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[Pretty Little Flower]

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield

Got it. I misread him. I thought he was suggesting that it would mutate enough that ultimately everyone would wind up getting some form of it.

I think a huge unknown unknown in regard to the virus is mutation. While it can mutate to become more lethal, it can also mutate to become less so, or both at once in different locations. If a less lethal mutation occurs and it spreads widely enough, it could provide a "poor man's vaccine" against later infection with a more virulent strain, no?

I’m not a doctor and I don’t play one on the internet. Based on what Osterholm says, I think the best we can say is maybe. Osterholm does seems open to the possibility of herd immunity through some combination of vaccine and infection, but says it is far from certain.