Quote:
Originally posted by Tyrone Slothrop
Setting aside North Korea for the moment, why do you think China would be irrational enough to launch ICBMs at us, incurring certain retaliation?
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I think North Korea is a much higher probablity, but with China the area the troubles me is the Taiwan Straight. If China tries to invade Taiwan, or something happens to spark a dispute, we will end up involved. Once shots are being fired things can escalate and get out of hand.
During the Cold War there was a fear of Nuclear War even thought it meant annihalation for both sides. Same thing could happen with China.
Unlike the then Soviet Union China only has a few hundred missiles without the MIRVs. So with the proper technology we could shoot them down.
There is also the problem if a lunatic taking over in China or a mistaken luanch. In either case I really don't like the idea that there is nothing we can do.
Right now the only really imminent security threats to the United States are nuclear missiles or terrorist attacks. Everything else is just Geopolitical games (albeit important games). I just can't fathom throwing in the towel on the first threat.
