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-   -   Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=883)

pony_trekker 02-11-2019 08:31 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 520805)
Agreed. I'm not much for beaches, but to each their own when it comes to travel. I too will be quitting again in March. I'm bored again, and the insurance company at which I am in-house has become an increasingly unpleasant workplace.

LessinVancouver

Double peace!

Hank Chinaski 02-11-2019 08:34 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pony_trekker (Post 520812)
Smart guy, does Tom Brady delegate some of the passes in the superbowl? I didn't think so.

We don't provide snacks. I actually turn off the water and remove all of the toilet paper from the bathrooms.

QED

But I’ve studied the posts of the master so I knew this.

Adder 02-11-2019 09:10 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 520807)
I agree. But some of the allegations were fairly thin and just got lumped in with the initial one because that's what happens. And the initial allegation only gained traction because there was a photo.

I'm not saying Franken wasn't in the wrong. I'm not saying that the allegations weren't true. But it can't just be that someone gets accused and they're over. There has to be some thought put behind how severe the punishment should be in relation to what he did. And he should absolutely have the right to be heard before judgment by a formal body* is passed.

TM

*And this includes getting the whole crew together and forcing you to resign.

Yeah, as his constituent, I don’t really think he was “forced” to resign. I think he knew the right thing to do and he did it, and I think it was coming before any of the senators said anything publicly.

Adder 02-11-2019 09:12 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 520811)
This isn't untrue. But I expect something better from a sitting Senator. And Gillibrand absolutely tried to own the Franken issue and her responses to questions on the issue were fucking bullshit.
__________
From the 60 Minutes interview:

On being the first Democratic member of Congress to call for Sen. Al Franken, D-Minnesota, to resign amid sexual harassment allegations:

"I have a 14-year-old son. And I cannot have a conversation that says, 'Well, it's OK to grab somebody here, but not there.' It's not OK at all."

She added, "He's entitled to as much due process as he wants. He doesn't ever have to resign. That's his choice. … And my choice is to speak out."
__________
That's not a fucking response. If someone is accused of grabbing someone and they are trying to tell you they didn't do it, responding, "I can't tell my son it's ok to grab someone here, but not there," is intentionally disingenuous. And using all of your efforts to short-circuit his ability to have a fair investigation and then acting like it's his choice to resign is insulting. That whole thing pissed me off.

And some things can't be made better. An allegation against someone who brushed his hand against a backside 10 years ago cannot be proven. The question is whether we can actually talk to each of the parties and make a determination about whether it happened, and if it did, what an appropriate punishment would be. But banishment can't be the answer to absolutely everything, soup to...er...nuts.

TM

I never really got the sense he was trying to tell us that he didn’t do it.

Yeah, he never outright admitted any of it, but he didn’t exactly deny either.

ThurgreedMarshall 02-12-2019 11:43 AM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 520817)
Yeah, as his constituent, I don’t really think he was “forced” to resign. I think he knew the right thing to do and he did it, and I think it was coming before any of the senators said anything publicly.

Ah. "As his constituent,"* which I assume means you have a special, close, personal relationship with him that non-constituents could never share.

I assume he asked for an investigation multiple times and insisted that a number of the allegations against him were demonstrably false because he just wanted to save face before resigning.

TM

*This is almost as good as "As an attorney..." followed by whatever bullshit you want others to think is somehow automatically legitimate.

ThurgreedMarshall 02-12-2019 11:57 AM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 520818)
I never really got the sense he was trying to tell us that he didn’t do it.

Yeah, he never outright admitted any of it, but he didn’t exactly deny either.

First of all, that's not true. He made a number of denials, including stating that the claim by the congressional aide that accused him of trying to forcibly kiss her was "categorically not true." Maybe he didn't inform his constituents of this particular denial?

Second of all, in the full swing of the #metoo movement (and the fact that there was a photo of him acting the fool, but not actually committing an assault), he had to be very careful about what he said. I genuinely think he wanted to be respectful of the women accusing him. And if it was true that he asked her to kiss him for the skit, could he publicly shit all over her reading of that request? Sure it's true that he asked, but her read may be all the fucking way out of left field.

Third, I'm arguing that he should have had an opportunity to help define and address his actions. It just can't be that someone gets accused and that's it, their career is over. I am not sure I understand why this is controversial. It is the very fucking basis of our legal system.

