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-   -   I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=879)

Adder 04-19-2017 03:49 PM

Re: "My name's Pitt...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 507020)
In this same regard, I can remain a fan of Murray's concept for paring the regulatory state in We the People while concluding he's a deplorable sensationalist elsewhere.

He's not an artist, he's a peddler of ideas. That he has a long track record of racism (including cross-burning as a teen, that he insists he didn't know the symbolism of) is entirely relevant to evaluating any idea he puts forward.

Not necessarily dispositive, but a significant thing to keep in mind.

You shouldn't read anything without thinking about what the author's agenda is.

Tyrone Slothrop 04-19-2017 05:24 PM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 507014)
It's that exact inability to opt out that creates the forced privity. If one can opt out, he has not been forced into anything.

I'm not concerned for the guy who complains that he must buy auto insurance in order to drive. If he doesn't like that, he can download Uber, or take the bus. The guy being told he must buy a certain form of expansive health care plan, simply because he's alive and has the means to do so, has no choice. He's being told he must contract with private entities.

You're really not explaining the privity point, and maybe there is no explanation. I get that having choices is good, and that having the nominal option to take Uber or the bus is better than not having that option, even if you live in a small town unserved by Uber or busses.

The part that isn't clear to, and probably to you either, is why being forced to enter into a deal with a private party is categorically worse than being forced to deal with with a public entity. We all get (or at least have heard) the standard libertarian horror at having to deal with the government, but what you're saying is the opposite of that -- there's some essentially different about having to be in privity with a private party. Since you keep repeating this and aren't explaining it, it's hard to evade the suspicion that this is a case of situational ethics driven by the need to find something awful in Obamacare. If there were something really dreadful about this privity point, one would expect you have problems with having to buy car insurance, even though you have some nominal choice -- even with the nominal choice, you still have the government forcing lots of people into privity with private parties. Maybe it's only privity with health insurers that really bothers you?

Tyrone Slothrop 04-19-2017 06:01 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
72 books recommended by Barack Obama during his presidency. (More, because some are series.). I've read 13 of them.

Not Bob 04-19-2017 06:03 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Domestic caviar? Jesus Christ, Hank, the sins of the Reagan Administration continue to disgust me.

Apropos of the Gipper, does the nudge from Melania remind anyone else of Nancy's sotto voce "we're doing all we can"?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-19-2017 06:27 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 507033)
72 books recommended by Barack Obama during his presidency. (More, because some are series.). I've read 13 of them.

Because life is a fucking competition, 24.

And, to spike the ball, I've been lucky enough to meet 5 of the authors, the most entertaining of which, by far, was Norman Mailer.

I think one of the best things about being President would be getting to invite whoever you want over to a white house dinner. I mean, you want to have a dinner where you hear Doris Kearns Goodwin mix it up with David McCullough, while also getting Tom Brady and Colin Kaepernick to talk football and politics? Set up a table at the next state dinner and have at it. We should measure all our presidents by the creativity of their guest lists.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-19-2017 06:50 PM

Re: and Japanese Scotch and Lebanese Bordeaux, like God intended!
 
Oh, man, I feel your pain.

I am someone who has only bought American cars and who even errs on the side of American cheese when given a choice. But American caviar?

sebastian_dangerfield 04-20-2017 09:13 AM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

You're really not explaining the privity point, and maybe there is no explanation.
Contracting is an intrinsically voluntary act. The basic underpinning of a contract's enforceability is that parties to it have knowingly and voluntarily agreed to its terms. To compel a person to contract with another removes the voluntariness of the thing. It may as well be a tax. Which is, of course (and I've now explained this 10X), why I'm fine with simply taxing people more and expanding medicare.

Setting the precedent of compelling people to contract with selected parties (here, insurers) in a forced transaction - of which they may not opt out - is one of the few legitimate slippery slopes we should avoid.

Quote:

The part that isn't clear to, and probably to you either, is why being forced to enter into a deal with a private party is categorically worse than being forced to deal with with a public entity.
Because you are marrying private profit motive (of insurers, no less) with govt compulsion. How are you not seeing the danger there?

Quote:

We all get (or at least have heard) the standard libertarian horror at having to deal with the government, but what you're saying is the opposite of that -- there's some essentially different about having to be in privity with a private party.
Exactly. My position on this finite issue is not libertarian at all.

