Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop
A lot of moderates voted for Obama in 2008, and he won states like Indiana and North Carolina. (I didn't need to Google that -- I remember it!) In your view, then, he had a lot of Tea Party opposition over the next few years, and then in 2012 fewer of those moderates voted for him, he got a smaller share of the vote, and he did not win Indiana or North Carolina, and this somehow shows that the opposition to him helped him. Now it's possible that if you flesh this out a lot more, it will somehow make sense, but I think you have to acknowledge that the basic facts here make your view silly.
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How do you assume the loss of certain states or overall lower vote share was attributable to loss of moderates? I think you're making assumptions that can't be proven.
Obama could have lost other categories of voters and actually increased the number of moderates. You'd have to break out all the different types of voters to prove or disprove your point or mine.
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