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-   -   Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=883)

Tyrone Slothrop 03-28-2019 02:01 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521814)
My prediction, by the way, is that Barr keeps stonewalling on this but someone decides to just drop a copy in the mail, and it then finds its way on to the internet.

Agreed. Every generation needs its Daniel Ellsberg.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-28-2019 02:20 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 521829)
Agreed. Every generation needs its Daniel Ellsberg.

Barr's current line appears to be "it will take us weeks to get the redactions done" before he can release anything, even to Congress.

I'm a corporate attorney and I've heard judges laugh at that line.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-28-2019 02:21 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 521744)
No. You are in Crazytown and you've built yourself quite the comfortable life there.

We already know he obstructed justice. He did it in the fucking open. He publicly stated that he fired Comey because of the investigation. He fired Sessions because he recused himself. He asked for his own guy to be put in place at the SDNY. I believe there is lots of evidence showing this in the report. I'd like to see it.

Barr auditioned for this job because he believes, fundafuckingmentally that the President cannot obstruct justice. Trump got the message loud and clear and installed him. And guess what? Barr has concluded Trump didn't obstruct justice. It's a complete joke.

It is so obvious that there is enough in that report--re collusion and obstruction--to impeach this asshole and charge him with obstruction (you know, if you believed that a sitting President could be guilty of obstruction) that the White House, Barr and the entire Republican Party do not want to be held accountable for not being involved in doing so.

Your rants about what the media (again, not a monolithic entity) "implied" by reporting on the actual comings and goings of this criminal fucking Administration are pure ether above the clouds. Maybe you can't separate the opinion pieces and talking heads from the actual reporting. But your ravings are meaningless, empty, bullshit because they are based on a bullshit memo written by a man whose reputation you think is something other than what it actually is about the report that we all absolutely need to see.

You are a sucker because you have swallowed the Republican strategy hook, line, and sinker.

TM

Bill Barr summary: "chortle"

sebastian_dangerfield 03-28-2019 03:19 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521830)
Barr's current line appears to be "it will take us weeks to get the redactions done" before he can release anything, even to Congress.

I'm a corporate attorney and I've heard judges laugh at that line.

Really? Because it routinely takes people weeks to redact discovery responses of a similar size. Why do you think most discovery deadlines in state and fed rules allow 30 days for response (which is routinely extended by agreement of counsel)?

Also, why wouldn't the brevity and speed of Barr's letter, along with the fact that he has admitted Mueller gave him a heads-up on the report weeks ago, indicate that:

1. Barr had a summary of the report, either verbally or written or both, from Mueller long before the actual report was given to him; and,
2. He worked with Mueller in advance to get a letter together (they are friends and have a professional history), which allowed him to offer one so quickly (he certainly didn't read 300 pages with exhibits over the weekend).

When Mueller delivered his report, by law a notice he'd done so was required to be filed in Court. Barr and Mueller both knew this, and so knew that there would be immense pressure put on Barr to issue something to the public very quickly. While I absolutely believe that the report will contain saucy, sleazy, and ugly bon mots regarding Trump, and Barr may attempt to avoid their disclosure, the speed and brevity of the Barr letter may be 1 part conspiracy to hide bad facts and 5 parts coordination between Mueller and Barr in advance to release something as quickly as possible.

I mean, we all agree there's no way:

1. Barr is misrepresenting Mueller on the material, big issue (collusion);
2. Barr wrote that letter over the weekend; or,
3. Barr or his staff read all the material in the report over the weekend.

This letter and its release were weeks in the making, and that planning could only occur if Mueller was coordinating on some level with Barr, and we already know that his office had tipped off Barr regarding the report a few weeks ago.

Given this timing, if you think Barr's letter is a ratfuck, you also have to think or at least suspect that possibly Mueller was partly in on the ratfuck. One can think anything he likes, but that would some wildly unusual thinking.

Tyrone Slothrop 03-28-2019 03:29 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
From a former federal prosecutor, at TPM:

Quote:

A few thoughts on the Barr Gambit, which I think will go down as a singular achievement in the annals of intellectual dishonesty and bad faith legal jujitsu:

1. It is undisputed that the Russian government brazenly interfered in the 2016 election to support Donald Trump. In so doing, the Russians and those acting on their behalf committed a variety of federal crimes including computer hacking and conspiracy to defraud the U.S. Those crimes were committed to benefit (a) Vladimir Putin and the interests of the Russian government; and (b) Donald J. Trump. It is also undisputed that Trump and his campaign joyfully used and weaponized the information the Russians stole against Hillary Clinton. Trump personally trumpeted the Wikileaks disclosures 141 times during the campaign, and his surrogates countless more times. While Mueller’s team apparently “did not establish” (i.e., did not find enough evidence to charge criminally) that Trump personally conspired with the Russian government to commit the underlying crimes, there is no question that he was (along with Putin) the single biggest beneficiary of those criminal efforts.

