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Old 05-18-2005, 12:58 PM   #1589
ThurgreedMarshall
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: NYC
Posts: 18,597
Who likes Math?

Quote:
Originally posted by bilmore
False use of language. Once one door has been opened, you are faced with a new choice, not merely a continuation of the original. At that point, to stay or to change - both are .5 choices.
That's what I said!

This is what I'm starting to try to come to terms with: "The probability of winning by switching then reduces to the probability of picking the wrong door in the initial stage which is clearly 2/3."

I'm going to have to do this experiment on my own time with actual doors, cars and donkeys. (Yeah, I'm leaving myself open, I want to see what you suckers got.)

TM
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