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Old 11-03-2004, 04:13 PM   #1855
Gattigap
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: At the Great Altar of Passive Entertainment
Posts: 7,033
Re-elected incumbents

To reiterate, Bush won, and it's better for all of us that it was a clear enough win that we're not all watching litigation right now. Still, I thought these statistics were interesting in suggesting the size of the mandate that one should draw from this election.
  • COMPARISON OF SUCCESSFUL INCUMBENTS

    Margin of popular-vote victory:

    1936: Roosevelt -- 24%

    1940: Roosevelt -- 10%

    1944: Roosevelt -- 7.5%

    1956: Eisenhower -- 15.5%

    1964: Johnson -- 22%

    1972: Nixon -- 23%

    1984: Reagan -- 18%

    1996: Clinton -- 8%

    2004: Bush -- 3%



    Electoral College margin:

    1936: Roosevelt -- 523 - 8

    1940: Roosevelt -- 449 - 82

    1944: Roosevelt -- 432 - 9

    1956: Eisenhower -- 457 - 73

    1964: Johnson -- 486 - 52

    1972: Nixon -- 520 - 17

    1984: Reagan -- 525 - 13

    1996: Clinton -- 379 - 159

    2004: Bush -- 286 - 252, [estimated]

Anyone have a guess as to how Bush will interpret the results?
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