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Re: Implanting Bill Gates's Micro-chips In Brains For Over 20 Years!
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield
I don't understand it either. If Harris is up roughly 1-2% in every battleground state, I can't figure out how Trump can have a 64% chance of winning.
When he beat Hillary, where she was up huge #s everywhere, he had something like a 15% chance of winning. If you adjust those numbers to the present, it appears he's got somewhere between a 45-50% chance of winning.
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I'm not questioning the numbers that the model has produced, I'm questioning the whole point of the model.
eta: If one model says Trump is 65% likely to win, and another model says he's 30% likely to win, which one is right? It's impossible to say. If there's no way to tell whether the model is accurate, what's the point? (Other than to generate clicks, I mean.)
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Last edited by Tyrone Slothrop; 09-19-2024 at 12:44 PM..
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