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-   -   Objectively intelligent. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=884)

Icky Thump 11-03-2020 09:11 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 530456)
TX may go blue.
Early votes. Later votes have closed the gap for Bunker Boy.

Icky Thump 11-03-2020 10:11 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
CNN and the NYT way behind NPR. NPR map fills in quicker and it's all filling in red.

sebastian_dangerfield 11-03-2020 11:17 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 530460)
CNN and the NYT way behind NPR. NPR map fills in quicker and it's all filling in red.
It’s all on TX right now.

We’re a fuckshow. Litigation forever. And more crooked than AL. Couldn’t give an honest count, if ever, until 2023.

Tyrone Slothrop 11-04-2020 01:53 AM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 530461)
It’s all on TX right now.
What are you drinking? Can I have some?

sebastian_dangerfield 11-04-2020 09:49 AM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 530462)
What are you drinking? Can I have some?
At the time I wrote that, Texas had not been called, and I was still assuming that a huge wave of mail in voting would turn it blue.

sebastian_dangerfield 11-04-2020 09:51 AM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 530460)
CNN and the NYT way behind NPR. NPR map fills in quicker and it's all filling in red.
Look at the percentages of uncounted votes around Detroit, and the Wisconsin numbers. Biden is probably going to win Michigan and Wisconsin. He is also probably going to win Nevada, and then he has that weird single vote from Nebraska. That equals a 271 vote success.

I don’t see how Biden can win Pennsylvania. There are 1 million votes outstanding, and he is down by 700,000.

Replaced_Texan 11-04-2020 10:00 AM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 530463)
At the time I wrote that, Texas had not been called, and I was still assuming that a huge wave of mail in voting would turn it blue.
Ah, the mail ins in Texas are counted first, which is why it looked like we were trending blue initially.

I think it was getable but there was NO campaigning in Texas at all, except for a last-minute visit from Harris. Most of the efforts were GOTV (like mine), but no candidates really paid attention to the state as a whole.

Hank Chinaski 11-04-2020 10:21 AM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 530464)
Look at the percentages of uncounted votes around Detroit, and the Wisconsin numbers. Biden is probably going to win Michigan and Wisconsin. He is also probably going to win Nevada, and then he has that weird single vote from Nebraska. That equals a 271 vote success.

I don’t see how Biden can win Pennsylvania. There are 1 million votes outstanding, and he is down by 700,000.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/u...s-ballots.html

If these are heavily Philly, it is doable. Detroit votes 90% Dem.

sebastian_dangerfield 11-04-2020 11:52 AM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 530466)
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/04/u...s-ballots.html

If these are heavily Philly, it is doable. Detroit votes 90% Dem.
That could happen, but those have to be almost exclusively Philly. But it's all academic. We don't have to play the FL in this elections. You and WI have already decided it.

Tyrone Slothrop 11-04-2020 12:44 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 530467)
That could happen, but those have to be almost exclusively Philly. But it's all academic. We don't have to play the FL in this elections. You and WI have already decided it.
https://twitter.com/NathanTankus/sta...070828544?s=20

Hank Chinaski 11-04-2020 01:33 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 530468)
Right now Biden is down 400K. Philly is going 80% for Biden and only 60% of its votes are in.

Adder 11-04-2020 01:41 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 530469)
Right now Biden is down 400K. Philly is going 80% for Biden and only 60% of its votes are in.
WI, MI, AZ and NV give Biden exactly 270, with the Trump campaign calling for a recount in WI. Sure would be nice to eek out a win in PA to make that irrelevant.

sebastian_dangerfield 11-04-2020 04:46 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adder (Post 530470)
WI, MI, AZ and NV give Biden exactly 270, with the Trump campaign calling for a recount in WI. Sure would be nice to eek out a win in PA to make that irrelevant.
I’m rubbing my eyes. I still can’t believe the way this worked out. We now have a socially liberal/fiscally tax friendly government in place. Holy shit.

As long as the Rs hold the Senate in midterms, we finally get with the silent majority of the country wants. The crazy social conservatives and tea party people are basically exiled, and the progressives can’t push Biden, because he is handcuffed by a Republican Senate. And the Trump tax cuts run through 2025.

Tyrone Slothrop 11-04-2020 05:35 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 530471)
I’m rubbing my eyes. I still can’t believe the way this worked out. We now have a socially liberal/fiscally tax friendly government in place. Holy shit.

As long as the Rs hold the Senate in midterms, we finally get with the silent majority of the country wants. The crazy social conservatives and tea party people are basically exiled, and the progressives can’t push Biden, because he is handcuffed by a Republican Senate. And the Trump tax cuts run through 2025.
The way you pretend to care about nothing and then occasionally admit to actually having views and preferences is maddening. I think we all mostly understand that you are full of sh*t when you pretend not to have views, but still.

Hank Chinaski 11-04-2020 06:25 PM
Re: Objectively intelligent.
 
It looks like most of the votes still out for Nevada and Arizona are from very blue areas, so sigh!!!!

It looks like Biden is down about 280K in Pa with about 710K still to be counted. So they have to be 70% Biden?


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