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-   -   I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=879)

taxwonk 07-06-2016 05:03 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501616)
The world is shit.

TM

See, you've reduced it to something simple to understand.

Hank Chinaski 07-06-2016 05:04 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 501652)
Ah, you mean other than Russia's presence in Syria and their plans and troops and stuff and all the back and forth between Kerry and Russia and the coalition over the last couple of years? Or like Russia's presence in the Caucuses and dealing with all the terror there and in Central Asia, like when Russia invaded Afghanistan (remember that?)? Or dealing with terror attacks in places like Moscow and Dagestan?

In other words, huh? How long did Rip van Winkle sleep again?

I know Russia deals with terrorism. Beslam posts were all deleted, but I remember them. I meant specifically dealing with ISIS.

taxwonk 07-06-2016 05:05 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 501625)
also, not looking to defend Trump, but on the Star of David/Hil issue, is there any reason to believe Trump would want to paint Hil as friendly to Israel or Jewish people in general? It seems more that he will say she/Obama were hostile to Israel.

You're not looking at Trump's true base, which these days is far more likely to wave the stars & bars than they are the Mogen David.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-06-2016 05:09 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 501662)
I know Russia deals with terrorism. Beslam posts were all deleted, but I remember them. I meant specifically dealing with ISIS.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=My6M9HCviEs

taxwonk 07-06-2016 05:11 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501627)
So what are your views on democracy? Ah, never mind.

Daily Dose time. Grooved-out bass line? Check. Distorted wah wah guitars? Check. Driving horn lines? Check. Incorporation of the word "funk" into the band or song name? Check! It's Con-funk-shun with "Clique":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-YNM0MGv8lo

A heavy dose of funk need not be obscure. You can go all Dick Clark and still feed the need.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-06-2016 05:13 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501658)
You're right. I'm trying to force a structure. Most forced redistribution works that way. You could do it with use fees or excise taxes, if you prefer. But forced redistribution does have some element of compulsion in it. That's why it's called forced. Because the greedy gloryhallastoopid big banks ain't gonna redistribute profits, opportunities, risks, or paper clips voluntarily.

look. This is draggin on long enough.

You want to control banks? We already have them by the short and hairies.

American commercial banking is almost completely dependent on the fed's window to make money. It sets their cost of capital, provides them liquidity, and pretty much creates their entire business for them. Just condition access to the window on banks doing X and they'll do X. Whether X is blowing Roger Ailes or making funds available to poor people, though, frankly, they'd prefer to blow Roger.

taxwonk 07-06-2016 05:17 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 501666)
look. This is draggin on long enough.

You want to control banks? We already have them by the short and hairies.

American commercial banking is almost completely dependent on the fed's window to make money. It sets their cost of capital, provides them liquidity, and pretty much creates their entire business for them. Just condition access to the window on banks doing X and they'll do X. Whether X is blowing Roger Ailes or making funds available to poor people, though, frankly, they'd prefer to blow Roger.

So, in other words, if the Fed were to say "start opening up syndications to bulge bracket banks on similar terms, it could be done?

Pretty Little Flower 07-06-2016 05:19 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501665)
A heavy dose of funk need not be obscure. You can go all Dick Clark and still feed the need.

I agree, and I have tried to alternate between more obscure funk 45s and more established artists such as James Brown, the Meters and the various P-Funk incarnations. That said, I have tried to avoid moving into the disco genre, although the lines are certainly blurred. Mainly, I have attempted to keep roughly within a 1968-75 time frame. What I think of as, for lack of a better phrase, roots funk.

taxwonk 07-06-2016 05:21 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501668)
I agree, and I have tried to alternate between more obscure funk 45s and more established artists such as James Brown, the Meters and the various P-Funk incarnations. That said, I have tried to avoid moving into the disco genre, although the lines are certainly blurred. Mainly, I have attempted to keep roughly within a 1968-75 time frame. What I think of as, for lack of a better phrase, roots funk.

I wasn't being critical. Your Con-Funk-Shun link just reminded me of that tune.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-06-2016 05:32 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501667)
So, in other words, if the Fed were to say "start opening up syndications to bulge bracket banks on similar terms, it could be done?

