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-   -   Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=875)

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 04-01-2016 01:55 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500107)
How does the carried interest benefit any congressional district? All it does is allow wealthy people to avoid paying income and employment tax on their compensation. The rest of the taxpayers are further burdened by having to make up the revenue shortfall through higher taxes on their significantly lower incomes.

It's pretty simple. The venture capitalists all live in Massachusetts and California and to a lesser extent New York.

The economy here is heavily dependent on the Venture investors. If you walk down Mass. Ave. in Cambridge or drive down Route 128 or visit any office park in the state, you will see endless numbers of buildings with names on them filled with people who are there because of venture capital.

So even if they are incredibly chintzy political donors, and the political views of the average venture capitalist tend to be a fairly bizarre macho libertarianism that makes most politicians either smirk or squirm, no one wants to do anything political that kills whatever keeps those geese laying these golden eggs we see all around us.

So, you get the states that ought to lead the charge against carried interest on ideological grounds fighting against it on practical grounds.

And if you chart out who gets those tax breaks and where they live, they'll live here, not in Alabama.

ThurgreedMarshall 04-01-2016 02:10 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 500085)
It contributed a bit, but you're right. The culprit was thirty years of wage stagnation and debt accumulation. The Internet boom of the '90s papered us around a reckoning we'd otherwise have had. Then the engineered housing bubble of the '00s papered us around the reckoning once more.

This is not correct.

The culprit was the steady move from the halfway reasonable greed we used to endure on Wall Street to full-on, grab absolutely everything and fuck everyone else approach that we currently suffer through. The rewriting of a law which removed the ban on outright gambling which enabled assholes to take out insurance on assets they never came close to owning combined with the greed and idiocy of banks who were paying themselves irresponsibly large bonuses on the premiums on those insurance products that they never thought they'd have to pay out and on which they did absolutely zero research was the problem. Combine that with the fact that Republicans have steadily reduced our ability to police anyone on Wall Street by eliminating departments who were already overwhelmed trying to catch the most sophisticated crooks in the world and mix it with banks who were knowingly selling piles of shit that they forced rating agencies to rate as triple A if they wanted to keep their business. Sprinkle in the fact that they created the market for those products and overlooked the massive fraud created by the oversized demand that was going on at every level below (from mortgage brokers to the local banks who bought them) and you have a recipe for the crash.

It wasn't about wage stagnation. I suppose you can add that the shift of the right wing pitch of the American dream from a picket fence and 2.5 white children to "Everyone can be Trump, and when you make it, you won't want to pay taxes" assisted the rich take even more of the pie. Hell, the fact that we let Walmart put every small business out of business and then scream bloody murder when we try to introduce legislation to take care of the people who now have to work and shop there. We all subsidize Walmart's criminally low pay by providing their employees with healthcare, food stamps, and other care. All that may have something to do with wage stagnation, but wage stagnation and personal debt levels did not create the great recession.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 500085)
The country is diseased with an approximately 1/2 of society who simply cannot afford to live at a decent standard. We cannot pay for them with transfers. We cannot give them better jobs. Our ability to raise all boats with the usual tools is lost for many decades to come to global labor arbitrage and technology.

You act like we haven't gutted our unions and neglected our minimum wage. Those are the things that lift all boats. You put money in the hands of those who will spend it and will get spent.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 500085)
We dither at the fringes and offer silly fixes like "Education will save us!" It will not. The robots and cheaper labor abroad are eventually coming for all of us.

This may be true. But if we continue to shit all over our educational system, the people doing the innovating and owning will be in other countries.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 500085)
We can blame bankers, or the entitlement classes, or any other group we'd like to demonize if it makes us feel better.

Or we can blame them for the elaborate fraud they pulled and actually hold them responsible. Of course it won't mean a thing because the risk-reward analysis for any rational human being in the current bonus culture is a very easy and predictable one.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 500085)
But the alternative, which you're seeing right now in the Sanders and Trump voters, is a prolonged populist backlash. It's a splintered country of extreme haves and have nots.