Quote:

Since you keep repeating this and aren't explaining it, it's hard to evade the suspicion that this is a case of situational ethics driven by the need to find something awful in Obamacare. If there were something really dreadful about this privity point, one would expect you have problems with having to buy car insurance, even though you have some nominal choice -- even with the nominal choice, you still have the government forcing lots of people into privity with private parties. Maybe it's only privity with health insurers that really bothers you?
I honestly don't know how many times I have to explain this, but I'll do it once more. I find it beyond disturbing to set a precedent where the govt says:

1. You must buy this thing (no opt out); and,
2. Here are private parties with whom you must contract for it.

It's a breath away from granting health insurers - some of the most unscrupulous companies in the country - an effective taxing power over citizens. Yes, I grasp that in many instances insurers have actually lost money on the deal. But that doesn't undo the bad precedent. I don't like the govt intervening in health care. But if the choice is the govt intervening and forcing me to pay more taxes, or the govt intervening to force me to pay a private company, it's a no brainer. And I don't care if the private company is cheaper.

This is not about money. This is about keeping the fox out of the henhouse. Corporations already own enough of our govt. The last thing we need to do is allow them what's basically a taxing power. Fuck that.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-20-2017 09:44 AM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 507038)
Contracting is an intrinsically voluntary act. The basic underpinning of a contract's enforceability is that parties to it have knowingly and voluntarily agreed to its terms. To compel a person to contract with another removes the voluntariness of the thing. It may as well be a tax. Which is, of course (and I've now explained this 10X), why I'm fine with simply taxing people more and expanding medicare.

Setting the precedent of compelling people to contract with selected parties (here, insurers) in a forced transaction - of which they may not opt out - is one of the few legitimate slippery slopes we should avoid.



Because you are marrying private profit motive (of insurers, no less) with govt compulsion. How are you not seeing the danger there?



Exactly. My position on this finite issue is not libertarian at all.



I honestly don't know how many times I have to explain this, but I'll do it once more. I find it beyond disturbing to set a precedent where the govt says:

1. You must buy this thing (no opt out); and,
2. Here are private parties with whom you must contract for it.

It's a breath away from granting health insurers - some of the most unscrupulous companies in the country - an effective taxing power over citizens. Yes, I grasp that in many instances insurers have actually lost money on the deal. But that doesn't undo the bad precedent. I don't like the govt intervening in health care. But if the choice is the govt intervening and forcing me to pay more taxes, or the govt intervening to force me to pay a private company, it's a no brainer. And I don't care if the private company is cheaper.

This is not about money. This is about keeping the fox out of the henhouse. Corporations already own enough of our govt. The last thing we need to do is allow them what's basically a taxing power. Fuck that.


It is not that we are being required to contract with a particular party, but rather that we are asked to get a contract with some party. So if you ride a motorcycle, you are required to buy a helmet; where you get it is between you and the market as long as it meets safety requirements. Likewise, if you have a business with a smokestack, you're going to be required to buy various filters and burners for the stack that get the emissions down to an acceptable level. Where you get them is up to you, as long as you meet standards.

To go back to our founders day, in Massachusetts at the time of the revolution every property owning white male was required to have a musket in working order. As part of our militia, they were regularly inspected. John Adam wasn't concerned with whose musket you bought, but he wanted you (but not TM or RT, of course), to have a musket.

I understand the point. But do you think your point is a constitutional one, or just a political preference by you? And is it an absolute or a balancing act (e.g., it's ok to require motorcycle helmets but not health insurance).

Tyrone Slothrop 04-20-2017 10:47 AM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507039)
It is not that we are being required to contract with a particular party, but rather that we are asked to get a contract with some party. So if you ride a motorcycle, you are required to buy a helmet; where you get it is between you and the market as long as it meets safety requirements. Likewise, if you have a business with a smokestack, you're going to be required to buy various filters and burners for the stack that get the emissions down to an acceptable level. Where you get them is up to you, as long as you meet standards.

To go back to our founders day, in Massachusetts at the time of the revolution every property owning white male was required to have a musket in working order. As part of our militia, they were regularly inspected. John Adam wasn't concerned with whose musket you bought, but he wanted you (but not TM or RT, of course), to have a musket.