They'd resell loans to Trump's casinos in exchange for chips if it was a condition of window access.

Pretty Little Flower 07-06-2016 05:39 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 501666)
look. This is draggin on long enough.

You want to control banks? We already have them by the short and hairies.

American commercial banking is almost completely dependent on the fed's window to make money. It sets their cost of capital, provides them liquidity, and pretty much creates their entire business for them. Just condition access to the window on banks doing X and they'll do X. Whether X is blowing Roger Ailes or making funds available to poor people, though, frankly, they'd prefer to blow Roger.

I'm confused, was Gretchen Carlson trying to open a bank?

SEC_Chick 07-06-2016 05:51 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501663)
You're not looking at Trump's true base, which these days is far more likely to wave the stars & bars than they are the Mogen David.

While not all of Trump's supporters are anti-Semites and white Supremacists, he is pretty much the exclusive candidate of choice for those populations. And he actively solicits their support. How many times can someone accidentally retweet a neo-Nazi? I and like conservatives are branded "Cuckservatives" by Trump supporters solely because we are not sufficiently supportive of the white race.

As much as I detest Kasich, I would vote for him in the general if the delegates were successful in the #DumpTrump/#FreeTheDelegates movement of being able to vote their conscience instead of the candidate to whom they are "bound". Kasich kills Hillary in the polls. I might even want him to come out of the convention rather than Cruz, if only because of the certainty of a win by Kasich. I could hold my nose and vote for him as I did McCain and Romney. Trump is absolutely not a lesser evil than Hillary. I am leaning towards concluding that Gary Johnson might be the least of the evils, but I still haven't decided what I am going to do.

Hank Chinaski 07-06-2016 06:06 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501655)
I'm also out of here. Fuck this place and fuck all you motherfuckers. I quote National Review articles and y'all respond to me like I wrote that shit? Jesus. Fucking. Christ. I'm not on Facebook, so I guess this is goodbye. Also, if you're wondering why the opening exclamation from today's Daily Dose sounds familiar ("Are you ready?"), it's because it is sampled in Justin Timberlake's Bringing Sexy Back. Now why are y'all listening to Timberlake? That's some fucked up bullshit, and you're dancing around in your house when nobody else is there, acting like you actually are bringing sexy back and shit. That nonsense is an independent reason why I am totally out of here. Nobody should have to put up with that type of behavior from the other posters in an online lawyer chatting board. I'm gone. Forever. The Daily Dose is Eddie Bo with Hook and Sling, Parts 1 & 2. That guitar lick is so damn funky. Peace out. Good riddance.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dD7KuDwAuZ8

before you go would you pleazzzze tell Sidd I'm sorry and I'll never do it again? Tell him i sound sincere?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-06-2016 06:23 PM

Re: Question
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501668)
I agree, and I have tried to alternate between more obscure funk 45s and more established artists such as James Brown, the Meters and the various P-Funk incarnations. That said, I have tried to avoid moving into the disco genre, although the lines are certainly blurred. Mainly, I have attempted to keep roughly within a 1968-75 time frame. What I think of as, for lack of a better phrase, roots funk.

All funk is good funk.

ThurgreedMarshall 07-06-2016 06:27 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501657)
I realize I'm just a simple country tax lawyer

Yeah. This is tiresome.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501657)
but last time I checked players were free to bid or not bid on a financing.

You want a big bank to bid on a billion dollar financing in multiple tranches. $300 million at 4%, another $100 million at 3% with smaller banks, and $50 million at 2.5% with even smaller banks in the syndicate. Why would a bank do this for the same credit? Are we forcing Borrowers to structure the loans with different types of collateral every time to take that into account?

Whatever. This conversation is silly. Join me and Sidd and PLF over at the bar where we can all talk about Hank behind his back. Crap. Hold on. It's Moth night.

TM

Adder 07-07-2016 10:04 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 501672)
the certainty of a win by Kasich.

:eek:

Not Bob 07-07-2016 11:09 AM

All I ask, don't tell anybody the secrets I told you.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 501632)
Wow. Sounds like he was really careless, about something of limited import, nothing top secret, but still careless.

