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LessinSF
Kerry holding at +130, with the "count the electoral college" websites all over the map.
Edited to note that I take that back - both sites currently have the probability of a Bush victory at 30% or less - http://www.econ.umn.edu/~amoro/Research/presprobs.html . The market is out of touch with the polling data. Get your bets down!
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Market theory clearly states then, that the polls are wrong.
History also would suggest that Hillary has some futures in play.