I understand the point. But do you think your point is a constitutional one, or just a political preference by you? And is it an absolute or a balancing act (e.g., it's ok to require motorcycle helmets but not health insurance).

It's now obvious to me that the slippery slope caused by requiring people to buy muskets led directly to the tyranny of requiring people to buy health insurance.

Adder 04-20-2017 10:57 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 507033)
72 books recommended by Barack Obama during his presidency. (More, because some are series.). I've read 13 of them.

7, not including series or the ones I've started and not finished (Moby Dick, The Naked and the Dead, Bible) or seen performed but not read (Othello, King Lear).

Adder 04-20-2017 11:03 AM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 507038)
Setting the precedent of compelling people to contract with selected parties (here, insurers) in a forced transaction - of which they may not opt out - is one of the few legitimate slippery slopes we should avoid.

Why? What makes this one different from all the specious ones? Which industry is going to be next to successfully get Congress to pass a purchase mandate?

Quote:

Because you are marrying private profit motive (of insurers, no less) with govt compulsion. How are you not seeing the danger there?
That danger is everywhere, as you've told us about regulations.

And you realize that Obamacare wasn't a special project of the insurance industry, right? That it would rather not have had it?

Quote:

It's a breath away from granting health insurers - some of the most unscrupulous companies in the country - an effective taxing power over citizens.
They already had that power before Obamacare, which is one reason why we regulate them, and why Obamacare added new regulations on them.

Hank Chinaski 04-20-2017 12:55 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
trump bringing more jobs home from foreign lands!

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-20-2017 12:58 PM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 507040)
It's now obvious to me that the slippery slope caused by requiring people to buy muskets led directly to the tyranny of requiring people to buy health insurance.

My work is done.

Replaced_Texan 04-20-2017 03:25 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507036)
Because life is a fucking competition, 24.

And, to spike the ball, I've been lucky enough to meet 5 of the authors, the most entertaining of which, by far, was Norman Mailer.

I think one of the best things about being President would be getting to invite whoever you want over to a white house dinner. I mean, you want to have a dinner where you hear Doris Kearns Goodwin mix it up with David McCullough, while also getting Tom Brady and Colin Kaepernick to talk football and politics? Set up a table at the next state dinner and have at it. We should measure all our presidents by the creativity of their guest lists.

One of the best ever (self-reported) quotes came from one of those dinners:

"I've changed music four or five times. What have you done of any importance other than be white?"

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-20-2017 03:42 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 507045)
One of the best ever (self-reported) quotes came from one of those dinners:

"I've changed music four or five times. What have you done of any importance other than be white?"

http://ll-media.tmz.com/2017/04/20/0...-twitter-2.jpg

Hank Chinaski 04-20-2017 06:05 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 507045)
One of the best ever (self-reported) quotes came from one of those dinners:

"I've changed music four or five times. What have you done of any importance other than be white?"

By who?

Hank Chinaski 04-20-2017 06:07 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507046)

Celebrating Michigan and all our very smart third party voters!

Replaced_Texan 04-20-2017 06:20 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 507056)
By who?

Miles Davis

Hank Chinaski 04-20-2017 08:20 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 507058)
Miles Davis

he changed Jazz. Anything else?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-21-2017 09:47 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 507059)
he changed Jazz. Anything else?

Yeah, kinda like Faulkner changed American literature. BFD.

Sarah Palin changed politics, too, didn't she?

Hank Chinaski 04-21-2017 10:30 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507060)
Yeah, kinda like Faulkner changed American literature. BFD.

Sarah Palin changed politics, too, didn't she?

And William Faulkner wasn't even the best writer in his own family. John was way better..

sebastian_dangerfield 04-24-2017 10:54 AM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

It is not that we are being required to contract with a particular party, but rather that we are asked to get a contract with some party.
Distinction w/o difference for purposes of this discussion.

