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-   -   Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=875)

taxwonk 11-07-2014 01:39 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 491042)
It appears that over the last year more people living there made the opposite choice. I think that choice had more to do with survival than Islam, myself. Over the last few years, Assad's Syria has been a place where random barrels of gas explode, leaving everyone in a neighborhood to die a wretched death, and after a few years and over a 100,000 bodies, they may have been ready for any choice at all.

I don't doubt for a moment the choice was based on survival. I just fear that we will all find out that, in the long run, they chose poorly. I see ISIS engaging in a killing spree that will make Assad look like a schoolyard bully by comparison. And I'm not just talking about a genocidal murdering of Kurds by the hundreds of thousands.

ThurgreedMarshall 11-07-2014 01:44 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 491028)
My general view is that 9/11 was sufficiently shocking that everyone gets a grace period for shit they said. The period lasts anywhere from a couple of weeks to a few months depending on how "close" they were (not just geographically, but including whether they lost someone, etc.). They don't need to apologize for that, just show by their words an actions that it was an aberration.

Remember right after 9/11 when everyone was so nice and pulling for each other and, despite the terrible feeling of loss, there was kind of this warm glow in that we finally felt unified and everyone kind of supported one another?

Well, a few days after 9/11, I was on the subway platform and this group of ignorant assholes (all of them black) starts harassing these three Sikhs because they were wearing what were quite clearly Sikh turbans. I had to head these guys off and tell them that they weren't Muslim (like it would have been okay if they were) and to leave them alone. It is absolutely amazing how people who are subjected to bullshit every day of their lives are so quick to mete it out on others.

Long story short, I'm not sure I'm with you on always giving people a pass because they went through something terrible. Also, people are fucking stupid.

TM

taxwonk 11-07-2014 01:47 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 491044)
Also, people are fucking stupid.

TM

Finally, we get down to the root of the problem.

Sidd Finch 11-07-2014 01:53 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 491044)
Remember right after 9/11 when everyone was so nice and pulling for each other and, despite the terrible feeling of loss, there was kind of this warm glow in that we finally felt unified and everyone kind of supported one another?

Well, a few days after 9/11, I was on the subway platform and this group of ignorant assholes (all of them black) starts harassing these three Sikhs because they were wearing what were quite clearly Sikh turbans. I had to head these guys off and tell them that they weren't Muslim (like it would have been okay if they were) and to leave them alone. It is absolutely amazing how people who are subjected to bullshit every day of their lives are so quick to mete it out on others.

Long story short, I'm not sure I'm with you on always giving people a pass because they went through something terrible. Also, people are fucking stupid.

TM

I said they get a pass for shit they SAID. Harassing someone is DOING, not SAYING. Ditto the vandalism on mosques, etc. And I don't always give them a pass for going thru something terrible, but on 9/11 I was willing.


As for your first paragraph, I do remember that, and there were also nekkid women involved IIRC.


eta: Good for you for intervening. I'm proud to call you a virtual friend.

ThurgreedMarshall 11-07-2014 01:54 PM

Re: By the way
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 491036)
The investor group that came in the next day, or two days later, and bought all the solid assets, with a partial government guarantee, would have been happy to keep Uncle Wayne's line of credit open. They would have been making a decent return on his L/C without having to pay some B-school grad fresh out of Wharton $250K plus bonus his first year to buy shit and call it Shine-ola.

?

What investor? If the entire financial system goes down, there are no investors. There is no credit. There are no businesses because there are no customers. Hell, there was no credit WITH the bail out. And the limited credit provided by hedge funds who jumped into that space cost 12-15%. But if the entire system goes down, there are no hedge funds either. We start over after the Super Great Depression.

Krugman does a better job: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/201...iled-strategy/

TM

Tyrone Slothrop 11-07-2014 02:02 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 491010)
I don't disagree with you. Islam is an old religion and subject to a huge range of interpretations, as any other.

Here, in sum, is my view, or part of it. You and GGG and Wonk anyone else can feel free to call me racist, or tell me that I obviously hate all Muslims, or any other shit you feel like spewing. Forgive me in advance for not responding.

Today, and in recent years, violent extremists that find their inspiration and justification in religion are largely Muslim. (That does not mean "exclusively" Muslim, nor "all Muslims are bad," nor that there are not violent extremists finding their justification in something other than religion, such as national identity or race.)

These violent extremists get a level of support and sympathy among Muslims that I view as far too high -- higher than I would expect if, say, Catholic militias were blowing up Protestant churches and vice versa. (This does not mean that there has never been horrifying sectarian violence among Christians that many Christians supported or did not protest.)

Part of that support is seen in the phenomenon of Muslims from Western countries joining overseas extremist groups in a way that I believe is extraordinary in history.

