Quote:
Originally posted by ironweed
Ok. I think assumptions based on her showing in those two votes may be flawed since the process was compromised from the start, i.e., people didn't campaign, or campaign as hard, or bother to get their names on the ballot because they knew nothing would come of it.
I also think it's a stretch to say that McCain is a lock for the general election because Hillary voters won't vote for Obama in a general election and vice versa. Maybe there are polls that say this, but I know how you feel about polls.
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On the first comment, that's a fair point. I considered that when I reached my conclusion and still felt she'd take Florida, due to the general voter profile for the state.
On Michigan, it was more of a toss up. Hillary could get killed there because of the NAFTA thing, but on the balance, I think the state is demogrpahically close enough to PA and OH that I figured it would trend in the same direction. I could be wrong on that state, very easily.
