Quote:
Originally posted by leagleaze
I'm judging it by whomever came closest to the score for each team without going over. As per my original post on the issue on Friday. http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/sho...6387#post66387
If that is you, then yes, you've won. I haven't looked through the scores and done the math yet though.
I see it is not you, you went over with the 38.
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Well, Hank, it looks like you've lost.
You mentioned in your post "if judged fairly, i've won," which raises an interesting issue. What does "fairly" mean? Is it the smallest numerical deviation of some sort? If so, how can that be calculated?
The complexity* of this problem is what makes Leagl's approach OK from a fairness standpoint because she has articulated a manageable, bright-line rule.
*
If we were to insist on fairness as measured by the numerical accuracy of your guess, one possible algorithm could be the following:
1) Your guess as to which team won must be correct;
2) Take the absolute value of the difference between your guess for the winning team's points and the actual points scored by the winning team;
3) Take the absolute value of the difference between your guess for the losing team's points and the actual points scored by the losing team;
4) Take the absolute value of the difference between your guess for the point difference and the actual point difference;
5) Add the values calculated from (2), (3), and (4). The winning guess would have the smallest total value. (If there is a tie, then I need to figure out another algorithm to take care of a tie fairly.) 