Quote:

So if you ride a motorcycle, you are required to buy a helmet; where you get it is between you and the market as long as it meets safety requirements.
I don't favor helmet laws. If you want to risk your life riding without a helmet, take that risk. A few thousand people with terrible judgment leaving the game early = Benefit to social security fund, and organ donations for those in need. See also (YMMV, but instructive on the broader point): https://web.archive.org/web/20011105...czechstudy.pdf

Quote:

Likewise, if you have a business with a smokestack, you're going to be required to buy various filters and burners for the stack that get the emissions down to an acceptable level. Where you get them is up to you, as long as you meet standards.
Or you can determine the costs don't justify continuing that business. I guess there's an analogue for getting around the health insurance mandate, but as late 20th century philosopher John Cougar (pre-Mellancamp) noted, "dyin' to me don't sound like all that much fun."

Quote:

I understand the point. But do you think your point is a constitutional one, or just a political preference by you?
It can't be constitutional at the moment, as Roberts already ruled the ACA mandate falls within the power to tax, right? So then I'm stuck with preference until someone properly challenges it.

Quote:

And is it an absolute or a balancing act (e.g., it's ok to require motorcycle helmets but not health insurance).
I'd say we don't reach that question yet. The threshold issue is, can one opt-out? In all other current instances where the state compels one to buy something, the person subject to the regulation is choosing to do something. If they don't like the regulation, they can refrain from doing what it covers. There is no opt-out re health insurance.

Adder 04-24-2017 11:39 AM

Re: I'm sure you'll get right on that.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 507062)
There is no opt-out re health insurance.

Sure there is. I've heard Somalia has not such tyranny.

You can probably put up your scrubber-free smokestack there too, and definitely motorcycle without a helmet.

SEC_Chick 04-25-2017 06:21 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Remember when I thought I had found the most disturbing YouTube video ever with the weird guy singing his song about Trump? This one is much, much worse.

Spree: Bill Nye Saves the World. I am pretty sure most of this is not science, except for the part about vaginas not having vocal chords.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Wllc5gSc-N8

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-25-2017 01:19 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 507073)
Remember when I thought I had found the most disturbing YouTube video ever with the weird guy singing his song about Trump? This one is much, much worse.

Spree: Bill Nye Saves the World. I am pretty sure most of this is not science, except for the part about vaginas not having vocal chords.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Wllc5gSc-N8

That is about the worst "music" I have ever heard. Bi-sexuality deserved better.

Also, just so I understand these things, teeth but no vocal chords, right?

ThurgreedMarshall 04-26-2017 10:38 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507074)
That is about the worst "music" I have ever heard.

Speaking of music (and in plf's absence), isn't it lovely the tune Spicer and Chaffetz are playing right now? One says they can't possibly produce anything other than the form Flynn lied on because they took office on Jan. 20--like there were different people making decisions on campaign and transition issues like vetting. The other says it's Obama's fault Flynn--national security adviser to fucking Trump--wasn't properly vetted.

These motherfuckers have absolutely no shame about anything.

TM

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-26-2017 10:49 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 507084)
Speaking of music (and in plf's absence), isn't it lovely the tune Spicer and Chaffetz are playing right now? One says they can't possibly produce anything other than the form Flynn lied on because they took office on Jan. 20--like there were different people making decisions on campaign and transition issues like vetting. The other says it's Obama's fault Flynn--national security adviser to fucking Trump--wasn't properly vetted.

These motherfuckers have absolutely no shame about anything.

TM

Well, it is going to make it harder for them to argue executive privilege or that they're being sued in an official capacity and should have the government pay their legal bills during the next round of litigation. Courts still listen to reason.

Of course, maybe that's why they raised tens of millions in inaugural funds they aren't accounting for.

These people are crooks. (And the next person who tries to call Hillary a crook gets punched like a Nazi.) Assholes.

Adder 04-26-2017 11:39 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507085)
Well, it is going to make it harder for them to argue executive privilege or that they're being sued in an official capacity and should have the government pay their legal bills during the next round of litigation. Courts still listen to reason.

Of course, maybe that's why they raised tens of millions in inaugural funds they aren't accounting for.

These people are crooks. (And the next person who tries to call Hillary a crook gets punched like a Nazi.) Assholes.

But Hillary gave paid speeches to banks! And now Obama's getting paid to speak to Wall Street! Corruption!

Tyrone Slothrop 04-26-2017 12:34 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 507086)
But Hillary gave paid speeches to banks! And now Obama's getting paid to speak to Wall Street! Corruption!