You are definitely mainly correct on this.

TM

Sidd Finch 04-01-2016 02:15 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
I want a candidate who intends to keep pushing to get where we should be. The Republicans voted to repeal the ACA 50 times. The Democrats should have introduced 50 bills to make the system single payer, or to make the entire nation one risk pool and make policies uniform, like Medicare Suplemental plans.

Why won't my people joust at windmills? The other side is jousting at windmills!! WHERE ARE MY FUCKING WINDMILL-JOUSTERS????

You do realize that, in a Republican-controlled House, those bills wouldn't even get out of committee -- don't you?

You apparently do not realize that lining up Democrats to say "Yes, we passed ACA, the biggest expansion of public benefits in decades. But it's shitty and we hate it!!!!" would not be very smart.


Quote:

It's not about winning the fight; it's about not cutting a shit deal and letting the rest drop. For every bill where the Republicans needed a single Democratic vote, the White House should have been pushing for an amendment that gave the people one more break.

Which were the bills on which Republicans needed Democratic votes?

Sidd Finch 04-01-2016 02:16 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500093)
Whatever, Sidd. I've never demanded purity in anything. I'm just not buying into the idea that I have to vote for a cynical hack who looks out for the people who pay her and fuck everybody else because if I don't Ted Cruz and his white-sheet cowboys are going to march me off to the American Auschwitz like a Japanese internee. And before you accuse anybody of being smug I suggest you clean your mirror.

You don't have to vote for Hillary, just like my moronic cousin doesn't have to vote for anyone other than Trump.

At least he understands what he's doing. And he's a moron.

Sidd Finch 04-01-2016 02:19 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 500100)
To be honest, I have never been a huge fan of the National Review. It skewed a bit Establishment for my taste. It didn't offend me, and I would read it in a doctor's office or someplace like that, but it wouldn't be my first choice. I actually hold it in much higher esteem after their anti-Trump issue, which caused them to lose the sponsorship of a GOP debate. I read the Weekly Standard, which is similar in tone, but that is because I have a gift subscription. I probably wouldn't subscribe on my own. I am not a Rush listener, but from what I understand his show is now The Trump Show featuring Rush Limbaugh. Breitbart used to be respectable, but had evealed itself to be Trumpbart well before the Michelle Fields incident. Andrew Breitbart is probably turning over in his grave.

I used to be an avid reader of Drudge, but that has been entirely replaced in my list of favorites with Redstate, which is decidedly #NeverTrump. Most of the Fox News personalities on the Trump bandwagon were buffoons before (Sean Hannity, Greta Van Susteren, Eric Bolling, Andrea Tantaros, O'Reilly), so that has just made those personalities even more unpalatable.

I always considered Beck a loon, but have given him a second glance because of his anti-Trump position. I still don't care to listen to him personally, but TheBlaze now supplants Redstate. Mr. Chick recently subscribed to the Conservative Review.

There has been a fairly substantial shift in my consumption of conservative media, and I do not think I can ever go back. It is an unfathomable that I could trust a source that I know supported *him*.


What about Coulter? I seem to remember you being one of the right-wingers who rubbed off to thoughts of that shriveled bitch, but this goes back years and I could be thinking of someone else.

ThurgreedMarshall 04-01-2016 02:26 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
Glass-Steagall would have prevented the banks from being able to securitize all the mortgages and other crap assets like credit card and auto loan receivables. It would also go a long way toward preventing the situation now where the banks are essentially squeezing out the consumer customer, at least the smaller retail customer. Somewhere along the line, "financial services" became "finance."

I also think that many of those banks that were on their way to failure would not have been in that position if they had not been allowed to invest so much of their depositors funds in the bullshit the I-banks were putting out. If they had stuck with things like making commercial loans, consumer loans, home mortgages, etc. they would not have over extended themselves with straight-up wager like credit default swaps.

Wonk, you are absolutely wrong on this issue.

