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Old 10-26-2004, 08:39 PM   #101
SlaveNoMore
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Pelosi Land!
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Nader factor?

Quote:
LessinSF
Kerry holding at +130, with the "count the electoral college" websites all over the map.

Edited to note that I take that back - both sites currently have the probability of a Bush victory at 30% or less - http://www.econ.umn.edu/~amoro/Research/presprobs.html . The market is out of touch with the polling data. Get your bets down!
Market theory clearly states then, that the polls are wrong.

History also would suggest that Hillary has some futures in play.
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