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-   -   I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=879)

Hank Chinaski 07-01-2016 03:00 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 501586)
Hank went to the Olympics in Beijing. He knows shit.

when I've won an argument with a thinking entity, and then some "copy sock" tries to coat tail ride, can I fairly count 2 wins?

sebastian_dangerfield 07-01-2016 10:42 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

I am so fucking sick and tired about hearing about "populist anger." O.K., yeah, we get it. You're real angry and shit about things that you don't really understand so you are going to vote like a half-wit to show just how angry you are.
If you know you're fucked behind Door #1, and Door #2 is probably bad, but offers even some small chance of a better result, it's the only rational pick.

Quote:

Fucking brilliant. In fact, maybe your dim-witted positions on these issues helps explain why you're in such a sorry ass position in the first place. Maybe it's time to spend some energy looking inward and see if maybe, just maybe, some of the problems you are currently facing in your pathetic little life are the result of the fact that you're a dumb ass who spends all of his time blaming others for your own problems instead of trying to actually put a little effort into solving your problems for yourself.
Careful with this. That's the Right's favorite speech in favor of "personal responsibility." I agree with you to a certain extent, but that's a third rail if there ever was one. Blame Americans, at least in part, for their own situations? How on earth would you then get them to vote for you?

Quote:

99.9% of those morons railing against globalism cannot even spell globalism, much less define it, other than having some vague sense that it means that some foreigners, probably of a dark complexion, are the cause of all of their problems. Sure thing, Joe Sixpack, those damn foreigners are the real problem, not the fact that you have an Oxy addiction from your fake back injury and need a pill to help you poop. Take your "populist anger" and your half-baked conspiracy theories and your country-fucking music and shove them up your populist ass.
Which came first? The globalism that eliminated the jobs that caused Joe Sixpack to feign injury and become a junkie, or the abundance of Oxycontin?

Much less complex is determining why Joe Sixpack decided to assign foreigners the blame for his sorry lot. Primarily because they're weak, and he feels like he can do something about them -- unlike his corporate masters who terminated his "career," against whom he hasn't a prayer.

Joe's obsolete in more ways than he'll ever hope to understand. Oxycontin = Natural Selection via Big Pharma.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-01-2016 10:51 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 501585)
Actually, among the pork rind eating, chaw chompin, genuine deeply tanned neck members of my family, Hill does ok. She seems to take most of the women and a couple of the men, with the rest being mostly trump. Bernie gets the hipster family members not these people.

I'm seeing a lot more fervor for Trump among the upper middle class right now. That's a naturally biased view, as I tend to run into a lot of them. But I suspect it also might be something else - naked tax voting. Upper middle folks seem to think Hillary's going to increase taxes. I don't know why, as this is not a traditional Clinton position, nor is it a feature of her campaign, even in the face of Bernie demanding it from her.

The truly middle class people I see on a regular basis seem confused by Trump. They don't know who they want to vote for this fall. And I think they know, either way, the forces making things tougher for them are going to keep doing so, regardless of who's in office -- stumbling into the knowledge the President doesn't have much control over the economy.

Adder 07-01-2016 11:00 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501589)
I'm seeing a lot more fervor for Trump among the upper middle class right now. That's a naturally biased view, as I tend to run into a lot of them. But I suspect it also might be something else - naked tax voting. Upper middle folks seem to think Hillary's going to increase taxes.

When you talk about the people you encounter, it's a helpful reminder to avoid the suburbs.

Not that I really need one.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-01-2016 11:05 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by taxwonk (Post 501543)
Take peoples' jobs away, give them money and expect them to reproduce less.

I like you, Adder. You remind me of when I was young and stupid.

The rich can afford a lot of kids; the dumb and poor will have them anyway. Those of us in the middle are doing the serious population control.

I'm assuming writers will use Gatsbyesque to describe things a lot in 10-20 years. That seems mean to Fitzgerald. I'm thinking more a combination of Rich Kids of Instagram and those People of Walmart websites. Choose your ugly... 90 IQ trust fund brats in day glo orange Lamborghini Gallardos in West Egg, or the face-tattooed, seventy-times pierced, morbidly obese crowd scoring oxys on the street corners of the Wasteland.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-01-2016 11:06 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 501590)
When you talk about the people you encounter, it's a helpful reminder to avoid the suburbs.