2. Mueller apparently pulled together significant evidence that the President attempted to obstruct the investigation into these crimes. But to support his decision not to prosecute the President for obstruction of justice, Barr relied in part on Mueller’s conclusion that he could not prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the President was involved in an underlying criminal conspiracy. Therefore, Barr’s reasoning goes, Trump lacked corrupt intent to obstruct because, at least in part, he was not involved in any underlying crime. This argument is both legally wrong (obstruction charges don’t depend on the existence of an underlying crime, just an investigation or proceeding), and it flies in the face of one simple fact: Trump was a prime beneficiary of the undisputed criminal conduct that did occur. He of course had a strong personal interest in seeking to obstruct this investigation for a variety of reasons. If you receive and use stolen money, even if you weren’t involved in the theft, you have a strong interest in thwarting any efforts to investigate the underlying theft. Why? Because you don’t want to lose the right to hold onto your money. Same here. This investigation posed a direct threat to the Presidency. It also posed a direct threat to prying open Trump’s shady business empire. Barr’s argument might hold water if the Russian election interference was intended to help Hillary and Trump’s campaign was not the subject of the investigation. As it stands, the President had a deep personal stake in the outcome of the investigation and it appears he used his executive power to thwart it. That cannot be countenanced.

3. The non-charging decision on obstruction by Mueller cannot be explained as a failure of evidence. On conspiracy or coordination, it appears Mueller made a clear decision not to charge because of a lack of evidence. As too many members of the media seem to get wrong, this was not a “no evidence” situation, but rather a failure to get to the required level of admissible evidence to prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt. And the level of proof had to be something in between probable cause (you can’t get 500 search warrants without it) and proof beyond a reasonable doubt. I have no problem with that decision from a prosecutorial discretion standpoint. There was lots of evidence of an underlying conspiracy, but it was always going to be very difficult to prove the President’s direct involvement with sufficient admissible evidence (classified intercepts from foreign governments won’t do it). And Manafort and Stone holding the line seems to have been the stopped the Mueller team short. Mueller made a decision not to charge conspiracy because of a lack of evidence, so why not obstruction? If it’s a 50-50 call and a pure “jump ball” that’s easy. You decline. If it’s “more likely than not,” the civil standard, you also decline. Even if it’s “clear and convincing” evidence that doesn’t rise to the level of proof beyond a reasonable doubt, you decline the case. So what is going on here? To me, the only answer is that they had a chargeable obstruction case but stopped short of making a decision to charge the President–because he’s the President. It could have been the policy not to indict a sitting President, it could have been the legal and policy arguments around executive authority, or it could have been out of deference to the legislative branch and its impeachment prerogatives. Any way you cut it, I just can’t see Mueller shying away from a tough evidentiary call. If we ever get to see it, I fully expect the actual Mueller report to contain a devastating case against the President for obstruction of justice. This is why we should expect to see Barr, the White House, and the Republicans in Congress fight like hell to keep as much of the report as possible away from the public and House Judiciary. Democrats cannot let this go.
There's no principled reason why Congress shouldn't have access to what Mueller found. Eventually it will.

Sebby, you are welcome to read this but I'm posting it for others on the board, not to try to argue with you or convince you of anything.

Adder 03-28-2019 03:59 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521832)
Really? Because it routinely takes people weeks to redact discovery responses of a similar size. Why do you think most discovery deadlines in state and fed rules allow 30 days for response (which is routinely extended by agreement of counsel)?

Also, why wouldn't the brevity and speed of Barr's letter, along with the fact that he has admitted Mueller gave him a heads-up on the report weeks ago, indicate that:

1. Barr had a summary of the report, either verbally or written or both, from Mueller long before the actual report was given to him; and,
2. He worked with Mueller in advance to get a letter together (they are friends and have a professional history), which allowed him to offer one so quickly (he certainly didn't read 300 pages with exhibits over the weekend).

When Mueller delivered his report, by law a notice he'd done so was required to be filed in Court. Barr and Mueller both knew this, and so knew that there would be immense pressure put on Barr to issue something to the public very quickly. While I absolutely believe that the report will contain saucy, sleazy, and ugly bon mots regarding Trump, and Barr may attempt to avoid their disclosure, the speed and brevity of the Barr letter may be 1 part conspiracy to hide bad facts and 5 parts coordination between Mueller and Barr in advance to release something as quickly as possible.

I mean, we all agree there's no way:

1. Barr is misrepresenting Mueller on the material, big issue (collusion);
2. Barr wrote that letter over the weekend; or,
3. Barr or his staff read all the material in the report over the weekend.

This letter and its release were weeks in the making, and that planning could only occur if Mueller was coordinating on some level with Barr, and we already know that his office had tipped off Barr regarding the report a few weeks ago.

