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					Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall  I think you're overstating.  Peyton's not in Belichick's head.  His defense is just not as good, no?  Or, at least Belichick doesn't think so.
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 Maybe, maybe not.  They stopped him 6 times in the first half and a couple more in the second half.  So the question is why he thought they didn't stand a decent chance of doing it this time.  I think in the press conferences he basically said what you did, although not explicitly, which is he figured the odds of getting the first down were better than the odds of holding them on a ~70 yard drive.  As for the stats, good points, if he failed to account for them.  Although I doubt the data are rich enough to determine meaningfully how the Pats convert on 4th and 2 (1 for 1 I think) this year.