I think that the whole email saga sums up nearly all of the concerns I have about Secretary Clinton.

1. Setting up a private email server was a bad idea, regardless of whether or not Colin Powell (and Condi Rice? Honestly don't remember.) used a private email account as Secretary of State. Why did she do it? My guess is that, based upon her 20-plus years of being under the microscope of hostile and partisan investigation, she wanted to stay in control of the information that would be used against her. Understandable, sure. Still a really bad idea. Surely people told her that, and just as surely, she rejected their advice not to do it.

This is probably why corporate litigators, who -- if I may use a stereotype -- are instinctually inclined to withhold all of a client's documents as is possible under the rules (or even somewhat beyond the rules) don't make good choices in dealing with political scandals and "scandals."

2. Not making sure that the private email server was properly secured - physical security and cyber security. Presumably she delegated this, but it's on her.

She's not always relied on the right people. Mark Penn. Dick Morris (IIRC, she encouraged Bill to bring him back into the fold in 1995-96 to help rescue a re-election campaign that was viewed as toast after the Gingrich Revolution.) Sidney Blumenthal.

3. Having shifting explanations and justifications for her use of a private email server.

Sigh. It's like it's 1997-98 all over again. And whatever one thinks about her explanations to the press and public, at least she (apparently) didn't lie to the FBI. Even if one sets aside the intent issue and the "this stuff wasn't really secret" aspect of the information that was found in her emails, this is what distinguishes her situation from the General Petreaus case.

Anyway. Carry on.

Pretty Little Flower 07-07-2016 11:56 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501655)
I'm also out of here. Fuck this place and fuck all you motherfuckers. I quote National Review articles and y'all respond to me like I wrote that shit? Jesus. Fucking. Christ. I'm not on Facebook, so I guess this is goodbye. Also, if you're wondering why the opening exclamation from today's Daily Dose sounds familiar ("Are you ready?"), it's because it is sampled in Justin Timberlake's Bringing Sexy Back. Now why are y'all listening to Timberlake? That's some fucked up bullshit, and you're dancing around in your house when nobody else is there, acting like you actually are bringing sexy back and shit. That nonsense is an independent reason why I am totally out of here. Nobody should have to put up with that type of behavior from the other posters in an online lawyer chatting board. I'm gone. Forever. The Daily Dose is Eddie Bo with Hook and Sling, Parts 1 & 2. That guitar lick is so damn funky. Peace out. Good riddance.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dD7KuDwAuZ8

Another black man shot dead after a traffic stop for a broken tail light. I feel like I can say with complete certainty that more black males have been shot to death by police after being stopped for having broken tail lights than the entire universe of people who have been injured or killed as a result of someone driving around with a broken tail light. Do I know exactly what went down before the woman started shooting the video? No. But it looks really fucking bad. Watch the video. It is really disturbing. Today's Daily Dose is the Isley Brothers. Fight the Power, Parts 1 & 2:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8QZvoOqUkqw

Adder 07-07-2016 11:59 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501683)
Do I know exactly what went down before the woman started shooting the video? No. But it looks really fucking bad.

It looks terrible.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-07-2016 12:21 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 501684)
It looks terrible.

So Trump is going to stand by Article 12 of the Constitution.

taxwonk 07-07-2016 01:13 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 501670)
They'd resell loans to Trump's casinos in exchange for chips if it was a condition of window access.

Imagine that. To hear some tell it, you'd think that any change at all is near impossible.

taxwonk 07-07-2016 01:16 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 501672)
While not all of Trump's supporters are anti-Semites and white Supremacists, he is pretty much the exclusive candidate of choice for those populations. And he actively solicits their support. How many times can someone accidentally retweet a neo-Nazi? I and like conservatives are branded "Cuckservatives" by Trump supporters solely because we are not sufficiently supportive of the white race.

