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Old 03-14-2005, 02:07 PM   #164
Tyrone Slothrop
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Join Date: May 2004
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Wow

Quote:
Originally posted by bilmore
Do you think Assad has more fear of our military, or of the people of Lebanon? I suspect that his prime fear isn't a US invasion, but a popular Lebanese uprising. His hold right now in Syria proper is tenuous enough that he likely would rather not start such a process - who knows to where it might spread.
I think Assad is most worried about avoiding a U.S. invasion of Syria, and generally with retaining power in Syria, and that the mood of the Lebanese people has little to do with that. This vision you have of "a popular Lebanese uprising" that threatens Assad's grip on his own people has very little to do with what ails Lebanon or Syria.
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