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Old 02-29-2016, 01:09 AM   #3686
notcasesensitive
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Out with Lumbergh.
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Re: Mother should I run for president.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy View Post
He's identifying one particular factor among many. Another way of making his point is pretty straightforward, which is that there are a number of rural areas in purple states where Dems have been making headway - upstate NY and Pennsylvania are the places I focus most on.

But there is no reason to assume that "progress" is the result of inexorable and inevitable forces. From what I can see it's driven as much by issues as by demographic trends (where Dem hopes in Texas have a lot more to do with demographic patterns). We're gaining in Binghampton and Saratoga mainly because the old guard Rockefeller moderate Republicans are dying off and their children are realizing their views just aren't welcome in the Republican party.

But there are lots of other trends, and the right candidate and strategy on the Republican side can nullify the supposed gains. Who knows, maybe Trump can convince these people he's Rockefeller's true heir.
You consider NY a purple state? I know upstate is conservative (believe me, I know), but the state would never go Republican in a presidential election would it? I can't believe with the population disparity between NYC/downstate and upstate there could be any chance of that. But I'm pretty far removed from following NY politics (now that my mom doesn't have Pataki to complain about anymore)...
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