As much as I detest Kasich, I would vote for him in the general if the delegates were successful in the #DumpTrump/#FreeTheDelegates movement of being able to vote their conscience instead of the candidate to whom they are "bound". Kasich kills Hillary in the polls. I might even want him to come out of the convention rather than Cruz, if only because of the certainty of a win by Kasich. I could hold my nose and vote for him as I did McCain and Romney. Trump is absolutely not a lesser evil than Hillary. I am leaning towards concluding that Gary Johnson might be the least of the evils, but I still haven't decided what I am going to do.

Cruz is Trump with a slightly thicker veneer.

taxwonk 07-07-2016 01:17 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501680)
Yeah. This is tiresome.

You want a big bank to bid on a billion dollar financing in multiple tranches. $300 million at 4%, another $100 million at 3% with smaller banks, and $50 million at 2.5% with even smaller banks in the syndicate. Why would a bank do this for the same credit? Are we forcing Borrowers to structure the loans with different types of collateral every time to take that into account?

Whatever. This conversation is silly. Join me and Sidd and PLF over at the bar where we can all talk about Hank behind his back. Crap. Hold on. It's Moth night.

TM

They have spray for moths.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-07-2016 01:20 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 501642)
What do you think W did to cause this?

"Every American should own a home..." Remember that? His "ownership society," or some crap like that? He doubled down on Clinton's silly effort to make shit borrowers into decent credit risks. But unlike Clinton, who had altruistic but naive aims, Bush knew better. At the time he was pushing for more home ownership, it was obvious people were cashing in on home equity to make up for wages they were losing, or to live beyond their means, or to flip homes. It was a lazy, risky, dumb way to to create economic gains and activity in an economy that hadn't been moving much since the tech collapse.

Credit Clinton and Obama for not doing much economically while they were in office. Bubba knew he had a good thing with the tech boom and took a hands off approach. Obama was given a seriously awful situation and stayed a conservative, sensible course where a lot of people in his position, with progressives clamoring for more aggressive interventionist measures might've done a lot more. (It's odd the market should blame so much volatility on "dithering" by Obama. The actual facts show a cautious, nearly Republican approach. The only thing he did to fuck things up a bit was the ACA, and he had no choice on that, as he'd promised it as a centerpiece of his agenda.)

taxwonk 07-07-2016 01:28 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501689)
"Every American should own a home..." Remember that? His "ownership society," or some crap like that? He doubled down on Clinton's silly effort to make shit borrowers into decent credit risks. But unlike Clinton, who had altruistic but naive aims, Bush knew better. At the time he was pushing for more home ownership, it was obvious people were cashing in on home equity to make up for wages they were losing, or to live beyond their means, or to flip homes. It was a lazy, risky, dumb way to to create economic gains and activity in an economy that hadn't been moving much since the tech collapse.

Credit Clinton and Obama for not doing much economically while they were in office. Bubba knew he had a good thing with the tech boom and took a hands off approach. Obama was given a seriously awful situation and stayed a conservative, sensible course where a lot of people in his position, with progressives clamoring for more aggressive interventionist measures might've done a lot more. (It's odd the market should blame so much volatility on "dithering" by Obama. The actual facts show a cautious, nearly Republican approach. The only thing he did to fuck things up a bit was the ACA, and he had no choice on that, as he'd promised it as a centerpiece of his agenda.)

The housing bubble was a bad idea. The equivalent of using the G's Master Card to buy a war was a worse idea and a bigger factor. The housing bubble could have been staved off sooner and to a greater degree if he hadn't already blown his wad on avenging Dad.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-07-2016 01:31 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501644)
Yes and no. The markets like stability. The markets will plummet if Trump wins. And they will surely fluctuate wildly during a Trump Presidency. Hell, I don't know where the fuck I'd put my money to keep it safe from that jackass. Under my mattress?

TM

I don't think this would be true over the long term. First, should he become a serious contender, the markets will more aggressively price in his potential impact.

Anything can be priced in today. Everybody was flipping out about Brexit. It came, it went, all losses erased within five days. Trump would be more substantial, but after a few weeks of wild swings, things would normalize, the silver linings would be found, people would recall it's all a Fed policy driven joke anyway, and it'd continue its upward march.

