Quote:
Originally posted by LessinSF
Who do like in the Series, so that I can go the other way, given how your football picks last week showed that you appear to have returned to your sucky form?
Seriously, Chicago at -115 looks good to me. Their pitching staff is more tan, ready, and rested than Nixon was in '80. And they just have that feel. I am waiting for the Chicago in 5 prop bet to be posted.
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No opinion on the series yet, but my football pick is a 4 team teaser of Wisconsin -8, Seahawks -3, Indy -15, and the Titans/Cards OVER 42.
You should bet those 4 -EXACTLY- the other way. In fact, don't tease them, parlay them. Here's why.
NLDS Game 1: With 4 units on the "under 8.5" for the Peavy/Carpenter game, I lose early as the Cards go up 8-1 in the 5th. My website posts an alternate total of 12.5. I bet 4 more units on the under. As it heads to the top of the 9th, the score is 8-2, and I bet 19 units on the under. Padres score 3 in the top of the 9th, lose 8.5
NLDS Game 4: With the Braves up 5-0 and Tim Hudson looking dominant, I put 27 units on the Braves. With the score 6-5 going into the bottom of the 9th, I put 7 more units on the Braves. Ausmus HR, 9 innings later, Blake HR. Game over. I have never in my life lost more on a sporting event, and I never will. Almost making matters worse, I had to board a plane in the 15th inning of this game, and then found out the final score when the pilot announced it half-way through the Toronto-LA flight.
Stunned, I take a few days off, and try to regroup. Saturday, I lose my bets that have Alabama -13.5 involved (Tide rolls to a 3 point win). Pissed off about how the Alabama game is going, I sell my Wisconsin +3.5 bet and put 6 units on Minnesota in the 3d quarter. With Minnesota up by 3, and about to punch it in with 3 minutes left, I put 6 more units on the Gophers. Wisconsin scores, then scores again to rub it in.
Reeling, I put a 5 unit parlay down on Oklahoma -7. With what did I parlay it? Well, knowing for a certainty that both USC and ND would score over 30 points, I take the over 68 in that game. Pete Caroll and Matt Leinart decide to win it in regulation instead of going for overtime, final score 34-31. (also on this day, I put a 6 unit bet down on the White Sox in Game 4, which won -- the one big winning bet I've had in this stretch).
Sunday, after a decent day on the NFL slate, with the score 21-3, I put about 5 units down at halftime on the Seahawks-Texans game to go under 44. Seahawks keep scoring, and scoring and scoring. Final score, 42-10.
Monday night, with the Rams up 17-14 and driving at the end of the first half, I put 16 units on the Rams +13.5. Historically bad second half by the Rams (something like 40 plays in a row run in the Rams half of the field), Colts win by 17.
Tuesday, completely on tilt, I put 14 units on Juan Carlos Ferrero to beat Max Mirnyi in Madrid at -240. The stylish Spaniard comes up very small on big points, loses 7-5, 7-6.
Yesterday, I put my last 5 units left in my account on Roddick at -300 to beat Ivo Karolic. 3-6, 7-6, 7-6.
Other games I was considering betting over the past two days: Oilers over Phoenix at -200 (Phoenix wins in OT); Rangers over Islanders at -180 (Islanders win in shoot-out).
So now I'm done. I've got lots of future bets in my account that I can't sell or pull out, but whatever they win, I'm done. 3 year minimum hiatus from sports betting. However, as a public service, I've posted my picks here as a "go against," and will continue to do so.
Also, in my survivor pool, I've got the Redskins this week. So maybe put some $$ down on SF to win as a huge dog.