Islam -- not inherently, but the way in which it is being taught to people -- has something to do with the above. I don't know why. I don't know why a Sunni cares so much about who Muhammad designated as his successor that he would kill a Shiite. In some instances, "has something to do with" means "is a primary factor," in others it means "contributes to, along with many other factors."

Islamic countries -- countries that are not just predominantly Muslim, but in which Islam is a dominant cultural fact and influence (for example, countries in which you can be jailed for defaming Islam) -- have certain cultural norms that I find disgusting, particularly relating to the treatment of women. (This does not mean that no non-Muslim nations treat women poorly.) That treatment is not limited to government policy but permeates down to a man-on-the-street level, and is often worse at that level, and in my personal experience also carries over, to a thankfully lesser extent, to Muslims who do not live in Islamic countries.

I believe that the way Islam is taught has a great deal to do with the last item, too.

All of the above does NOT lead me to believe that Islam is evil, or Muslims are evil. It does lead me to believe that there is a problem within Islam, generally, that needs to be fixed within Islam. In a similar vein to how I believe that there is a problem of racism within American society, that needs to be fixed within American society.

All of the above renders me a bile-spouting Muslim hater, I realize.

OK, so my hypothesis here is that Islam is a symptom of the violent extremism you're describing rather than the cause -- i.e., that what you are describing is true in a bunch of countries that happen to be Islamic, is the result of factors other than their religion, and is expressed in an Islamic form because because such things often find a religious outlet and the religion in these countries happens to be Islam.

I think the phenomena you're describing is about the part of the world stretching from North Africa across to Pakistan. It's happening in nations which don't have much legitimacy, because the people in them don't see themselves as part of a national community. Countries like Iraq and Syria seem to be melting away. Lebanon often seems to be as well. Some nations that do have real legitimacy, such as Tunisia, Egypt and Iran. Absent strong national identity, both ethnic and religious identity becomes more important. Kurds and Pashtuns are examples of the former; Sunni and Shia are examples of the latter.

So you have a lot of instability caused by the lack of legitimate nation states. In that vacuum, ethnic and religious group identities assume more importance. But the fundamental problem is that vacuum.

Now maybe there's an argument that the vacuum can be attributed to religious beliefs -- that just as Max Weber thought that Protestant beliefs explained the success of Western capitalism, Islamic beliefs explain the politics of the Middle East. I'm all ears.

To your point about the treatment of women, I agree, but I again am not sure this is anything specially true about Islam -- which is to say, I don't see a reason to single out Islam on that score.

Tyrone Slothrop 11-07-2014 02:06 PM

Re: By the way
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 491024)
I may be wrong, but I think if the banking system had collapsed, it would have been the super rich that would have been fucked.

We all would have been fucked, because an awful lot of ordinary economic activity would have been halted. Don't focus on who was holding which assets -- think about the deals that then don't get made, what happens when banks stop making routine loans, and interest rates jump, etc.

ThurgreedMarshall 11-07-2014 02:18 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 491049)
OK, so my hypothesis here is that Islam is a symptom of the violent extremism you're describing rather than the cause -- i.e., that what you are describing is true in a bunch of countries that happen to be Islamic, is the result of factors other than their religion, and is expressed in an Islamic form because because such things often find a religious outlet and the religion in these countries happens to be Islam.

I think the phenomena you're describing is about the part of the world stretching from North Africa across to Pakistan. It's happening in nations which don't have much legitimacy, because the people in them don't see themselves as part of a national community. Countries like Iraq and Syria seem to be melting away. Lebanon often seems to be as well. Some nations that do have real legitimacy, such as Tunisia, Egypt and Iran. Absent strong national identity, both ethnic and religious identity becomes more important. Kurds and Pashtuns are examples of the former; Sunni and Shia are examples of the latter.

So you have a lot of instability caused by the lack of legitimate nation states. In that vacuum, ethnic and religious group identities assume more importance. But the fundamental problem is that vacuum.

Now maybe there's an argument that the vacuum can be attributed to religious beliefs -- that just as Max Weber thought that Protestant beliefs explained the success of Western capitalism, Islamic beliefs explain the politics of the Middle East. I'm all ears.

To your point about the treatment of women, I agree, but I again am not sure this is anything specially true about Islam -- which is to say, I don't see a reason to single out Islam on that score.

Although, I'm not sure that by discussing Islam anyone is trying to single it out any more than discussing racism means you don't think sexism exists, I think this is the type of response I was looking for.