They didn't need the money, and they undercut their cause by taking it. It is a very mild form of corruption.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-26-2017 01:17 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 507087)
They didn't need the money, and they undercut their cause by taking it. It is a very mild form of corruption.

Oh Bullshit.

If this is corruption, everything anyone does for money before, after or during being President is corruption. What are your rules for what a past president or a presidential hopeful is supposed to do? What would you say would not be "corruption". Here are some specific questions:

1. Should they take speaking fees?
2. Should they take fees for media appearances (e.g., Fox, CNN, MSNBC)?
3. Should they take professional (legal, accounting) fees?
4. Should they take other consulting fees?
5. Should they take royalties?
6. Should they take rent payments?
7. Should they sell real estate?
8. Should they own stock?
9. Should they own media interests?
10. Should they own a peanut farm and sell peanuts?
11. Should they take fees for entertainment (acting, porn, prostitution)?

Is it only democrats who can't do anything but serve in public office? Or can Republicans do all of the above but not democrats because their base doesn't care?

SEC_Chick 04-26-2017 01:37 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
So let's see what is funded in the budget bill: Planned Parenthood, the Iran deal, refugee resettlement, sanctuary cities, Obamacare subsidies.

Defunded: Border wall.

Sessions DOJ defending Obamacare contraceptive mandate.

And *still* the polling shows that if the election were held today, Trump would win. I have to admit though, Evan McMullin turned out to be an embarrassment. If I had it to do all over again, I would just write in someone I randomly selected on election day.

Hank Chinaski 04-26-2017 01:49 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507088)
Oh Bullshit.

If this is corruption, everything anyone does for money before, after or during being President is corruption. What are your rules for what a past president or a presidential hopeful is supposed to do? What would you say would not be "corruption". Here are some specific questions:

1. Should they take speaking fees?
2. Should they take fees for media appearances (e.g., Fox, CNN, MSNBC)?
3. Should they take professional (legal, accounting) fees?
4. Should they take other consulting fees?
5. Should they take royalties?
6. Should they take rent payments?
7. Should they sell real estate?
8. Should they own stock?
9. Should they own media interests?
10. Should they own a peanut farm and sell peanuts?
11. Should they take fees for entertainment (acting, porn, prostitution)?

Is it only democrats who can't do anything but serve in public office? Or can Republicans do all of the above but not democrats because their base doesn't care?

maybe Hillary couldn't/didn't anticipate Bernie's attacks on the paid speeches, but to the extent she could it was very dumb money to have taken.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-26-2017 02:03 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 507089)

And *still* the polling shows that if the election were held today, Trump would win.

I missed this one. Where?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-26-2017 02:05 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 507090)
maybe Hillary couldn't/didn't anticipate Bernie's attacks on the paid speeches, but to the extent she could it was very dumb money to have taken.

In retrospect, Hillary should not have been as nice as she was to Bernie.

She should have pushed to have him disclose his taxes and finances to the same degree as hers, including the pay-off his wife got after running a school into the ground, and should have defended the Foundation from daybreak to sunset: when did he do anything to actually provide drugs to aids patients?

SEC_Chick 04-26-2017 02:11 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507091)
I missed this one. Where?

http://abc13.com/politics/96-percent...again/1906546/

Vote again?
Among Americans who say they voted in the 2016 election, 46 percent say they voted for Hillary Clinton and 43 percent for Trump, very close to the 2-point margin in the actual popular vote results. However, while Trump would retain almost all of his support if the election were held again today (96 percent), fewer of Clinton's supporters say they'd stick with her (85 percent), producing a 40-43 percent Clinton-Trump result in this hypothetical re-do among self-reported 2016 voters.

That's not because former Clinton supporters would now back Trump; only 2 percent of them say they'd do so, similar to the 1 percent of Trump voters who say they'd switch to Clinton. Instead, they're more apt to say they'd vote for a third-party candidate or wouldn't vote.

In a cautionary note to her party, Clinton's 6-point drop in a hypothetical mulligan election relates to views of whether the Democratic Party is in touch with peoples' concerns. Although the sample sizes are small, those who say the party is out of touch are less likely to say they'd support Clinton again, compared with those who see it as in touch.