During Glass-Steagall, there were commercial banks and there were investment banks. Their assets could not be mixed. If Glass-Steagall were in place through the 2000s, every single I-bank would have gone down because they would have been buying and holding the shit products that destroyed the economy. The point that you are missing is that they wouldn't have had any assets to balance their toxic holdings, the government would not have been able to infuse enough money to keep all of them afloat and they all would have gone down, bringing the commercial banks with them as there would be a massive, universal run on all of the banks.

What you're saying above about Glass-Steagall is just misguided.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
Concentration in banking has left working poor and lower middle class consumers fucked. Huge swaths of people can no longer get your basic checking account and passbook savings account. How exactly are those people supposed to save and invest if the little money they have that is discretionary is eaten up by fees on prepaid debit cards and account and transaction maintenance fees?

No argument here.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
I'm not expecting miracles; I'm expecting effort.

No. You are not. You are expecting miracles. Whether the Republicans block any and all legislation relating to healthcare through control of Congress or through the filibuster, what you're looking for will. not. happen. You can expect your Democratic politicians to move mountains all you want. But you need to open your eyes to the political realities in this country.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
I want a candidate who intends to keep pushing to get where we should be. The Republicans voted to repeal the ACA 50 times. The Democrats should have introduced 50 bills to make the system single payer, or to make the entire nation one risk pool and make policies uniform, like Medicare Suplemental plans.

Ah. I see. We should send our representatives to Congress to do pointless, unattainable shit. This is the most ridiculous thing you've said so far.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
I've seen Bernie talk about this. I haven't seen Hilary.

Maybe that's because Hillary is pragmatic and Bernie, though I love him, is running on a completely unachievable pie-in-the-sky platform.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500087)
Tax reform is the area where the Democrats have the best chance of levering some cooperation out of the Republicans. It's also something she knows is going to be writ large on the legislative agenda. She should be positioning herself to bargain. Bernie is. It's also the place where the Democrats can actually start addressing income disparity. If a candidate has no other idea or plan going into November, they should have a strong tax policy.

Hilary won't touch this though, because the biggest welfare benefit in the country right now is the carried interest enjoyed by private equity and hedge funds. Hilary won't try to fix this though, because that's where her financial support lies. So the strongest Democratic candidate is letting the really rich get really richer and the poor get to pay for it. But I'm supposed to worry about religious fundamentalists not having to sell wedding cakes to gay couples?

I will defer to you on this point since it's your area of expertise. But, again, why wouldn't you approach this issue from a "Let's push Hillary on the points we think are important, rather than, I give up. Let Trump burn it to the ground" perspective? You expect all these things from your candidate, but don't think we need to take any responsibility for pushing them once they're in office?

You're really not making a lot of sense on this stuff.

TM

ThurgreedMarshall 04-01-2016 02:27 PM

Re: Is Ted Cruz Satan? Discuss.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 500091)
Fuck you, asshole. Can we reconvene on the Mod Board? Someone needs to be banned, and his name rhymes with Furbreed.

Damn. Did I miss the meeting?

TM

taxwonk 04-01-2016 02:28 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 500108)
It's pretty simple. The venture capitalists all live in Massachusetts and California and to a lesser extent New York.

The economy here is heavily dependent on the Venture investors. If you walk down Mass. Ave. in Cambridge or drive down Route 128 or visit any office park in the state, you will see endless numbers of buildings with names on them filled with people who are there because of venture capital.

So even if they are incredibly chintzy political donors, and the political views of the average venture capitalist tend to be a fairly bizarre macho libertarianism that makes most politicians either smirk or squirm, no one wants to do anything political that kills whatever keeps those geese laying these golden eggs we see all around us.

So, you get the states that ought to lead the charge against carried interest on ideological grounds fighting against it on practical grounds.

And if you chart out who gets those tax breaks and where they live, they'll live here, not in Alabama.

But again, they aren't paying taxes, but they are a drain on resources. They eliminate jobs, they don't create them. I suppose the luxury goods market and fine-dining restaurants benefit. But for the rest of the state, they're sucking tit, not filling up the jugs.

