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Originally posted by Tyrone Slothrop
Apart from the prospect of Iranian nukes, I'm not sure what you're talking about. Hezbollah and Hamas rockets don't pose an existential threat to Israel, althogh they do kill people. And if you're worried about Hezbollah and Hamas getting better arms, then you'll want to isolate and deter them. The solutions may be different for each group. For Hamas, let them try running Gaza and taking some responsibility for what goes on there, and there's reason to believe they'll moderate. For Hezbollah, it doesn't seem like this is an option, but you'll want to cut them off from Syria and Iran to deny them heavier weapons. But what Israel has done gives both groups more support inside and outside the Arab world, and makes it harder to do anything about Iranian nukes.
When does Israel stop bombing? What do you think happens then?
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I think Hamas has shown their colours in Gaza. They can't govern, but they can terrorise. Better weapons will make them better at it. I do think eventually those missiles do pose an existential threat to Israel. At some point the missiles will be a prelude to a bigger invasion. At some point there other armies from the region that will seize on that opportunity in the name of Arab brotherhood and Islamic destiny. At some point, maybe now, Israel is not invincible.
I am not sure what happens when Israel stops bombing. Maybe they take back a security zone in Lebanon. There really are no good solutions here, in large part because you have a consolidated "other side" which does want peace or a practical long term solution. Other than the end of Israel.