Given this timing, if you think Barr's letter is a ratfuck, you also have to think or at least suspect that possibly Mueller was partly in on the ratfuck. One can think anything he likes, but that would some wildly unusual thinking.

So now you're just making up your own facts?

I'll grant you that it would make sense for Mueller to have had a say in Barr's summary. The problem is if that were true, don't you think Barr and the right wing media would be repeating that "fact" until blue in the face?

ThurgreedMarshall 03-28-2019 04:00 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 521833)
From a former federal prosecutor, at TPM:

Whoa. That dude models tin foil hats in Crazytown! He's a lunatic.

TM

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-28-2019 04:07 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521832)
Really? Because it routinely takes people weeks to redact discovery responses of a similar size. Why do you think most discovery deadlines in state and fed rules allow 30 days for response (which is routinely extended by agreement of counsel)?

Also, why wouldn't the brevity and speed of Barr's letter, along with the fact that he has admitted Mueller gave him a heads-up on the report weeks ago, indicate that:

1. Barr had a summary of the report, either verbally or written or both, from Mueller long before the actual report was given to him; and,
2. He worked with Mueller in advance to get a letter together (they are friends and have a professional history), which allowed him to offer one so quickly (he certainly didn't read 300 pages with exhibits over the weekend).

When Mueller delivered his report, by law a notice he'd done so was required to be filed in Court. Barr and Mueller both knew this, and so knew that there would be immense pressure put on Barr to issue something to the public very quickly. While I absolutely believe that the report will contain saucy, sleazy, and ugly bon mots regarding Trump, and Barr may attempt to avoid their disclosure, the speed and brevity of the Barr letter may be 1 part conspiracy to hide bad facts and 5 parts coordination between Mueller and Barr in advance to release something as quickly as possible.

I mean, we all agree there's no way:

1. Barr is misrepresenting Mueller on the material, big issue (collusion);
2. Barr wrote that letter over the weekend; or,
3. Barr or his staff read all the material in the report over the weekend.

This letter and its release were weeks in the making, and that planning could only occur if Mueller was coordinating on some level with Barr, and we already know that his office had tipped off Barr regarding the report a few weeks ago.

Given this timing, if you think Barr's letter is a ratfuck, you also have to think or at least suspect that possibly Mueller was partly in on the ratfuck. One can think anything he likes, but that would some wildly unusual thinking.

I mostly deal with Delaware Chancery, whose view of such things generally is, take the weekend, have fun. I think there is less urgency in ambulance chasing cases where the Judge probably thinks the Hospital has better things to do than keep responding to your spurious motions.

As to what "we" all "know" or don't: let's get the facts out. This isn't stuff we need to speculate on.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-28-2019 05:39 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 521829)
Agreed. Every generation needs its Daniel Ellsberg.

It's kind of interesting how cocky the GOP is based on Barr's non-report.

I'm betting the tone changes as more comes out. The last I heard is that the real report is somewhere between 300 and 1000 pages long, plus attachments. Think of how that much material plays in a multi-day hearing.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-28-2019 05:41 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521836)
I mostly deal with Delaware Chancery, whose view of such things generally is, take the weekend, have fun. I think there is less urgency in ambulance chasing cases where the Judge probably thinks the Hospital has better things to do than keep responding to your spurious motions.

As to what "we" all "know" or don't: let's get the facts out. This isn't stuff we need to speculate on.

I used to work in Del Chancery a fair amount. I actually like the Court a lot. Protectionist bar (DE rules for admission are nuts), but very efficient and polite.

In terms of procedure and deadlines, I found it to be very similar to most other Fed and State courts.

Thirty days is typical for doc response everywhere.

ETA: I agree the report should come out in full. But then what will we talk about in the interim?

sebastian_dangerfield 03-28-2019 05:56 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 521834)
So now you're just making up your own facts?

I'll grant you that it would make sense for Mueller to have had a say in Barr's summary. The problem is if that were true, don't you think Barr and the right wing media would be repeating that "fact" until blue in the face?

That cuts against my theory there.

I’m not saying I know the answer. All of this is conjecture, from all sides. The only people who know all the facts are Barr and Mueller and Rosenstein.

But anyone thinking Barr is materially misrepresenting Mueller on collusion is in Crazytown. That’s just too insane.

The battle here is over obstruction. Even that ex-prosecutor cited by Ty had to engage in “logical jujitsu” in his first paragraph to try to somehow find collusion that Mueller hadn’t.

There’s a bit of comedy here in each side of this discussion using conjecture from others when it suits their arguments, then attacking the opposition for using conjecture from others to support its arguments. It’s got a sham feel to it at times. Like everyone’s just dug in really deep, intractably.

LessinSF 03-28-2019 08:13 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521838)
I agree the report should come out in full. But then what will we talk about in the interim?