ThurgreedMarshall 04-01-2016 02:35 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500096)
The embrace of torture is a horrible thing. About as horrible as the fact that it's still ongoing under the current administration and was blessed by Hilary as Secretary of State, as was dropping bombs on American citizens overseas.

While you're at it, let's take a moment to ponder Ed Snowden and the way the NSA and CIA are crawling through your computer, driving, and tv watching habits because both parties think that's just alright. As long as we can keep an eye on those radicalized muslims and their sympathizers. Like you and I.

What torture are you talking about?

I really want to ask you a serious question. Let's take a scale from 1 to 100. Do you think that domestic surveillance (which I believe has never been below a 30 on that scale) will not go from what it is now--let's say 40--to 80 or 90 under Cruz or Trump?

Never mind. Don't answer.

What I don't understand about you is that you probably have a list of 100 issues that are important to you, some quite obviously more than others. What you're telling me is that if Democrats, as a party, do not nominate a candidate that holds the same position as you on 90%, but is closer to 82%, you're going to take your ball and go home and let the person who agrees with you on 4% of your issues control this country? Is there any other aspect of your life where this works for you?

TM

Sidd Finch 04-01-2016 02:36 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500115)
But again, they aren't paying taxes, but they are a drain on resources. They eliminate jobs, they don't create them. I suppose the luxury goods market and fine-dining restaurants benefit. But for the rest of the state, they're sucking tit, not filling up the jugs.

I think when GGG said this -- "If you walk down Mass. Ave. in Cambridge or drive down Route 128 or visit any office park in the state, you will see endless numbers of buildings with names on them filled with people who are there because of venture capital" -- he did not mean the buildings were full of VCs, but that they are full of VC-backed companies.

If VC-backed companies are eliminating jobs, I will have trouble understanding why California is doing so well, and the Bay Area in particular booming, over recent years.

SEC_Chick 04-01-2016 02:37 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 500112)
What about Coulter? I seem to remember you being one of the right-wingers who rubbed off to thoughts of that shriveled bitch, but this goes back years and I could be thinking of someone else.

I have never liked Ann Coulter. She has always done the cause of conservatives more harm than good. It is hard for me to even discuss her without using the sorts of words that I try to abstain from using to describe other women.

taxwonk 04-01-2016 02:45 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 500113)
Wonk, you are absolutely wrong on this issue.

During Glass-Steagall, there were commercial banks and there were investment banks. Their assets could not be mixed. If Glass-Steagall were in place through the 2000s, every single I-bank would have gone down because they would have been buying and holding the shit products that destroyed the economy. The point that you are missing is that they wouldn't have had any assets to balance their toxic holdings, the government would not have been able to infuse enough money to keep all of them afloat and they all would have gone down, bringing the commercial banks with them as there would be a massive, universal run on all of the banks.

What you're saying above about Glass-Steagall is just misguided.

No argument here.

No. You are not. You are expecting miracles. Whether the Republicans block any and all litigation relating to a healthcare through control of Congress or through the filibuster, what you're looking for will. not. happen. You can expect your Democratic politicians to move mountains all you want. But you need to open your eyes to the political realities in this country.

Ah. I see. We should send our representatives to Congress to do pointless, unattainable shit. This is the most ridiculous thing you've said so far.

Maybe that's because Hillary is pragmatic and Bernie, though I love him, is running on a completely unachievable pie-in-the-sky platform.

I will defer to you on this point since it's your area of expertise. But, again, why wouldn't you approach this issue from a "Let's push Hillary on the points we think are important, rather than, I give up. Let Trump burn it to the ground" perspective? You expect all these things from your candidate, but don't think we need to take any responsibility for pushing them once they're in office?

You're really not making a lot of sense on this stuff.

TM

Under Glass-Steagall, the commercial banks would have been limited in the amount of toxic assets they could hold. They also would have been barred from selling anything but whole loans because they were barred from underwriting securities. The I-banks would have hit the shitter, but the commercial banks would not have.