Again, I'm not saying he shouldn't have been forced out. I'm saying that there should have been an ethics hearing/investigation in which he could have defended himself. There are surely enough allegations of inappropriate behavior for him to be booted. But this is not how it should work for anybody.

TM

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 12:02 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 520818)
I never really got the sense he was trying to tell us that he didn’t do it.

Yeah, he never outright admitted any of it, but he didn’t exactly deny either.

I got the same sense from his comments to the media. He seemed to have recognized that he'd been sleazy in the past. But this does not mean he had to give up his job.

The punishment of Franken was wildly disproportionate to the crime. In any other normal time, rather than at the peak of #metoo, people would have reacted to Franken in a circumspect manner. His timing was bad. A mob wanted every #metoo violator's head and was unable and unwilling to differentiate the behaviors of a Weinstein from a Charlie Rose from a Franken from an Aziz Ansari.

Zero tolerance = Zero thinking. Franken gave up too soon and paid a price far too high, and we're all much poorer for it. Gillibrand is a useless operator, driven only by her own ambition. Franken was actually a thoughtful legislator with a voice. And yet she persists, adjusting her every syllable to the latest polls, maneuvering and conniving to appear as Presidential mettle. Franken sits silent, a voice of reason we very much need in the Senate, probably touching up scripts and doing some executive producing.

One last point on Franken... Ty suggested that I was arguing that Gillibrand cannot be elected President because of what she did to Franken. This is incorrect. Gillibrand cannot be elected President because Gillibrand is a lousy candidate with nothing original to say. She wouldn't last five minutes in a debate with Warren or Harris. She's an entirely political confection, saccharine, hollow... the utterly vacant creation of focus groups, consultants, and donors.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 12:12 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 520819)
*This is almost as good as "As an attorney..." followed by whatever bullshit you want others to think is somehow automatically legitimate.

In the bowels of flyover land, one would occasionally hear, "Attorney So and So?"

This was a bit starting at first. Partly because it's clumsy, partly because it's like hearing someone say, "CPA So and So?" Or "Engineer So and So?"

The reply, "Hey now... It's early and I haven't seen any need to insult you," tended to amuse court reporters.

Replaced_Texan 02-12-2019 12:27 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ferrets_bueller (Post 520781)
Very few are smart enough to walk away when they “ring the bell.”

After much deliberation, I have determined that I am in a position that my financial future, and that of my family unto my grandchildren's generation, is secure. Having worked at the same outfit for 44 years, I have decided not to make a career of it. The signature cases I have on my docket are in the "pig has moved through most of the python" stage. My successor is more than ready, she has been ready for a decade. Time to step down before the Board taps me on the shoulder, pins a note to my sweater, and leaves me at a dog track. It is time. I'm going out on a very good note.



At age 72 and a low fraction, I will ring the bell on March 29, thus making April Fools Day my first day of retirement. Bueller LLC will open for business the next day.



Mostly, I'll be found at beaches between North Carolina, Bermuda, Aruba, Costa Rica, and, when the narco problem clears up again, Barra Beach in Rio. Buy futures in SPF 90 sunscreen. I'll be using it by the quart as I fish for breakfast at sunrise, reapplying until the cocktail hour at sunset.



I also expect to be busy enough, but not too busy. I will be working for the World Bank and the Financial Services Volunteer Corps once or twice a year to see a few of the more remote emerging economies I have yet to visit. Get ticket, review facts on the ground, write report, repeat.



I wish all of you the same level of happiness in your careers that I've been fortunate enough to have. Peace.

Congratulations! I hope your next endeavors are peaceful and/or fulfilling.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 12:35 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520808)
Sure, but if formal proceedings can't be trusted to get to the truth, people will continue to call for punishment without waiting for the results of formal proceedings. People like Sebby who are offended by the unfairness of that should think about how to make the formal proceedings work better to identify and punish bad actors.

I'm not offended by it. I understand the urge to skip the adversarial and investigatory processes. The adversarial process in courts involves bullshitters competing against one another to see whose narrative tale makes the most sense to a jury of middle minded common people.