Avenatti. Extortion or negotiation?

Tyrone Slothrop 03-28-2019 09:09 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521839)
The battle here is over obstruction. Even that ex-prosecutor cited by Ty had to engage in “logical jujitsu” in his first paragraph to try to somehow find collusion that Mueller hadn’t.

The battle is political, whether people will find out what Trump and his campaign did.

Mueller found collusion, you brick. As multiple people have pointed out, we know about it from Mueller's work. "Collusion" is not a crime, as you have pointed out. Mueller did not find sufficient evidence to bring criminal charges for conspiracy between the Trump campaign and the Russian government, something different from and narrower than "collusion."

Icky Thump 03-28-2019 10:25 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 521840)
Avenatti. Extortion or negotiation?

Straight up gangster stick up.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-28-2019 10:53 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 521841)
The battle is political, whether people will find out what Trump and his campaign did.

Mueller found collusion, you brick. As multiple people have pointed out, we know about it from Mueller's work. "Collusion" is not a crime, as you have pointed out. Mueller did not find sufficient evidence to bring criminal charges for conspiracy between the Trump campaign and the Russian government, something different from and narrower than "collusion."

If it’s political, you lost already, you naive shmuck. Let’s talk about Avenatti.

If you don’t understand the only thing left for you given the political climate and D/R split in the Senate is proof Barr misrepresented Mueller in regard to ability to criminally charge, and win, you’re in Crazyland. I’ve no interest in wading into that place.

If you think “collusion” sticks without a criminal charge, you’re delusional.

Drive this through that brick between your ears: Go to SDNY and nail this guy in a forum where you can win. This Russiagate thing is Over.

Don’t get pissy. You asked for the pragmatic take. I’m being polite.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-28-2019 11:03 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 521842)
Straight up gangster stick up.

Asking for the $15-20 mil for the corporate investigation = Cooked. There are “bad facts” in every defense. Then there are, “Fuck, we gotta plea... You have any mental health or substance abuse issues we can use?” facts.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-28-2019 11:08 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 521840)
Avenatti. Extortion or negotiation?

He was going to pocket the investigation fees to give the company a clean record. It’s hard not to commit more flagrant fraud.

And he forged 3 years worth of tax returns! Bank fraud is a lazy prosecutor’s charge because under our shit crim code almost any speculator can be technically charged if in the crosshairs for something else. But this dude wrote up 3 years of entirely fraudulent tax returns. He’s fucked.

Tyrone Slothrop 03-29-2019 12:52 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521843)
If it’s political, you lost already, you naive shmuck. Let’s talk about Avenatti.

If you don’t understand the only thing left for you given the political climate and D/R split in the Senate is proof Barr misrepresented Mueller in regard to ability to criminally charge, and win, you’re in Crazyland. I’ve no interest in wading into that place.

If you think “collusion” sticks without a criminal charge, you’re delusional.

Drive this through that brick between your ears: Go to SDNY and nail this guy in a forum where you can win. This Russiagate thing is Over.

Don’t get pissy. You asked for the pragmatic take. I’m being polite.

Go fuck yourself and stop being polite. We all understand that Mueller was never going to indict Trump, given DOJ policy, and that this Senate was never going to impeach Trump unless things changed a lot. Things could change a lot if Mueller's reports shows facts that Republicans can't spin away. Or not, if the report is not that damaging or if Barr can keep the report bottled up.

But mostly, go fuck yourself. You parrot the conventional wisdom of the latest news cycle and conservative talking points sanctimoniously even as you pretend you're having an original thought. You simultaneously regurgitate the combined wisdom of CNN, MSNBC and Fox, and complain about how the media got it wrong. Try having an independent thought.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 09:41 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Go fuck yourself and stop being polite.
Might I start with a fashion tip? A long flowing robe is the perfect accompaniment for a tinfoil mitre. You'll want silver piping, of course.

Quote:

We all understand that Mueller was never going to indict Trump, given DOJ policy, and that this Senate was never going to impeach Trump unless things changed a lot.
You didn't expect that Mueller was going to issue a report in which he said that regardless of the DOJ reg on not charging a sitting President, there was not enough to charge Trump or his campaign with conspiracy with Russians. That's a gut punch from which the hardcore Trump haters and a majority of the media that wanted Watergate II is still reeling.

That fucks up the core of the narrative about Russian collusion both politically and legally. Of course you never expected an indictment. But what you wanted, and you did not get, was a finding there were crimes. What pisses you off is that Mueller said, even if Trump were a private citizen, there's not enough to charge conspiracy with Russia. That's the obelisk from 2001 that stares you in the face every time you try to resurrect a claim that Trump conspired with Russians. And so a vague "collusion" assertion is all you have left. And that is a lot of the media's claim now. A sour grapes, petulant, "We didn't care. We knew he'd never indict Trump. But Trump 'colluded' nevertheless, and that's just awful." To that I'd say:

We all knew that already. He did that on national TV. So then what was the significance of this Mueller report you've been telling us was going to change everything and torpedo Trump?