Not that I really need one.

I actually find the people I run into posts hepful.

I know the folks I run into have a uniquely Massachusetts mix (PhDs mean squat around here) and upstate NY mix (A little Genny with those pork rinds?). It's good to know what the suburban Philly or hipster Minnesota crowd is thinking. And suitably frightening to hear what white people in Texas think.

Pretty Little Flower 07-01-2016 11:09 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501588)
If you know you're fucked behind Door #1, and Door #2 is probably bad, but offers even some small chance of a better result, it's the only rational pick.

Careful with this. That's the Right's favorite speech in favor of "personal responsibility." I agree with you to a certain extent, but that's a third rail if there ever was one. Blame Americans, at least in part, for their own situations? How on earth would you then get them to vote for you?

Which came first? The globalism that eliminated the jobs that caused Joe Sixpack to feign injury and become a junkie, or the abundance of Oxycontin?

Much less complex is determining why Joe Sixpack decided to assign foreigners the blame for his sorry lot. Primarily because they're weak, and he feels like he can do something about them -- unlike his corporate masters who terminated his "career," against whom he hasn't a prayer.

Joe's obsolete in more ways than he'll ever hope to understand. Oxycontin = Natural Selection via Big Pharma.

Your numbingly stupid mantra that globalism somehow destroyed the working class, driving them into Trump's arms, is not only misguided, it is frankly immoral. It is immoral because it perpetuates a lie: that the white working class that finds itself attracted to Trump has been victimized by outside forces. It hasn’t. The white middle class may like the idea of Trump as a giant pulsing humanoid middle finger held up in the face of the Cathedral, they may sing hymns to Trump the destroyer and whisper darkly about “globalists” and — odious, stupid term — “the Establishment,” but nobody did this to them. They failed themselves. If you spend time in hardscrabble, white upstate New York, or eastern Kentucky, or West Texas, and you take an honest look at the welfare dependency, the drug and alcohol addiction, the family anarchy — which is to say, the whelping of human children with all the respect and wisdom of a stray dog — you will come to an awful realization. It wasn’t Beijing. It wasn’t even Washington, as bad as Washington can be. It wasn’t immigrants from Mexico, excessive and problematic as our current immigration levels are. It wasn’t any of that. Nothing happened to them. There wasn’t some awful disaster. There wasn’t a war or a famine or a plague or a foreign occupation. Even the economic changes of the past few decades do very little to explain the dysfunction and negligence — and the incomprehensible malice — of poor white America. So the gypsum business in Garbutt ain’t what it used to be. There is more to life in the 21st century than wallboard and cheap sentimentality about how the Man closed the factories down. The truth about these dysfunctional, downscale communities is that they deserve to die. Economically, they are negative assets. Morally, they are indefensible. Forget all your cheap theatrical Bruce Springsteen crap. Forget your sanctimony about struggling Rust Belt factory towns and your conspiracy theories about the wily Orientals stealing our jobs. Forget your goddamned gypsum, and, if he has a problem with that, forget Ed Burke, too. The white American underclass is in thrall to a vicious, selfish culture whose main products are misery and used heroin needles. Donald Trump’s speeches make them feel good. So does OxyContin. What they need isn’t analgesics, literal or political. They need real opportunity, which means that they need real change, which means that they need U-Haul.

Adder 07-01-2016 11:09 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 501592)
I actually find the people I run into posts hepful.

Sure, but better that Sebby run into those people and report back than I have to spend any time with them myself.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-01-2016 11:14 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 501590)
... avoid the suburbs.

With this I would not generally disagree.

sebastian_dangerfield 07-01-2016 11:29 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Your numbingly stupid mantra that globalism somehow destroyed the working class, driving them into Trump's arms, is not only misguided, it is frankly immoral. It is immoral because it perpetuates a lie: that the white working class that finds itself attracted to Trump has been victimized by outside forces. It hasn’t.
I don't traffic in morality. That's a slippery metric. But if you think the white working class has not been victimized by globalization, you're being anti-factual.