I believe the adversarial system should be done away with in most cases. Most humans are simply not adequate judges of what has or has not happened. They are swayed by emotion, they cannot process information adequately to see issues from all sides, and they're easily manipulated by presentation of a compelling narrative. The only proper jury member would be a person who was 100% logical, 0% emotional. This person does not exist.

But the cry to short circuit this flawed process is even worse than this flawed process. It's the worst of emotional reactions, often infused with a nice dose of mob-think and self-righteousness.

The fix, I think, would be to establish professional juries and truly dispassionate investigators for all issues, from Franken situations to crimes to civil actions. Pay these jurors well and keep them anonymous. Vet them for selection by giving them tests to assess their ability to think in a purely logical manner.

Instead of having prosecutors, have only investigators, whose sole charge is to assess the statistical likelihood of certain facts having occurred. Instead of charging someone with something, develop a list of potential facts and liable actors and then use a process to determine the most and least likely explanations of what occurred.

No more adversaries. No more "hammer and nail" issue in which prosecutors or claimants are compelled to seek the win at all costs.

And yes, a star chamber of smart people who could look at something like the Franken Affair and say, "As a threshold issue, of the punishments which may be meted out, loss of the Senate seat should not be included."

Some may say this is elitist. But if you've been involved in our current system, I think you'd agree, some form of enlightened logic-based system has to be employed. It's kind of like a hyper-logical JAMS or AAA for all situations.

I'd also use an algorithm to comb the evidence and facts and assess the veracity of any finding by a human jury or investigation. If the computer finds it's flawed, out it goes.

Hank Chinaski 02-12-2019 12:46 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520824)

I'd also use an algorithm to comb the evidence and facts and assess the veracity of any finding by a human jury or investigation. If the computer finds it's flawed, out it goes.

Yes, computers are the answer!

With Cavanaugh I asked why is there a "fitness and character" test to be a lawyer, but nothing to be a Supreme Court Judge, for life. Most states' bars have some process to sort out past bad acts. I've no idea how they do it, but have never heard any implication of bias from the process. A senate committee is no answer, as half will hate the person in question, and even the "friendly" (Gillibrand) are often driven by their own futures.

Did you just call me Coltrane? 02-12-2019 12:50 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pony_trekker (Post 520812)
Smart guy, does Tom Brady delegate some of the passes in the superbowl? I didn't think so.

We don't provide snacks. I actually turn off the water and remove all of the toilet paper from the bathrooms.

Can you buy your own airplane?

Did you just call me Coltrane? 02-12-2019 12:51 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520822)
In the bowels of flyover land, one would occasionally hear, "Attorney So and So?"

This was a bit starting at first. Partly because it's clumsy, partly because it's like hearing someone say, "CPA So and So?" Or "Engineer So and So?"

The reply, "Hey now... It's early and I haven't seen any need to insult you," tended to amuse court reporters.

Wisconsin! It drives me crazy.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 01:00 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 520825)
Yes, computers are the answer!

With Cavanaugh I asked why is there a "fitness and character" test to be a lawyer, but nothing to be a Supreme Court Judge, for life. Most states' bars have some process to sort out past bad acts. I've no idea how they do it, but have never heard any implication of bias from the process. A senate committee is no answer, as half will hate the person in question, and even the "friendly" (Gillibrand) are often driven by their own futures.

Seriously, the more sophisticated a person is, the less he sees the world in black and white. A jury of enlightened thinkers can understand the mitigating and aggravating circumstances and render a fair and logical assessment of a less sophisticated person's behavior. The reverse, however, is not always possible.

And you certainly cannot have simplistic thinkers, or people with overdeveloped notions of morality or "right 'n wrong" judging other less sophisticated people's actions. That's what wrongly lands people on death row.

The cure ultimately becomes a computer and scrapping of the adversarial system, a somewhat barbarous legal relic.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 01:06 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Did you just call me Coltrane? (Post 520827)
Wisconsin! It drives me crazy.

I makes me sad someone's low enough to think there's reason to aggrandize that credential.

Pretty Little Flower 02-12-2019 01:08 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520821)
I got the same sense from his comments to the media. He seemed to have recognized that he'd been sleazy in the past. But this does not mean he had to give up his job.