The significance, of course, is that, lathered in your disgust for this man, wrapped up in a self-righteous fervor, You Wanted Him in Criminal Crosshairs. And Mueller fucked you.

You're so deluded that you'll argue with me about whether a majority of the media was at fault here. You can't abide any criticism of anything that attacks Trump. To many here, and on the Left generally, to be a skeptic of the anti-Trump camp is indistinguishable from being pro-Trump. You're emotional. You care too much. It's clouding your powers of reason.

Sometimes, the bad guy wins. Actually, most of the time. In this instance, because the good guys made a strategic blunder by making such a big deal of this report.

And your last pathetic argument, an ad hominen (because when you ain't got much else...), is to assert I parrot mainstream media. Taibbi and Greenwald are many things. Mainstream media they most certainly are not. Where I did cite mainstream media supporting the argument that the majority of the media was to blame here, it was Bloomberg and the Nation. These are not right wing sources and the articles were written by people who dislike Trump.

And the silliness of criticizing me for parroting mainstream media is you've been doing exactly that since the Barr letter was issued. Almost every media outlet that was engaged in a conviction-before-report here has been trying to salvage itself from embarrassment by saying that we don't have all the facts, and Barr is engaged in a cover-up. I just drove ten miles and heard Joe Scarborough rattle off those very points. If anyone's swallowing mainstream media kool aid here, it's you.

It's true we don't have all the material facts on obstruction, and you still have some cards to play there. Barr's declination can be criticized. I ultimately think it's ludicrous to assert that obstruction can be based on things a President does in plain sight, defending himself. I think, equitably, you have a right to try to damage and impede an investigation in any means you like aside from destruction of evidence and witness tampering. (Prosecutors already have a deck stacked far too much in their favor.) But some would disagree. And those people are entitled to see the entire report, as are we all, and use the evidence of what they think constitutes obstruction to make an argument that it should have been charged.

But relitigating the Russian conspiracy? Stop. Your team got outsmarted in the election. (Those of us on neither team, like me, were also outsmarted, figuring Hillary had it in the bag.) And it's not a crime to opportunistically, on national TV, invite the Russians to do what they did. If you want it to be a crime, go pass a law. But stop fucking whining.

ETA: If you want to hear how Trump actually won the election, with the assistance of Cambridge Analytica and Facebook, by suppressing millions of likely Hillary votes and bringing out millions of likely Trump votes, through entirely legal manipulation, listen to Brain McNamee, Zuckerberg's early mentor and now critic, walking Sam Harris through the strategy: https://samharris.org/podcasts/152-trouble-facebook/

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 10:07 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 521846)
Go fuck yourself and stop being polite. We all understand that Mueller was never going to indict Trump, given DOJ policy, and that this Senate was never going to impeach Trump unless things changed a lot. Things could change a lot if Mueller's reports shows facts that Republicans can't spin away. Or not, if the report is not that damaging or if Barr can keep the report bottled up.

But mostly, go fuck yourself. You parrot the conventional wisdom of the latest news cycle and conservative talking points sanctimoniously even as you pretend you're having an original thought. You simultaneously regurgitate the combined wisdom of CNN, MSNBC and Fox, and complain about how the media got it wrong. Try having an independent thought.

I think he's actually arguing on behalf of the Fox folks against NBC and wants us to be CNN, giving equal time to morons. Otherwise, yeah, a lot of hot air, no original thoughts. And no worry about whether any of his thoughts have any basis in reality.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 10:09 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521847)
Might I start with a fashion tip? A long flowing robe is the perfect accompaniment for a tinfoil mitre. You'll want silver piping, of course.



You didn't expect that Mueller was going to issue a report in which he said that regardless of the DOJ reg on not charging a sitting President, there was not enough to charge Trump or his campaign with conspiracy with Russians. That's a gut punch from which the hardcore Trump haters and a majority of the media that wanted Watergate II is still reeling.

That fucks up the core of the narrative about Russian collusion both politically and legally. Of course you never expected an indictment. But what you wanted, and you did not get, was a finding there were crimes. What pisses you off is that Mueller said, even if Trump were a private citizen, there's not enough to charge conspiracy with Russia. That's the obelisk from 2001 that stares you in the face every time you try to resurrect a claim that Trump conspired with Russians. And so a vague "collusion" assertion is all you have left. And that is a lot of the media's claim now. A sour grapes, petulant, "We didn't care. We knew he'd never indict Trump. But Trump 'colluded' nevertheless, and that's just awful." To that I'd say:

We all knew that already. He did that on national TV. So then what was the significance of this Mueller report you've been telling us was going to change everything and torpedo Trump?

