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Still not ambitious, still not attached
Quote:
Originally posted by str8outavannuys
Going for it scenario:
1) Packers make first down and get sure win 70% of the time. I think this is too low, but I'll use it. Actually I'd put the number closer to 80%. . . . .
Packers' chance of victory in Going For It: 70%(immediate win) + 30%*45%=13.5%(Don't make first down, Eagles turn ball over on downs) + 30%*50%*45%=(Packers win in OT)=6.75%. Add up those scenarios, Packers win a little over 90% of the time by going for it.
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This is why I will never gamble with you for money.
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My enemies curse my name, but rave about my ass.
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