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Old 06-16-2017, 01:56 PM   #758
Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
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Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
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Re: You've got no love for the underdog/That's why you will not survive...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski View Post
The guy who taught me to do litigation, when asked by a client to predict a % chance of winning, would say: "I won't, I'll tell you you have a good case, but I'm not going to guess a percent. Besides, if I say there's only a 10% Chance you'll lose, if you lose you still lose 100%."

Predictions are dangerous and stupid. I know one person who voted third party and he pointed to the prediction to justify the vote.
My line on this (and I do a lot less litigation), is that before I tell them what I think of their case they should remember that three quarters of all litigants lose. Then I pause and they look at me quizzically, and I say, half of them lose the case, half of them win the case, and of the half that won half of those spend more time and money on the case than it was worth, so they still lose.

Then I tell them their odds depend mostly on things we won't know until the case is over, so it's senseless to try to guess them today.
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