Quote:

The white middle class may like the idea of Trump as a giant pulsing humanoid middle finger held up in the face of the Cathedral, they may sing hymns to Trump the destroyer and whisper darkly about “globalists” and — odious, stupid term — “the Establishment,” but nobody did this to them. They failed themselves.
They're dumb. Of course they failed themselves. But something precipitated it.

Quote:

If you spend time in hardscrabble, white upstate New York, or eastern Kentucky, or West Texas, and you take an honest look at the welfare dependency, the drug and alcohol addiction, the family anarchy — which is to say, the whelping of human children with all the respect and wisdom of a stray dog — you will come to an awful realization. It wasn’t Beijing. It wasn’t even Washington, as bad as Washington can be. It wasn’t immigrants from Mexico, excessive and problematic as our current immigration levels are. It wasn’t any of that. Nothing happened to them. There wasn’t some awful disaster. There wasn’t a war or a famine or a plague or a foreign occupation. Even the economic changes of the past few decades do very little to explain the dysfunction and negligence — and the incomprehensible malice — of poor white America.
When globalization shut down the low skill job engine of manufacturing, it gave a not exactly brilliant population lots of free time. Idle hands, devil's work... Yes. They are to blame. But so are we. As Adder noted yesterday, we who knew better allowed the forces of globalization to savage them and did nothing to assuage the inevitable consequences. (Not that we could have, exactly, but we didn't even try.)

Quote:

So the gypsum business in Garbutt ain’t what it used to be. There is more to life in the 21st century than wallboard and cheap sentimentality about how the Man closed the factories down. The truth about these dysfunctional, downscale communities is that they deserve to die.
The National Review has been making this argument for some time. But it's unrealistic. One could say the same thing about the squalid inner cities. What do we do? Drive through the Camdens and Appalchias of the world and tell people "You're fucked. Get out! And stop reproducing!"

Quote:

Economically, they are negative assets. Morally, they are indefensible. Forget all your cheap theatrical Bruce Springsteen crap. Forget your sanctimony about struggling Rust Belt factory towns and your conspiracy theories about the wily Orientals stealing our jobs.
Agreed. But again, what are you going to do with these communities? Tell them they no longer have a vote because they're obsolete?

Quote:

Forget your goddamned gypsum, and, if he has a problem with that, forget Ed Burke, too. The white American underclass is in thrall to a vicious, selfish culture whose main products are misery and used heroin needles. Donald Trump’s speeches make them feel good. So does OxyContin. What they need isn’t analgesics, literal or political. They need real opportunity, which means that they need real change, which means that they need U-Haul.
You need to read this article.

Pretty Little Flower 07-01-2016 11:46 AM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 501596)
I don't traffic in morality. That's a slippery metric. But if you think the white working class has not been victimized by globalization, you're being anti-factual.



They're dumb. Of course they failed themselves. But something precipitated it.



When globalization shut down the low skill job engine of manufacturing, it gave a not exactly brilliant population lots of free time. Idle hands, devil's work... Yes. They are to blame. But so are we. As Adder noted yesterday, we who knew better allowed the forces of globalization to savage them and did nothing to assuage the inevitable consequences. (Not that we could have, exactly, but we didn't even try.)



The National Review has been making this argument for some time. But it's unrealistic. One could say the same thing about the squalid inner cities. What do we do? Drive through the Camdens and Appalchias of the world and tell people "You're fucked. Get out! And stop reproducing!"



Agreed. But again, what are you going to do with these communities? Tell them they no longer have a vote because they're obsolete?



You need to read this article.