The more crazy things happen with regularity, the less their impact.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-07-2016 01:40 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501690)
The housing bubble was a bad idea. The equivalent of using the G's Master Card to buy a war was a worse idea and a bigger factor. The housing bubble could have been staved off sooner and to a greater degree if he hadn't already blown his wad on avenging Dad.

Yes, Iraq was the single worst blunder, economically, in terms of foreign policy, and in every other conceivable regard. But I was just talking about tinkering with the domestic economy. Bush's signature move there was the "everybody gets a home" plan -- an obvious bubble creation machine if there ever was one.

I can't find a quote, but I recall a famous economist stating the bubble of last resort - something you see in every failing state - is a series of residential property bubbles.

ThurgreedMarshall 07-07-2016 01:41 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501691)
I don't think this would be true over the long term. First, should he become a serious contender, the markets will more aggressively price in his potential impact.

Anything can be priced in today. Everybody was flipping out about Brexit. It came, it went, all losses erased within five days. Trump would be more substantial, but after a few weeks of wild swings, things would normalize, the silver linings would be found, people would recall it's all a Fed policy driven joke anyway, and it'd continue its upward march.

The more crazy things happen with regularity, the less their impact.

You keep repeating this. It makes no sense. The market cannot account for a lunatic in the most powerful office in the world. Offending Putin into war, tossing out trade agreements at a whim, attacking an ally because they tweeted criticism--we can't even think of all of the things that psycho could affect if he were to hold office. I think you think he will act in a sane way (or will be controlled--by who, I have no clue) if he were to win. But your wishful thinking does not make it so.

TM

Adder 07-07-2016 01:42 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501689)
"Every American should own a home..." Remember that? His "ownership society," or some crap like that?

Okay, but what did he actually do, other than express that sentiment? If I recall, Freddie and Fannie expanded their less than prime programs, but I don't think it was at W's direction (because I don't think he could direct it).

I'm also not sure it was a bad thing until the banks took it a lot farther. Although I guess you could say he failed to regulate the risks those banks were taking.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-07-2016 01:56 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501693)
You keep repeating this. It makes no sense. The market account for a lunatic in the most powerful office in the world. Offending Putin into war, tossing out trade agreements at a whim, attacking an ally because they tweeted criticism--we can't even think of all of the things that psycho could affect if he were to hold office. I think you think he will act in a sane way (or will be controlled--by who, I have no clue) if he were to win. But your wishful thinking does not make it so.

TM

Britain left the EU - a huge event. The market dropped 800 points over a couple days and was back over 18k after a couple more. Putin annexes Crimea. Market shrugs it off. Job reports comes in shockingly low last month? To the market, it's just noise. Etc... Everything is a mere hiccup at worst.

The markets have had a year to watch this clown. Is he volatile? Yes. But is he such a loose cannon he can overcome the checks and balances designed to keep us from electing our own Caligula? No. And the markets wisely understand this. Trump will create turmoil, and the markets will not like it for a time. But much as they've throw a hissy fit at the notion of rate increases, checking Yellen from being more aggressive, the big market participants will demand that the inexorable climb upward be resumed, Trump Presidency be dammed.

I could see Trump as a positive for the market because he'd create enough turmoil to keep rates depressed for an even longer time than they're already likely to be.

Is he the market's preferred winner? Hell no. You're absolutely right they want Hillary. They like calm. But the markets would, in relatively short order, spin a Trump Presidency to their advantage. They will make lemonade from even rotten lemons. The march upward will be resumed. And everyone involved will continue to hate it, predict it will crash, and discuss how things like Trump and Brexit will surely crater it. The participants are so numb (and a lot of them robots) at this point, they'll climb a wall of worry higher than even Trump could build.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-07-2016 02:13 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 501694)
Okay, but what did he actually do, other than express that sentiment? If I recall, Freddie and Fannie expanded their less than prime programs, but I don't think it was at W's direction (because I don't think he could direct it).

I'm also not sure it was a bad thing until the banks took it a lot farther. Although I guess you could say he failed to regulate the risks those banks were taking.

He was a cheerleader for it because nothing else was spurring his economy. Recall his early tax rebate that created no activity?

