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Old 09-27-2004, 04:47 PM   #413
Shape Shifter
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Join Date: Apr 2003
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Bill Kristol must read my rants

Quote:
Originally posted by sebastian_dangerfield
Your theory is based on projections, which are based on statistics, which are tabulated by people who are not immune to error and are sometimes even biased. Economic projections are like epidemiological models - their predictive value is not the sort of thing you'd ever take to the bank.

According to statistics, I'm dead already of lung disease, kidney cancer, cirrhosis and heart issue. I'm not saying predictions don't have value - I'm just saying that screaming chicken little based on a pile of projected numbers is foolish. I ain't handing free money back because Robert Rubin's great big juicy brain says I should. If I'm wrong and reckless, whatever... won't be the first time and won't be the last.
Don't give me this shit. Statistics are not perfect, but only a fool disregards them completely. Have you picked Arizona in any of your office pools so far this season? Why or why not?
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