Still, there's no strong evidence that defectors primarily come from groups that favored Bernie Sanders in the primary. There are no broad differences by age, and liberals are 9 points more likely than moderates and conservatives to stick with Clinton. Similarly, nonwhites are 10 points more likely than whites to say they would not support Clinton again, with more than a third of them heading to the Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson.




I think that the Democratic Party Chair crapping all over the 20% or so of Dems who do identify as pro-life was before the poll. So the number of Dems who think the party is out of touch may have increased a bit.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-26-2017 02:18 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 507093)
http://abc13.com/politics/96-percent...again/1906546/

Vote again?
Among Americans who say they voted in the 2016 election, 46 percent say they voted for Hillary Clinton and 43 percent for Trump, very close to the 2-point margin in the actual popular vote results. However, while Trump would retain almost all of his support if the election were held again today (96 percent), fewer of Clinton's supporters say they'd stick with her (85 percent), producing a 40-43 percent Clinton-Trump result in this hypothetical re-do among self-reported 2016 voters.

That's not because former Clinton supporters would now back Trump; only 2 percent of them say they'd do so, similar to the 1 percent of Trump voters who say they'd switch to Clinton. Instead, they're more apt to say they'd vote for a third-party candidate or wouldn't vote.

In a cautionary note to her party, Clinton's 6-point drop in a hypothetical mulligan election relates to views of whether the Democratic Party is in touch with peoples' concerns. Although the sample sizes are small, those who say the party is out of touch are less likely to say they'd support Clinton again, compared with those who see it as in touch.

Still, there's no strong evidence that defectors primarily come from groups that favored Bernie Sanders in the primary. There are no broad differences by age, and liberals are 9 points more likely than moderates and conservatives to stick with Clinton. Similarly, nonwhites are 10 points more likely than whites to say they would not support Clinton again, with more than a third of them heading to the Libertarian candidate, Gary Johnson.




I think that the Democratic Party Chair crapping all over the 20% or so of Dems who do identify as pro-life was before the poll. So the number of Dems who think the party is out of touch may have increased a bit.

Interesting. I'll have to look at that one. Dynamics of a poll where there is not a real election anymore are always not terribly predictive (in particular on third parties - a sizable and regularly problematic portion of the Democratic vote, and a smaller but also problematic part of the Republican vote, always likes the idea of third parties when no election is on and then turns out and votes for their traditional party when it counts. But it still looks interesting.

I actually think there is more movement to Dems today in the center than on the left - that Bernie is not representative of where Dems will find more votes.

So you're not going to send McMullin a few pesos for his Congressional race in Utah?

Adder 04-26-2017 02:25 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 507087)
They didn't need the money, and they undercut their cause by taking it. It is a very mild form of corruption.

Thank you, Matt Yglesias, but I think this freak out over Obama, who is done with political office, is entirely ridiculous.

From the left, it's having anything to do with banks that's disqualifying. And earning a lot of money for doing little (strangely, even when it's at the expensive of the evil banks). No adult should take that seriously.

As for not needing the money, man, is there really anyone who has all they need/want?

I will grant that if Hillary was planning to run again, then she shouldn't have been taking paid speaking gigs because of the potential future conflict of interest.

Adder 04-26-2017 02:28 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507092)
In retrospect, Hillary should not have been as nice as she was to Bernie.

This. And now the whole party. Bernie raises some issues that the Dems should embrace (and Hillary did, at least nominally).

But they've got to get away from Bernie the man, who is toxic, selfish and incompetent. He isn't the way forward.

Adder 04-26-2017 02:30 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 507093)

Post election, voters who voted for the candidate who lost are less enthusiastic about that candidate. Footage at 11.

Adder 04-26-2017 02:33 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 507094)
I actually think there is more movement to Dems today in the center than on the left - that Bernie is not representative of where Dems will find more votes.

Bernie can probably get some more votes from white men, but at the cost of black women and other people of color. You don't trade your strongest backers for scraps from your weakest group.

But the Dems need to get young people out to vote and minimum wage, cheaper college and more universal healthcare might help with that.

Anyway, the party needs Keith Ellison, who brings Bernie's upside without his baggage. But DNC. Yay!


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