The significance, of course, is that, lathered in your disgust for this man, wrapped up in a self-righteous fervor, You Wanted Him in Criminal Crosshairs. And Mueller fucked you.

You're so deluded that you'll argue with me about whether a majority of the media was at fault here. You can't abide any criticism of anything that attacks Trump. To many here, and on the Left generally, to be a skeptic of the anti-Trump camp is indistinguishable from being pro-Trump. You're emotional. You care too much. It's clouding your powers of reason.

Sometimes, the bad guy wins. Actually, most of the time. In this instance, because the good guys made a strategic blunder by making such a big deal of this report.

And your last pathetic argument, an ad hominen (because when you ain't got much else...), is to assert I parrot mainstream media. Taibbi and Greenwald are many things. Mainstream media they most certainly are not. Where I did cite mainstream media supporting the argument that the majority of the media was to blame here, it was Bloomberg and the Nation. These are not right wing sources and the articles were written by people who dislike Trump.

And the silliness of criticizing me for parroting mainstream media is you've been doing exactly that since the Barr letter was issued. Almost every media outlet that was engaged in a conviction-before-report here has been trying to salvage itself from embarrassment by saying that we don't have all the facts, and Barr is engaged in a cover-up. I just drove ten miles and heard Joe Scarborough rattle off those very points. If anyone's swallowing mainstream media kool aid here, it's you.

It's true we don't have all the material facts on obstruction, and you still have some cards to play there. Barr's declination can be criticized. I ultimately think it's ludicrous to assert that obstruction can be based on things a President does in plain sight, defending himself. I think, equitably, you have a right to try to damage and impede an investigation in any means you like aside from destruction of evidence and witness tampering. (Prosecutors already have a deck stacked far too much in their favor.) But some would disagree. And those people are entitled to see the entire report, as are we all, and use the evidence of what they think constitutes obstruction to make an argument that it should have been charged.

But relitigating the Russian conspiracy? Stop. Your team got outsmarted in the election. (Those of us on neither team, like me, were also outsmarted, figuring Hillary had it in the bag.) And it's not a crime to opportunistically, on national TV, invite the Russians to do what they did. If you want it to be a crime, go pass a law. But stop fucking whining.

ETA: If you want to hear how Trump actually won the election, with the assistance of Cambridge Analytica and Facebook, by suppressing millions of likely Hillary votes and bringing out millions of likely Trump votes, through entirely legal manipulation, listen to Brain McNamee, Zuckerberg's early mentor and now critic, walking Sam Harris through the strategy: https://samharris.org/podcasts/152-trouble-facebook/

I didn't read this post but I note it is about the length of the Barr summary.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 10:10 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by lessinsf (Post 521840)
avenatti. Extortion or negotiation?

wwtd

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 10:35 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521848)
I think he's actually arguing on behalf of the Fox folks against NBC and wants us to be CNN, giving equal time to morons. Otherwise, yeah, a lot of hot air, no original thoughts. And no worry about whether any of his thoughts have any basis in reality.

http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/4...unningHerd.jpg

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 11:32 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521851)

https://images.techhive.com/images/i...llery.idge.gif

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 11:45 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521852)
[IMG]*

"For my next comedic masterstroke, I think I will condense The Brothers Karamazov to Barr length... Only question is whether I can fit a humblebrag into the thread suggesting I read a 19th century translation. Maybe I'll suggest I read it in French."

https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-XMd4V9T5K...h-plan-amc.jpg

Adder 03-29-2019 11:48 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521839)
But anyone thinking Barr is materially misrepresenting Mueller on collusion is in Crazytown. That’s just too insane.

I don't know about "materially misrepresenting," or even what that means, but that fact that Barr's summary does not quote even a single entire sentence is consistent with my belief that the report contains evidence of collusion that we've not yet seen.

Obviously, not enough to cause Mueller to reach a different conclusion, but something.

Quote:

The battle here is over obstruction.
Yes, and this is where Barr really does seem to be playing fast and loose.

Adder 03-29-2019 11:49 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521843)
If you think “collusion” sticks without a criminal charge, you’re delusional.

Oh, I definitely think there can be lost votes without a criminal charge.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 11:54 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 521855)
Oh, I definitely think there can be lost votes without a criminal charge.

Lost votes in the Senate and lost votes in the election, I agree. But not enough in Senate to convict on impeachment. Mueller gave him too much cover for that, and McConnell will ensure the line holds. Because McConnell knows if the GOP was seen as part of a convicting majority, they'll lose the Trump base, and that's pretty much the end of the GOP.

But (oh, I know I'll get shit for this) Trump's going to lose in 2020 anyway. He pulled off a grand coup in 2016 and got crazy lucky. But those 70k votes on which he won have evaporated. Florida is letting ex-felons vote. It's like a million new votes. He's cooked.

