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Originally posted by Tyrone Slothrop
I realize that I know this guy's stuff and you probably have never heard of him before, so take it from me that I never seen him utter a critical word about the Israeli government before.
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That's not the point. The point is that, from the snippet you've quoted, it appears that he's taken a position on the current situation and that he is drawing implications to support that position, rather than drawing implications that are supported by the facts and statements on which he relies.
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If the IDF launches major ground operations, then his speculation is wrong. We'll have to see.
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Define "major". In my view, if you move tanks across the border right away, chances are you didn't assume you could accomplish your goals with airstrikes.