I'm not sure you have it right. And clearly I'm no expert, but do you think that there is a vaccuum because, say Afghanistan, isn't considered part of the international community and that leads to the tribalism you mentioned? Or is it because the ethnic and religious group identities are fundamentally more important to those groups of people such that the drawing of borders that defines Afghanistan as a country is and will always be meaningless?

And if that's the case and we could redefine Afghanistan into different, new segments--each its own country and each magically representing an ethnic and religious group--and Afghanistan's resources were split such that there were no wars based on unfair allocation, would things work out better? Would the need for groups like the Taliban to enforce their harsh views of what their religion should mean on everyone through acts of violence wane? Or is it too stupid a question to ask until hundreds of years have passed?

TM

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 11-07-2014 02:27 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 491041)
Counterexamples would be helpful if I said "exclusively" rather than "largely". I did not.

That should be clear, but I think your view, that you are no longer interested in trying to convince anyone, means you also are no longer interested in actually reading, or giving honest consideration to, what anyone says that is contrary to what you believe.

I still dispute largely, and was trying to focus on just that one issue with respect to counterexamples rather than write another essay to add the all the other essays. And I am going to resist the urge to point out that we pounded the shit out of Iraq for the better part of the last three decades, and now are complaining about Muslim violence and how it's caused by Islam. (Ok, maybe I didn't resist that urge.)

I have indeed listened to all your points, but that doesn't mean I'm going to respond to each one. There are some I agree with, some I disagree with, almost all I'd qualify. Yeah, I focus on what I'm most interested in in the responses, or on where I have an issue with somebody, and don't call out every place I agree with them or don't want to argue the point, or where I disagree but feel like I've already made my point and listened to theirs.

Think about it, do you really want me to write another long post interspersing a bunch of quotes from you and my thoughts on them to show I'm listening? Imagine we're in a bar discussing it, and assume I've nodded approval here and there and scowled at you a few times, and let's move on.

Sidd Finch 11-07-2014 02:42 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 491052)
I still dispute largely, and was trying to focus on just that one issue with respect to counterexamples rather than write another essay to add the all the other essays. And I am going to resist the urge to point out that we pounded the shit out of Iraq for the better part of the last three decades, and now are complaining about Muslim violence and how it's caused by Islam. (Ok, maybe I didn't resist that urge.)

I have indeed listened to all your points, but that doesn't mean I'm going to respond to each one. There are some I agree with, some I disagree with, almost all I'd qualify. Yeah, I focus on what I'm most interested in in the responses, or on where I have an issue with somebody, and don't call out every place I agree with them or don't want to argue the point, or where I disagree but feel like I've already made my point and listened to theirs.

Think about it, do you really want me to write another long post interspersing a bunch of quotes from you and my thoughts on them to show I'm listening? Imagine we're in a bar discussing it, and assume I've nodded approval here and there and scowled at you a few times, and let's move on.

I imagine we're in a bar, you called me a racist, threw a drink at me, and stormed off.

Tyrone Slothrop 11-07-2014 02:43 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 491051)
I'm not sure you have it right. And clearly I'm no expert, but do you think that there is a vaccuum because, say Afghanistan, isn't considered part of the international community and that leads to the tribalism you mentioned? Or is it because the ethnic and religious group identities are fundamentally more important to those groups of people such that the drawing of borders that defines Afghanistan as a country is and will always be meaningless?

My instinct is the latter. You have national borders and governments in a lot of places where people don't really see themselves (in any meaningful way) as citizens of that nation. In some parts of the world, European powers drew boundaries that put people into pretty arbitrary countries. Soviet Russia, for example, drew fucked-up boundaries in Central Asia essentially as a way to paralyze the area and prevent strong nations from emerging.

Quote:

And if that's the case and we could redefine Afghanistan into different, new segments--each its own country and each magically representing an ethnic and religious group--and Afghanistan's resources were split such that there were no wars based on unfair allocation, would things work out better? Would the need for groups like the Taliban to enforce their harsh views of what their religion should mean on everyone through acts of violence wane? Or is it too stupid a question to ask until hundreds of years have passed?
It's hard to change now, because you have groups in each of these countries that have figured out how to take control over the national governments and use that power to extract resources and maintain power. (I recently read How Nations Fail, which is excellent in describing this.) For parts of the world that were colonies of the West, this is what the colonial governments were trying to do. Upon independence, some faction within the new country essentially took over this machinery. Trying to devise new boundaries and arrangements means taking power away from people who have it, so there will be conflict.

A book I read in college that has really stayed with me is Imagined Communities, by Benedict Anderson.* One argument in it is that nations and national identities were tied to the printing press, because once people started to read newspapers, they began to see themselves as part of those communities. This happened in much of Europe and the Americas. In other parts of the world, polities that had been around for a while very easily saw themselves as communities -- Egypt, Ethiopia, Thailand, Japan, etc. But then there are whole parts of the world where national identity was grafted onto something else, and didn't quite take.

