shoes. I came from pretty humble beginnings, recognizing others had less, but certainly I was in the more humble background side of that firm. I don't think they'd have hired me absent the merger. My first day there I met Lloyd. His grandfather started a major chemical company and sold it. He was head of associates. I was called into his office to learn about the firm. I sat at his desk and fell in love with his voice, and he had the best blue eyes. And he had Yale crew awards behind his desk. And all I knew was, I was in over my head. We brought in a patent client who was the son of a man who invented a machine that lead to a company that was sold for $X0000000000. That is, the son had the same background as Lloyd. He was starting a company to try to repeat his dad's success (crashed and burned and lost tons of money as it turned out), and he needed corporate/business help. My IP GP brought in Lloyd. To say the least the son and Lloyd had a lot in common, and saw really good people in each other. We're working together one day, and son steps out. Lloyd says to me, "Boy, that ____ is one helluva guy!" I said, "Yeah, I wished he'd adopt me." Turns out that isn't something one should say about one really rich kid to another really rich kid. I got a mean look from Lloyd:(:confused: |
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As for women, however, progress has been dramatic in those four (plus) decades. In my first year class there were about 5 women who graduated with that class. After my two year hiatus to the military, when I returned there were about a dozen women in what was then my second year class. At present women are in a majority at the school. I had a fellowship in my first year of school. It was named after the founder of an ultra white shoe Wall Street law firm. Today the managing partner of that firm is a woman. And while women in practice don't appear to have hit the 50% mark, two of the practice group leaders I deal with in nationwide law firms are women. On the four mega-cases I have had in the last decade, women outside counsel are involved at all levels. When I was GC of this shop, at one point the legal department had a majority of women. Ironically, that is no longer the case; although it is a woman GC who replaced me. So all in all, I see genuine, everyday progress for women in the practice of law. |
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On that particular article, it is interesting how heavily it focused on race as an issue. I have no doubt the racists were out in full force for Trump, but it's worth at least noting that the Dem's candidate was a woman and there were a shit-load of misogynists constantly focused on her. |
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In house jobs are really the only viable route for black attorneys. The way firms are structured and what they value means that black people will make only the slowest of steps toward progress. And what is the most annoying is that firms talk all that shit about wanting to be diverse but finding no candidates(!), but they consistently ignore the problem and/or shoo it off on the black associates and partners to solve when they are the fucking issue. Firms value business. Not surprising. But the path to business is either through family and friends connections, hustling, or being cultivated/inheriting/working on the firm's institutional business. Obviously given the state of our country and the place black people occupy in it, it is exceedingly rare for black attorneys to have access to the types of connections which yield business. Hustling is a fucking myth. We all know someone who we thought was out there networking and built a practice through hard work and effort, but it always turns out that whatever they bring in was through a relationship they have with a family member or friend from fucking high school or college (or one degree of separation from that scenario). That puts us back in the first bucket. (And please spare me the "But I know a guy who..." stories. I'm a corporate finance attorney. I inherited my main client and was lucky to do so. If you think I can go out there, meet decision makers at financial institutions, pitch them, woo them, whatever, and build a client base on my brains and hustle, you're delusional. I've done it all and the business goes to long-standing relationships amongst older white men. Period. End of story.) So what's left? Working on institutional clients, being cultivated, and inheriting business. This is where firms should be doing most of their work. But the people with the business are not interested in bringing along black associates (and if you're a black woman, you might as well get out before your 4th year, because you have no chance). And because of how firms are run--management is meaningless because all that matters is a big book--no one with business is ever held to account on how they pick who gets the work and who gets sponsored. If firms were smart, they would make people who do the work well, but who don't have the client connections to bring in business partners too. But firms aren't smart. They're greedy and selfish. That's the business model. Black people know there's no place in the partnership ranks for them by their second year. So they flee. So minority talent goes in house, where it's valued. And because companies have a diverse client base, they actively look to diversify their legal departments at much higher rates than firms. We are headed to a place where companies are starting to push firms to hire, retain, and promote diverse talent, but there is only so much pressure that can be exerted. I know for a fact that firms don't get business because they aren't diverse enough and they don't even know when it happens. And when you tell them, they don't believe it, don't want to believe it, or don't care because it doesn't affect their personal book (which is built on relationships between white men who don't give a fuck). So, what are the solutions? Here are a few:
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I see you've listed a bunch of anecdotal evidence supporting the "You've come a long way, baby" narrative. And I'm not denying that, when it comes to women, there have been some improvements. But if law school classes are now more female than male, then why is it that women only make up 35% of lawyers at law firms? And when it comes to who is actually making the money, women still only reflect 20% of law firm equity (and that hasn't changed much in awhile). Progress is stagnant and it's going to be for quite some time. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/24/b...-partners.html TM |
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Safe Spaces for White Men
I think this is an interesting idea. I worry, of course, because I know very few white men capable of guiding a discussion on diversity--especially one in which only white men are in attendance. But I like the fact that this is something that isn't driven by people of color and women. I do a lot of work in the diversity space and you can spot white men's feelings of being coerced into participation at every diversity function.