No President ever actually implements his specific plans. He endorses them, or their predicted effects, and creates the atmosphere where the people who do the actual implementation are either mandated to or feel comfortable putting the policies to work.

Yeah, Clinton started the mortgage loan relaxation efforts. But Bush presided over, welcomed, and encouraged their expansion, which conveniently ginned up an otherwise lousy economy.

ThurgreedMarshall 07-07-2016 02:49 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501695)
Britain left the EU - a huge event. The market dropped 800 points over a couple days and was back over 18k after a couple more. Putin annexes Crimea. Market shrugs it off. Job reports comes in shockingly low last month? To the market, it's just noise. Etc... Everything is a mere hiccup at worst.

The markets have had a year to watch this clown. Is he volatile? Yes. But is he such a loose cannon he can overcome the checks and balances designed to keep us from electing our own Caligula? No. And the markets wisely understand this. Trump will create turmoil, and the markets will not like it for a time. But much as they've throw a hissy fit at the notion of rate increases, checking Yellen from being more aggressive, the big market participants will demand that the inexorable climb upward be resumed, Trump Presidency be dammed.

I could see Trump as a positive for the market because he'd create enough turmoil to keep rates depressed for an even longer time than they're already likely to be.

Is he the market's preferred winner? Hell no. You're absolutely right they want Hillary. They like calm. But the markets would, in relatively short order, spin a Trump Presidency to their advantage. They will make lemonade from even rotten lemons. The march upward will be resumed. And everyone involved will continue to hate it, predict it will crash, and discuss how things like Trump and Brexit will surely crater it. The participants are so numb (and a lot of them robots) at this point, they'll climb a wall of worry higher than even Trump could build.

I'm sorry, but this is mostly nonsense based on nothing.

TM

Pretty Little Flower 07-07-2016 03:26 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501697)
I'm sorry, but this is mostly nonsense based on nothing.

TM

I don't think you're actually sorry.

Hank Chinaski 07-07-2016 03:35 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501698)
I don't think you're actually sorry.

I am{sad face}

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-07-2016 03:47 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501697)
I'm sorry, but this is mostly nonsense based on nothing.

TM

remember, the great depression was just the market pricing in the dust bowl.

no biggie

ThurgreedMarshall 07-07-2016 03:54 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501698)
I don't think you're actually sorry.

What makes you say such a thing?

TM

SEC_Chick 07-07-2016 04:19 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501687)
Cruz is Trump with a slightly thicker veneer.

Three hours ago I would have disputed this. After meeting with Trump, Cruz, while not endorsing, has accepted Trump's invitation and agreed to speak at the convention. Unless he's speaking to accept the nomination from freed delegates (and he's not. I am not that delusional) Cruz is all but dead to me. Way to not actually kiss his ring, but still appear to submit, jackass.

On the plus side, I listened in to the Comey hearings today and learned that my Gmail account has way better security that Hillary's email while she was Secretary of State. So double yay for me!

Icky Thump 07-07-2016 04:50 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501691)
I don't think this would be true over the long term. First, should he become a serious contender, the markets will more aggressively price in his potential impact.

Anything can be priced in today. Everybody was flipping out about Brexit. It came, it went, all losses erased within five days. Trump would be more substantial, but after a few weeks of wild swings, things would normalize, the silver linings would be found, people would recall it's all a Fed policy driven joke anyway, and it'd continue its upward march.

The more crazy things happen with regularity, the less their impact.

If he becomes president the markets will be more like the deal that Negan and Rick work out in season 7 of TWD.

SEC_Chick 07-07-2016 05:22 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 501709)
If he becomes president the markets will be more like the deal that Negan and Rick work out in season 7 of TWD.

Half your stuff and you get to live is pretty much the best deal out there right now. Thanks for helping to resolve my issue of who to write in for President.

Icky Thump 07-07-2016 05:25 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 501711)
Half your stuff and you get to live is pretty much the best deal out there right now. Thanks for helping to resolve my issue of who to write in for President.

You forget one important aspect of The Art of The Deal:

http://www.fjcruiserforums.com/forum...glen-death.png


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