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Old 09-12-2019, 12:19 PM   #3275
sebastian_dangerfield
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Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same

Quote:
Originally Posted by Adder View Post
Once you told him that he's on the list already from other sources, he stopped being such a selfish idiot, right?
I didn't know if he was right, and I wasn't interested in researching it. He's a quirky guy. He's been right about legal stuff in the past.

He'd probably stay home anyway. I think he thinks politics is beneath him. He views everything through cycles, over extended periods. Thinks assessments of anything taking place in the moment, over a period of a few or even a dozen years, are not consequential. Classic long term investor. Slow and steady.

We never see eye to eye on the cycle thing. I think that's a flawed construct. Anything can be a cycle if you just cherry pick the metrics and timetable. Regarding Trump, he'd say, "He's just an exciting event, but all will return to stasis when this political cycle (a flirtation with populism) runs its course."

There's some wisdom to the notion history repeats itself. But it's not a predictable cycle by any means. Twain has the most accurate take: "History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes."
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