https://www.sfchronicle.com/business...photo-15419898 TM |
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My first biglaw, my entire class got turned down for partner at the last minute because "the firm wasn't doing well, and they needed to ensure that each current partner could expect a certain income." So they added a year to the track. A bit after that a young partner gave me a list of billings from the "current partners." It was full of deadwood. Guys who once had a promising practice but now had no work and did very little. there was the problem- people who wanted "assurance" they'd be paid, when their anemic practices were the problem. Meanwhile, my class? there were 7 of us. At first we'd been 50. Across 8 years they'd weeded us out. the associates who made it to the vote were 100% skilled and hard working. Yet they passed us over, rather than cut the comp for the real problem. BECAUSE the real problem had equity. The very clear business reality didn't matter. I'm not looking for a boo-hoo for me- just making the point Big Law cannot change, not to keep me, and likely not to adjust to a diverse culture. Point 2: I had no business or family connections- I'm from a lower middle class family. I tried "hustling" and got nowhere. Spent evenings at "Italian American Bar Association" meetings trying to network, only to see the dinner speaker talking about drunk driving defenses; meaning there was no possible connection there. I have had a great career because one young woman I was friends with got shit out of my biglaw and went in house. the first chance she had to send work, she was 100% on board with helping a young lawyer; my good fortune was she picked me. then she became a pinball bouncing between several big companies and always pulling me in- For all my BS, my practice is solely because someone decided to help another young lawyer, rather than a GP. Of course, being nice to people and "hoping someone with work picks you," isn't really a plan that can effect major social change. So it does fall back on the firms to recognize the client base is becoming diverse, so they'd be smart to do so. But again, see Point 1. the answer may be for in-house counsel to be willing to move away from big law and look to mid-size firms that have more ability to adjust to realities, and to look to build a firm that looks more like the clients they represent? |
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I want to weigh in with some thoughts on "being cultivated" because it's something I've been thinking about and working on for a long time. I've tried to cultivate a lot of diverse associates over the years, as a partner at three different firms and with varying degrees of success, and one really big issue for me is that there are a lot of barriers put up when you are mentoring someone of color or a woman that are not there when mentoring white men. If I give some constructive criticism to a woman or minority (especially a minority who is black), something that is important for their development, it gets picked up and repeated over and over again. I'm reminded I said they needed to be more detail oriented, or needed to slow down a bit and think harder before they jump in, and I'm sometimes reminded of that for years after making the comment. As a result I've become very guarded in my reviews. On the other hand, if I say something positive, it gets forgotten quickly by many people unless I repeat it constantly. Also, minority candidates get criticized by people they don't work for much more than white candidates. Criticize someone who is black, just a little, and some old white guy in the room will give you an Amen, even if he's barely nodded hello to them. I can quantify some of this. I had a top notch black associate who was bringing in north of $100K as a fifth year and bringing it in from top of the line clients with huge growth potential. A star. His work generation was regularly "put in context" in reviews. Things like people saying, Well, it's a start, but we can't tell yet if he can expand the relationships, he needs to defer more to partners brought in and they should run the matters, etc. etc. On the other hand, I regularly see more senior associates bringing in their first $20K matter getting all kinds of praise, credit and mentoring, even when it is commodity work sent in by some friend of the family. (This particular guy has since been recruited from me by a top 20 national firm, but I remain bitter.) All this has led me to believe that finding ways to create consistent standards is very important to the cultivation effort. I know we've also got to change the attitudes of some white men, especially some of the liberals who should know better, but in the meantime imposing standards that holds every mediocre white boy to the same standards the old white guys hold women and non-white candidates to seems to be one way to even the playing field. |
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Yes. They are not interested in changing because they built a business model that rewards greed and selfishness and is based on maintaining the status quo. Quote:
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