Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop
This can be said only if you don't know anything about polarization and can pretend that most Republicans are reasonable people who might not vote for an inexperienced, narcissistic, bigoted monster simply because he is the Republican nominee.
(eta: Incidentally, I've already said I was wrong in thinking that Trump would not be able to consolidate Republican support.)
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I was a true idiot on this. Initially, I said that Trump would be able to consolidate Republican support, and that by election day everyone who usually votes Republican would have 20 reasons why they had to pull the lever despite Trump.
Then I acknowledged I was wrong when I saw a bunch of Republicans show some real backbone, particularly in the foreign affairs and defense communities (where an enormous number of traditional republicans endorsed Hillary) and among women, including some around here.
But I was actually right the first time. The women who bolted were a small, if fierce, group, and no one listened to the foreign affairs nerds.
Apropos of which, I recommend Kagan's article in FT today. I think Kagan (prepare yourselves) is fundamentally right on his policy analysis of Trump and the country, but is understating the danger of Trump, since he views war and policy as logical things and isn't worried about the wag-the-dog engagement or the quick twitter nuke sent to avenge us against a viral slight from some Pakistani or Mexican leader.