Even if everything I'm saying is right, there's still this weird attraction that Islam currently has for people who are disaffected, whether they're in Ontario or Paris or Syria. I think that's less about Islamic beliefs, and more about what Islam has come to signify to people politically. Often the people who are committing violence in the name of Islam are recent converts -- people who are less steeped in these beliefs than most.

* Sidd, this book is an example of an awesome job of a cultural explanation for the way people behave.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 11-07-2014 02:50 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 491043)
I don't doubt for a moment the choice was based on survival. I just fear that we will all find out that, in the long run, they chose poorly. I see ISIS engaging in a killing spree that will make Assad look like a schoolyard bully by comparison. And I'm not just talking about a genocidal murdering of Kurds by the hundreds of thousands.

If I had to identify the biggest things I thought fueled the rise of ISIS, they would be as follows:

1. Assad. Lots of causes for him being there and being what he is, but the chaos and brutality of his reign have a lot to do with creating the conditions in Syria for ISIS.

2. The Iraq war. We are the primary drivers of the conditions for ISIS' existence on the Iraqi side of the border. The combination of destabilizing local governments when we took out Hussein's people without having people and systems to put in place and leaving enormous caches of arms and large numbers of disenfranchised soldiers and police has a lot to do with why ISIS spread in Iraq.

3. Oil. Lots of people keep buying ISIS oil. It's their main source of funding. The pay their soldiers ten times what the other members of the Assad opposition pay their soldiers.

4. Gulf oil. Additional funding has come from individual oil barrons in the Gulf States and Saudi Arabia. Governments are tightening the screws on this now, but ISIS has alternative financing.

5. Theology. Being the baddest guy on the block helped them get off the ground by raising money originally and gets them some Jihadis, especially the ones they use for suicide attacks, even though their elite troops seem to be drawn more from the ranks of unemployed professional soldiers out of Iraq than from jihadis.

There are four things on that list the US can or has influence, but we're spending more time on the 5th. We seem to have drawn a line around Baghdad and Mosul, and along the Turkish border. If that holds, their rampage is unlikely to exceed Assads in body count. If that doesn't hold, you are exactly right.

Not Bob 11-07-2014 02:51 PM

The devil take your stereo and your record collection.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 491053)
I imagine we're in a bar, you called me a racist, threw a drink at me, and stormed off.

Two things:

1. This response amused me. I think you should demand satisfaction, pistols at dawn, etc.

2. I accidentally tried to log in as "Not Bad" (which sounds like a pretty good name for a mocking sock that Kafka might have used back at Infirm).

Ahem. Carry on.

Sidd Finch 11-07-2014 02:51 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 491049)
OK, so my hypothesis here is that Islam is a symptom of the violent extremism you're describing rather than the cause -- i.e., that what you are describing is true in a bunch of countries that happen to be Islamic, is the result of factors other than their religion, and is expressed in an Islamic form because because such things often find a religious outlet and the religion in these countries happens to be Islam.

I don't agree. I don't think it is coincidence or a symptom but rather that strains of Islam are promoting violent extremism. In way similar to, when Catholics actually listened to the Pope and he was telling them that all non-Catholics were heretics who God wanted killed, Catholics went around killing them. Or Hindus, as to Muslims in India.

Of course, they aren't mutually exclusive. There is a cycle. Extremism feeds off of violence and bad conditions, and then feeds violence and bad conditions, too.

Many, perhaps even most, religions have had a tendency over history to push people towards violent extremism. Over centuries, that situation has improved in many places. Sometimes (or in part -- it's always a mix I suppose) the improvement is due to the religious institutions lightening up, not calling for crusades and death to infidels and so forth. Sometimes it's because the religious institutions themselves hold less sway over adherents. Very few Catholics, particularly in the parts of the world where Catholicism originated and developed, follow church rules in anything resembling strict fashion. But Islam appears to be more firmly rooted in daily life, giving rise to more violence, and having more support for extremism, than any other. Not withstanding all the counterexamples that GGG has pointed to, which have not come close to showing that what I am saying is not accurate about today's world.





Quote:

To your point about the treatment of women, I agree, but I again am not sure this is anything specially true about Islam -- which is to say, I don't see a reason to single out Islam on that score.
I have trouble believing that you actually mean this.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 11-07-2014 02:52 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 491053)
I imagine we're in a bar, you called me a racist, threw a drink at me, and stormed off.

We have had a few drinks together. Have you ever seen me waste good scotch?*


* Also, note, I have inserted several disclaimers that I think no one on the board is a racist. At least, I largely think that.


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