And I would say fine, vote Hilary and push her for tax reform, but she's backing the kind of tax cuts I oppose. The same ones the Republicans are, just on a slightly smaller scale.

taxwonk 04-01-2016 02:52 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 500116)
What torture are you talking about?

I really want to ask you a serious question. Let's take a scale from 1 to 100. Do you think that domestic surveillance (which I believe has never been below a 30 on that scale) will not go from what it is now--let's say 40--to 80 or 90 under Cruz or Trump?

Never mind. Don't answer.

What I don't understand about you is that you probably have a list of 100 issues that are important to you, some quite obviously more than others. What you're telling me is that if Democrats, as a party, do not nominate a candidate that holds the same position as you on 90%, but is closer to 82%, you're going to take your ball and go home and let the person who agrees with you on 4% of your issues control this country? Is there any other aspect of your life where this works for you?

TM

From where I sit, Hilary and I stand together on about 20% of the issues I hold important. I've also said as we get closer to November, I'll be taking a closer look at where she stands on many of these issues. I may very well conclude she's someone I can vote for. I'm not there now. And quite frankly, I'm pretty fucking sick if getting browbeaten about it by a bunch of my friends, people I try to respect because of their willingness to make allowance for independent thought. Right now, I'm feeling like the fucking yahoos on Facebook are more tolerant of different views and it really fucking skeeves me out.

ThurgreedMarshall 04-01-2016 03:02 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500119)
Under Glass-Steagall, the commercial banks would have been limited in the amount of toxic assets they could hold. They also would have been barred from selling anything but whole loans because they were barred from underwriting securities. The I-banks would have hit the shitter, but the commercial banks would not have.

Incorrect. Yes, commercial banks would have held none of the products (other than the actual mortgages, which were a tiny piece of the problem and which would have been sold to I-banks anyway) that dragged the economy down. It's the next step that you apparently cannot or are refusing to hear.

With no Glass Steagall:
The assets of the mega commercial/I-banks' commercial side provided the stability that allowed the government to force some mergers and infuse some money that kept the financial system from completely collapsing.

With Glass Steagall:
The large I-banks who would have zero access to commercial bank assets would have been completely beyond repair. The government would not have had enough money to prop them up. Every single one of them would have blown up and the result of that explosion would have brought down every single commercial bank. And that's because there would have been no confidence in the financial system anywhere, so it would not have mattered that those commercial banks were not a part of the I-banks.

The fact that commercial banks were allowed to merge with I-banks reduced the damage of the '07 crash in that the commercial bank assets provided them with the stability they needed to limp through the crisis.

Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500119)
And I would say fine, vote Hilary and push her for tax reform, but she's backing the kind of tax cuts I oppose. The same ones the Republicans are, just on a slightly smaller scale.

Change her mind. You keep talking about all this fighting you want people in office to do. But you're willing to throw your hands up and walk away if your candidate doesn't win?

TM

ThurgreedMarshall 04-01-2016 03:08 PM

Re: As the choppers hover outside my window
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 500120)
From where I sit, Hilary and I stand together on about 20% of the issues I hold important. I've also said as we get closer to November, I'll be taking a closer look at where she stands on many of these issues. I may very well conclude she's someone I can vote for. I'm not there now. And quite frankly, I'm pretty fucking sick if getting browbeaten about it by a bunch of my friends, people I try to respect because of their willingness to make allowance for independent thought. Right now, I'm feeling like the fucking yahoos on Facebook are more tolerant of different views and it really fucking skeeves me out.

Oh stop with the whining. You are saying things that don't make a ton of sense. We are calling you on it in our entirely greedy board-specific annoying way that hasn't changed since we first started posting.

If you tell me you'll revisit her positions come November, that's cool with me. If you decide to stay home after that point, I can't say I'd respect that, but obviously you can do whatever the hell you want. But when Trump or Cruz wins and destroys every single aspect of this country you love and respect, I'd prefer not to read any posts from you about it.

TM


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