The punishment of Franken was wildly disproportionate to the crime. In any other normal time, rather than at the peak of #metoo, people would have reacted to Franken in a circumspect manner. His timing was bad. A mob wanted every #metoo violator's head and was unable and unwilling to differentiate the behaviors of a Weinstein from a Charlie Rose from a Franken from an Aziz Ansari.

Zero tolerance = Zero thinking. Franken gave up too soon and paid a price far too high, and we're all much poorer for it. Gillibrand is a useless operator, driven only by her own ambition. Franken was actually a thoughtful legislator with a voice. And yet she persists, adjusting her every syllable to the latest polls, maneuvering and conniving to appear as Presidential mettle. Franken sits silent, a voice of reason we very much need in the Senate, probably touching up scripts and doing some executive producing.

One last point on Franken... Ty suggested that I was arguing that Gillibrand cannot be elected President because of what she did to Franken. This is incorrect. Gillibrand cannot be elected President because Gillibrand is a lousy candidate with nothing original to say. She wouldn't last five minutes in a debate with Warren or Harris. She's an entirely political confection, saccharine, hollow... the utterly vacant creation of focus groups, consultants, and donors.

Can you believe this bullshit?

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/11/u...dard-2020.html

First, nobody EVER branded Hillary as shrill. I read that on the internet. Second, the idea that men would use the world shrill to disparage uppity women is laughable. The beauty of the word shrill is that is it almost exclusively used by women, to great cutting effect. By the way, while on the uppity women tip, you should know that it's no longer "o.k." to state that these women are "persisting." McConnell ruined that for everyone.

But that's not why I am here. I am just here to share a video of Cardi B in homage to her win at the Grammys. It's profane because, well, Cardi B:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nu9EX9YRTdQ

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 01:43 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 520830)
Can you believe this bullshit?

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/11/u...dard-2020.html

First, nobody EVER branded Hillary as shrill. I read that on the internet. Second, the idea that men would use the world shrill to disparage uppity women is laughable. The beauty of the word shrill is that is it almost exclusively used by women, to great cutting effect. By the way, while on the uppity women tip, you should know that it's no longer "o.k." to state that these women are "persisting." McConnell ruined that for everyone.

But that's not why I am here. I am just here to share a video of Cardi B in homage to her win at the Grammys. It's profane because, well, Cardi B:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nu9EX9YRTdQ

Who said Gillibrand was shrill? I said she's soulless. She's a stuffed suit. And an ambitious opportunist.

I think she's a zero. Like Mitt Romney was a zero. I think she's guided by nothing but focus groups and polls, and has no independent thought.

So without knowing who exactly you were writing to, or what your point was, here's my view on the candidates:

Beto: Vacant media darling, McCandidate
Harris: Smart and thoughtful, but has to up the charisma a bit
Warren: Super-smart and formidable (if people will pay attention to her sometimes complex policy arguments)
Bernie: Past sell by date
Klobuchar: Don't know anything about her
Booker: Smart, but overthinking and too perfect, occasionally precious
Biden: He can walk away with it, as he could have in 2016
Gillibrand: 0.00, total phony

Kasich: DOA, egomaniac
Christie: Trump v. Trump
Romney: Oh, fuck... Not again

Schultz: Not dynamic enough to be a spoiler... 15 min almost up

Hank Chinaski 02-12-2019 02:15 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520828)
row.

The cure ultimately becomes a computer

You don't understand computers. And I'd say you are likely reading too much science fiction, and the wrong stuff at that.

Not Bob 02-12-2019 02:17 PM

And now the child can understand why this is the law of all the land.*
 
James Fucking Baldwin explains systemic racism and why it doesn’t really matter if Not Bob in particular hates black people, because BigLaw sure doesn’t have very many black equity partners.

*This song gave a young Not Bobby a somewhat inaccurate view of the progress of the civil rights movement.

ETA: I think that it’s “understand THAT” and not “understand WHY,” but whatever.

Not Bob 02-12-2019 02:25 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520831)
Who said Gillibrand was shrill? I said she's soulless. She's a stuffed suit. And an ambitious opportunist.

I think she's a zero. Like Mitt Romney was a zero. I think she's guided by nothing but focus groups and polls, and has no independent thought.

