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Originally posted by bilmore
So true. I had NO idea there was tribal and religious factionism before all this happened.
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I only wish the Administration had been better informed than you were.
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Think back to pre-invasion. We had a discussion about the likelihood of success. I think that my prediction was very close to where we are today, and I'm quite pleased. It could have been much worse, and it's actually quite good, in a relative sense. (Relative for the Iraqis, certainly.)
Think back to pre-vote. We had a similar discussion. Again, it turned out far closer to my optimistic prediction than to your pessimistic one.
And now you want to tell me about how it ain't gonna work - about how it's all fucked up?
Hardly.
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We've been there for how many months, and there is one battalion of 800 Iraqis (read: Kurds) capable of fighting on their own. At that rate, success it right around the corner.
On the basis of what's happened, I think my feeling back then that all sorts of things could go wrong is looking pretty prescient. Needless to say, I'd rather it was working out well. But it isn't.
