Quote:
Originally Posted by SEC_Chick
In defense of third party and write-in candidate voters, the write-in vote, which without any empirical information, I think we can mainly all agree was conservatives who couldn't stomach voting for Moore, tilted the race to Jones. So while Sebby's vote for Johnson may have caused Hillary to lose, conservative votes for Nick Saban tipped it to Jones. I won't be surprised if Jones loses reelection, provided (and that's a big 'if' based on recent data) that the GOP and primary voters can make better choices in 2020.
Ultimately, I think that the GOP is far better off for having lost the seat. Moore's support, even for otherwise good legislation, would make it even harder to pass, and it's not like they can accomplish much that doesn't suck as it is. Like Trump, asking Moore not to act insane or say outlandish things is like asking a scorpion not to sting.
NeverTrump twitter is alive with Shadenfreude for Bannon. This was a seat Sessions won with 97% of the vote. Flake's seat is probably going down next, and then possibly Corker's. The hilarious thing is that Bannon actually did roughly emulate the presidential election popular vote. Unfortunately that's a big L in Senate races. Exit polling showed that Trump approval was less than 50% IN ALABAMA. While 2018 is certainly shaping up to be challenging for the GOP, losing Alabama actually is less of a loss than winning it would ultimately have been.
Franken's probably pretty sad that he actually has to leave now.
|
But what do you think about Cruz? His numbers are through the floor, he came out of the Presidential looking like Trump's personal punching bag but keeps sucking up to him, no one likes him, and he's gotten nothing done. Could he be in trouble?
I think Dem strategists are debating adding Cruz to the list of top tier races, even though that's a wildly expensive race, along with Flake, Heller, and Corker.
The other potential open seat, and I say this as someone who has been through Glioblastoma with a close family member, is McCain's. Even if he miraculously survives this thing for the next year, it wouldn't surprise me if he decided to spend his remaining time with his family.
