Quote:
Originally posted by bold_n_brazen
What the fuck happened at Belmont on Saturday? Everyone, and I mean everyone was saying that Smarty Jones was a lock to win, and take the Triple Crown. All the jockeys and trainers and owners had conceeded the race, saying they were all running for second. I didn't even put any money on the race, because really, what was the point?
So what the hell happened? And Birdstone, at 36 to 1? I need a cocktail, just thinking about it...
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I was there, and no horse race with 10 entrants all of decent quality is ever an 83% guarantee. It involves animals for the fucking baby jesus' sake and at a distance none of them have ever run before. The odds were bet down because everyone wanted to hold a winning ticket. That said, I think Elliott let him take the lead too early.
As for Birdsong, the morning line was only 15-1, meaning the oddsmaker recognized he had a chance, and the guy standing next to us picked him, as he told us loudly both before and after the race. The reason - he was the only other horse in the race ever to have won a Grade I stakes.