Thanks for the article recommendation. I'll take a look. Heck, if it contains some good stuff, I may even quote it (or the article it quotes) and pretend that I wrote it myself.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-01-2016 12:29 PM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 501593)
Your numbingly stupid mantra that globalism somehow destroyed the working class, driving them into Trump's arms, is not only misguided, it is frankly immoral. It is immoral because it perpetuates a lie: that the white working class that finds itself attracted to Trump has been victimized by outside forces. It hasn’t. The white middle class may like the idea of Trump as a giant pulsing humanoid middle finger held up in the face of the Cathedral, they may sing hymns to Trump the destroyer and whisper darkly about “globalists” and — odious, stupid term — “the Establishment,” but nobody did this to them. They failed themselves. If you spend time in hardscrabble, white upstate New York, or eastern Kentucky, or West Texas, and you take an honest look at the welfare dependency, the drug and alcohol addiction, the family anarchy — which is to say, the whelping of human children with all the respect and wisdom of a stray dog — you will come to an awful realization. It wasn’t Beijing. It wasn’t even Washington, as bad as Washington can be. It wasn’t immigrants from Mexico, excessive and problematic as our current immigration levels are. It wasn’t any of that. Nothing happened to them. There wasn’t some awful disaster. There wasn’t a war or a famine or a plague or a foreign occupation. Even the economic changes of the past few decades do very little to explain the dysfunction and negligence — and the incomprehensible malice — of poor white America. So the gypsum business in Garbutt ain’t what it used to be. There is more to life in the 21st century than wallboard and cheap sentimentality about how the Man closed the factories down. The truth about these dysfunctional, downscale communities is that they deserve to die. Economically, they are negative assets. Morally, they are indefensible. Forget all your cheap theatrical Bruce Springsteen crap. Forget your sanctimony about struggling Rust Belt factory towns and your conspiracy theories about the wily Orientals stealing our jobs. Forget your goddamned gypsum, and, if he has a problem with that, forget Ed Burke, too. The white American underclass is in thrall to a vicious, selfish culture whose main products are misery and used heroin needles. Donald Trump’s speeches make them feel good. So does OxyContin. What they need isn’t analgesics, literal or political. They need real opportunity, which means that they need real change, which means that they need U-Haul.

So you know my family in upstate NY?

If you see my cousin Bob, remind him that there's no point in plowing the back 40 where his Dad used to dump the chemicals from the plant, and that if he does plant it, he ought to make sure it's just used for animal feed and nothing goes to people.

taxwonk 07-01-2016 03:48 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501576)
Among many other things, this assumes you have enough banks to take a preset slice of the financing to reach your goal. And if one bank can do it at a certain interest rate, what makes you think they all can? Are you saying if you get 2 banks at $300 million at one interest rate, they both get the same terms, but if you run out of commitments at that rate, you then move to the next set of banks at the higher rate and allocate among them?

This makes no sense to me. But, whatever. I'm just a lending lawyer.

TM

Precisely. It's done all the time with convertible daily resent preferred, which is nothin more than a cp derivative. I've also done deals over terms ranging from weekly to 45 years. And why is this so dramatically different than slicing up a securitization by credit risk, offering different returns for tranches with more or less risk.

In my scenario, the allocation of risk is determined by the return the lender is willing to accept. Risk is parceled out in accord with the interest premium if takes to fund each successive layer.

I've done this deal for 25 years, with investment banks and commercial b anks, back when it made a difference, insurance companies, vc. and pe. Terms have been everything from overnight working capital to bridge financing, waste control tax-exempt products, and just because it was cheaper than straight debt or equity. I've done it as direct deals, packaged them as collateralized trusts, and floated them publicly. I've done tax-exempt and taxable, special purpose and general credit.

But what do I know. I'm just a simple country tax lawyer.

taxwonk 07-01-2016 03:50 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 501577)
Yeah. I got that. But flying isn't that expensive. It's expensive on shitty routes that are only serviced by a few players. A flight to Chicago (for example) is fucking cheap from anywhere that has a direct flight.

TM

Ah, very good! And if you turn that into a metaphor...?

taxwonk 07-01-2016 03:52 PM

Re: Give me a job, give me security; give me a chance to survive.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sidd Finch (Post 501582)
This really is not so obvious. If it were, Bernie Sanders would have sewn up the nomination back in, well, last October. (Trump would have had to fight longer, only because his tiny fists would need time to break down the pedestals that the Baby Jesus build for Cruz.)

They aren't that hungry yet.


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