So without knowing who exactly you were writing to, or what your point was, here's my view on the candidates:

Beto: Vacant media darling, McCandidate
Harris: Smart and thoughtful, but has to up the charisma a bit
Warren: Super-smart and formidable (if people will pay attention to her sometimes complex policy arguments)
Bernie: Past sell by date
Klobuchar: Don't know anything about her
Booker: Smart, but overthinking and too perfect, occasionally precious
Biden: He can walk away with it, as he could have in 2016
Gillibrand: 0.00, total phony

Kasich: DOA, egomaniac
Christie: Trump v. Trump
Romney: Oh, fuck... Not again

Schultz: Not dynamic enough to be a spoiler... 15 min almost up

“What about Sherrod Brown!?!” asks the product of a union-proud, JFK/RFK worshipping family in the Ancestral Homeland.

Tyrone Slothrop 02-12-2019 03:25 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520821)
One last point on Franken... Ty suggested that I was arguing that Gillibrand cannot be elected President because of what she did to Franken. This is incorrect. Gillibrand cannot be elected President because Gillibrand is a lousy candidate with nothing original to say. She wouldn't last five minutes in a debate with Warren or Harris. She's an entirely political confection, saccharine, hollow... the utterly vacant creation of focus groups, consultants, and donors.

Perhaps you are confusing me with someone else.

Tyrone Slothrop 02-12-2019 03:30 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Not Bob (Post 520834)
“What about Sherrod Brown!?!” asks the product of a union-proud, JFK/RFK worshipping family in the Ancestral Homeland.

The Senators are all over-rated. Biden too. Someone is going to emerge as a good candidate because they perform in this race, not just because they won a Senate seat. So I guess that leaves Beto. Where are Democratic Governors?

Not Bob 02-12-2019 03:55 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 520836)
The Senators are all over-rated. Biden too. Someone is going to emerge as a good candidate because they perform in this race, not just because they won a Senate seat. So I guess that leaves Beto. Where are Democratic Governors?

Yahoo News reports that when staffers left her office, Sen. Klobuchar would call their new bosses to get offers rescinded.

Ooof. I’m perplexed about how to feel about this whole mashugana. Would a dude senator be facing this level of interest? And yet, if true, calling a new employer to fuck over a person who has the temerity to want to work elsewhere takes it to a different level.

At any rate, this is some @dick_nixon level oppo dump.

Pretty Little Flower 02-12-2019 03:56 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520831)
Who said Gillibrand was shrill? I said she's soulless. She's a stuffed suit. And an ambitious opportunist.

I think she's a zero. Like Mitt Romney was a zero. I think she's guided by nothing but focus groups and polls, and has no independent thought.

So without knowing who exactly you were writing to, or what your point was, here's my view on the candidates:

Beto: Vacant media darling, McCandidate
Harris: Smart and thoughtful, but has to up the charisma a bit
Warren: Super-smart and formidable (if people will pay attention to her sometimes complex policy arguments)
Bernie: Past sell by date
Klobuchar: Don't know anything about her
Booker: Smart, but overthinking and too perfect, occasionally precious
Biden: He can walk away with it, as he could have in 2016
Gillibrand: 0.00, total phony

Kasich: DOA, egomaniac
Christie: Trump v. Trump
Romney: Oh, fuck... Not again

Schultz: Not dynamic enough to be a spoiler... 15 min almost up

Wait. One. Minute. Hahahahaha! I see what you did there, you rascal. I posted an article that talked about how 1) Hillary was branded as shrill, and 2) current female politicians are also branded as shrill. I did so to gently poke fun at the fact that you previously had stated emphatically that neither is true. Then you used a little sleight of hand (you sneaky devil!) to make it seem like what we were REALLY talking about was whether YOU had specifically called Gillibrand shrill, which allowed you to INDIGNANTLY DENY THAT YOU HAD MADE ANY SUCH CLAIM!!!!!!! Even though I never suggested that you had. Oh you, you almost tricked me. I was sitting here thinking, "He's right! He never actually said Gillibrand was shrill. Why was I repeatedly and earnestly insisting that he had?" Your sematic trickery, it never ceases to amuse. As for my point, it was to post that Mononeon/Cardi B video. I love how the bass player, Mononeon, picks up so well on the melodic AND percussive qualities of Cardi B's speech. Also, notice how his bass is backwards. He is lefted handed and plays it upside down.