Adder 03-29-2019 11:59 AM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521847)
Barr's declination can be criticized.

I mean, it's literally unnecessary given DOJ policy on charging the president so its only purpose is to put a thumb on the scale regarding public opinion and/or impeachment, so, yeah, understatement.

Quote:

And it's not a crime to opportunistically, on national TV, invite the Russians to do what they did. If you want it to be a crime, go pass a law. But stop fucking whining.
You have, from the beginnings of these discussions, accepted the GOP frame that's laser-focused on "crimes." Which has been such a wildly successful strategy that no one is talking about how Mueller found that the Russian were actively interfering with the election, Trump new about it and was lying about it and thus compromised from an intelligence perspective from the jump. Putin literally had information he could use to influence Trump - the fact that Trump knew and lied about Russian involvement in the campaign - from day 1.

That alone should be a massive scandal.

Adder 03-29-2019 12:03 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521856)
Lost votes in the Senate and lost votes in the election, I agree. But not enough in Senate to convict on impeachment. Mueller gave him too much cover for that, and McConnell will ensure the line holds. Because McConnell knows if the GOP was seen as part of a convicting majority, they'll lose the Trump base, and that's pretty much the end of the GOP.

Barr's coverup and obstruct strategy has likely taken impeachment off the table, yes. Even if Mueller meant to leave the obstruction question to Congress, there's little chance of that now.

That's not the end of accountability.

Quote:

But (oh, I know I'll get shit for this) Trump's going to lose in 2020 anyway.
I hope so, but I'm going to need you to vote for the Dem anyway.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 12:06 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 521854)
I don't know about "materially misrepresenting," or even what that means, but that fact that Barr's summary does not quote even and single entire sentence is consistent with my belief that the report contains evidence of collusion that we've not yet seen.

Obviously, not enough to cause Mueller to reach a different conclusion, but something.



Yes, and this is where Barr really does seem to be playing fast and loose.

Material means Barr isn't changing any of Mueller's fundamental conclusions on the two issues on which Mueller reported.

Barr's weakness on obstruction is the reliance on lack of underlying crime. You can engage in obstruction without having committed a crime. That's a flatly absurd conclusion he should have omitted from the letter.* The way around obstruction is Barr's other position: That Trump clearly demonstrated a belief from the start that he did not commit a crime, as shown in his statements, and therefore did not have the intent to avoid the uncovering of anything, but was merely defending himself. That statement alone gets Barr where he needs to be. The existence or non-existence of a crime is immaterial. What's material is whether Trump was doing what he was doing to frustrate an investigation, or merely doing it to defend himself. That's a case that's really hard to make because ultimately, only Trump knows why he did what he did. Good luck getting to that answer.

_______
* ETA: Barr may have included that statement because to the general public, "no crime, no cover up" closes the case. Politically, it's smart. But to the people who'll assess his letter on logic and legal reasoning, it's damaging. I think Barr assumed, correctly, there are far fewer of us than there are people in the general public who'll accept "no crime, no cover-up."

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 12:20 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 521857)
You have, from the beginnings of these discussions, accepted the GOP frame that's laser-focused on "crimes." Which has been such a wildly successful strategy that no one is talking about how Mueller found that the Russian were actively interfering with the election, Trump new about it and was lying about it and thus compromised from an intelligence perspective from the jump. Putin literally had information he could use to influence Trump - the fact that Trump knew and lied about Russian involvement in the campaign - from day 1.

That alone should be a massive scandal.

I think I'm being misunderstood. Do I agree that asking the Russians to hack Hillary is a huge scandal? Of course. It's insane. You and I agree about that being something so wrong and irregular that it should have disqualified Trump.

I highlight the lack of criminality in large part to demonstrate how crazy a majority of the media and Trump haters who drank its kool aid were from the start. If this thing had never gone where politics always seems to go - criminal prosecutions for political reasons - we'd be looking at the issue of "How fucked up is Trump to have courted Russian interference?" That's a political discussion worth having. And it harms Trump among sane people.

But instead, a majority of the media, and the rabid Trump haters, led a large portion of the country to believe Mueller was going to come back with proof of criminal acts. That was a high standard, a really tough promise to keep. And in it's failure, Trump has now been given a gift. He gets to say "I'm exonerated" of criminal charges where the discussion should have remained, "Trump asked Russians to hack us. Are we really going to re-elect someone so crazy?"

I understand there was enough smoke to warrant Mueller's probe. But I think there's also a lesson in this, and the Stevens case, and the Menendez case, about the criminalization of politics. I'm loathe to say we need new laws, but we definitely need some sort of legislation or regulation to stop dragging prosecutors and investigators into political battles. Particularly where we've all know from the start, the only real way to beat this guy is at the ballot box.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 12:23 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521853)
"For my next comedic masterstroke, I think I will condense The Brothers Karamazov to Barr length... Only question is whether I can fit a humblebrag into the thread suggesting I read a 19th century translation. Maybe I'll suggest I read it in French."

https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-XMd4V9T5K...h-plan-amc.jpg

What's the point to reading Karamazov in French? And it's kind of pitiful, you know, to suggest that reading a book is a brag of any sort.

Now, if you'd read Nabokov's commentary on his translation of Eugene Onegin in both Russian and English because that is the only way to truly understand it, that's different. There's a brag.

But did I mention a national publication quoted my #billbarrletters tweet on Moby Dick today? #nothumble

Adder 03-29-2019 12:30 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521859)
Material means Barr isn't changing any of Mueller's fundamental conclusions on the two issues on which Mueller reported.

Oh, but we know that he is changing the fundamental conclusion regarding obstruction.

And yes, Barr's statement was for political consumption, not legal. Which is smart as the only remedies on the table are political anyway.

Adder 03-29-2019 12:39 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 521860)
But instead, a majority of the media, and the rabid Trump haters, led a large portion of the country to believe Mueller was going to come back with proof of criminal acts.

And, again, I don't think you're correctly diagnosing where the "criminal" expectations came from. "It's not a crime" is literally a Giuliani talking point and it was meant to, and did, narrow the scandal to only crimes and thus relegate outrageous misconduct and being compromised by a foreign-power to non-issue status.

That wasn't the media's idea, even if many of them fell for it.

Quote:

I understand there was enough smoke to warrant Mueller's probe. But I think there's also a lesson in this, and the Stevens case, and the Menendez case, about the criminalization of politics.
Mueller's investigation exists entirely because Trump fired Comey and then said he did it to end the Russia investigation, which, recall, began as an intelligence investigation into whether Trump was compromised, not a criminal investigation.

What we need is to elect people who are smart enough lie less, or lie better, or, if they actually believe themselves to be innocent, let the process play out.

Of course, he isn't innocent and the investigation was going to demonstrate that he was compromised, so I guess their strategy worked perfectly.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 12:48 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 521863)
And, again, I don't think you're correctly diagnosing where the "criminal" expectations came from. "It's not a crime" is literally a Giuliani talking point and it was meant to, and did, narrow the scandal to only crimes and thus relegate outrageous misconduct and being compromised by a foreign-power to non-issue status.

That wasn't the media's idea, even if many of them fell for it.



Mueller's investigation exists entirely because Trump fired Comey and then said he did it to end the Russia investigation, which, recall, began as an intelligence investigation into whether Trump was compromised, not a criminal investigation.

What we need is to elect people who are smart enough lie less, or lie better, or, if they actually believe themselves to be innocent, let the process play out.

Of course, he isn't innocent and the investigation was going to demonstrate that he was compromised, so I guess their strategy worked perfectly.

Pew poll just came out, by about a 2:1 margin Americans believe Trump engaged in criminal conduct, only slightly larger margin think his conduct was unethical.

That basically means that post-Barr summary almost everyone outside of the foxholers think he's a crook.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 01:02 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521861)
What's the point to reading Karamazov in French? And it's kind of pitiful, you know, to suggest that reading a book is a brag of any sort.

Now, if you'd read Nabokov's commentary on his translation of Eugene Onegin in both Russian and English because that is the only way to truly understand it, that's different. There's a brag.

But did I mention a national publication quoted my #billbarrletters tweet on Moby Dick today? #nothumble

Saying one is reading a book is never pitiful. But that's not what I said, which you grasp.

Congrats on your Twitter quote.

sebastian_dangerfield 03-29-2019 01:09 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521864)
Pew poll just came out, by about a 2:1 margin Americans believe Trump engaged in criminal conduct, only slightly larger margin think his conduct was unethical.

That basically means that post-Barr summary almost everyone outside of the foxholers think he's a crook.

In other news, the Earth completed its rotation around the sun once more. If you look outside, you will see light from this sphere of hot plasma.

Hank Chinaski 03-29-2019 01:14 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 521864)
Pew poll just came out, by about a 2:1 margin Americans believe Trump engaged in criminal conduct, only slightly larger margin think his conduct was unethical.

That basically means that post-Barr summary almost everyone outside of the foxholers think he's a crook.

What difference does what the public thinks is in it make? I don't know what is in it, so if I answer the poll, so what? On the other hand, the % that wants it made public, that is important.

But on a more basic note, Icky was starting to tell groupie fuck stories, and you lot started another sebby thread and shut him down. Why?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 03-29-2019 01:22 PM

Re: Mueller Report
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 521867)
What difference does what the public thinks is in it make? I don't know what is in it, so if I answer the poll, so what? On the other hand, the % that wants it made public, that is important.

But on a more basic note, Icky was starting to tell groupie fuck stories, and you lot started another sebby thread and shut him down. Why?

missed that, sorry, icky, carry on


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