Adder 02-12-2019 03:57 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 520820)
I'm saying that there should have been an ethics hearing/investigation in which he could have defended himself.

I do not know know what "should have been" means in this context.

I take you to be saying that your sense of fairness tells you that some process is due before he is punished. I don't disagree.

But he wasn't punished and the question was a political one, not a legal one. Politically, he was in an untenable position. Fairness and due process don't come into it.

Adder 02-12-2019 04:00 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520821)
In any other normal time, rather than at the peak of #metoo, people would have reacted to Franken in a circumspect manner.

Yes, it used to be "normal" to excuse the bad behavior of men toward women. That it's not is progress, particularly the type of progress Democrats try to demonstrate that they favor.

Quote:

She's an entirely political confection, saccharine, hollow... the utterly vacant creation of focus groups, consultants, and donors.
I've heard two lengthy interviews with her recently and don't agree at all.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-12-2019 04:08 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520831)
Who said Gillibrand was shrill? I said she's soulless. She's a stuffed suit. And an ambitious opportunist.

I think she's a zero. Like Mitt Romney was a zero. I think she's guided by nothing but focus groups and polls, and has no independent thought.

So without knowing who exactly you were writing to, or what your point was, here's my view on the candidates:

Beto: Vacant media darling, McCandidate
Harris: Smart and thoughtful, but has to up the charisma a bit
Warren: Super-smart and formidable (if people will pay attention to her sometimes complex policy arguments)
Bernie: Past sell by date
Klobuchar: Don't know anything about her
Booker: Smart, but overthinking and too perfect, occasionally precious
Biden: He can walk away with it, as he could have in 2016
Gillibrand: 0.00, total phony

Kasich: DOA, egomaniac
Christie: Trump v. Trump
Romney: Oh, fuck... Not again

Schultz: Not dynamic enough to be a spoiler... 15 min almost up


Don't underestimate Gilli's ability to connect. Her first political victory was the congressional district I grew up in, and with a couple of minor and brief exceptions it had been Republican since the 19th century (and, indeed, my Congressman's family had held the seat as Federalists, Whigs, and Republicans). She has an extraordinary amount of energy and if you are ever in the room with her, you leave feeling like you're her best friend and she listened to every word you said. It's the kind of charm Bill Clinton had. Could play very well in Iowa caucuses.

Adder 02-12-2019 04:09 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520831)
Biden: He can walk away with it, as he could have in 2016

I love this. Dude has never broken single digits in a Dem primary field. The only basis to believe he's more viable than any of the rest is name recognition.

Adder 02-12-2019 04:11 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Not Bob (Post 520834)
“What about Sherrod Brown!?!” asks the product of a union-proud, JFK/RFK worshipping family in the Ancestral Homeland.

Don't forget Mayor Pete, Julian Castro or someone named Jim Delaney who is not the Commissioner of the B1G.

Hank Chinaski 02-12-2019 04:17 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 520841)
Don't underestimate Gilli's ability to connect. Her first political victory was the congressional district I grew up in, and with a couple of minor and brief exceptions it had been Republican since the 19th century (and, indeed, my Congressman's family had held the seat as Federalists, Whigs, and Republicans). She has an extraordinary amount of energy and if you are ever in the room with her, you leave feeling like you're her best friend and she listened to every word you said. It's the kind of charm Bill Clinton had. Could play very well in Iowa caucuses.

Why trouble Seb with all that? Any word if Johnson and Stein are running again? This time they’ll def get that 5%!

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-12-2019 04:32 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ferrets_bueller (Post 520781)
Very few are smart enough to walk away when they “ring the bell.”

After much deliberation, I have determined that I am in a position that my financial future, and that of my family unto my grandchildren's generation, is secure. Having worked at the same outfit for 44 years, I have decided not to make a career of it. The signature cases I have on my docket are in the "pig has moved through most of the python" stage. My successor is more than ready, she has been ready for a decade. Time to step down before the Board taps me on the shoulder, pins a note to my sweater, and leaves me at a dog track. It is time. I'm going out on a very good note.



At age 72 and a low fraction, I will ring the bell on March 29, thus making April Fools Day my first day of retirement. Bueller LLC will open for business the next day.



Mostly, I'll be found at beaches between North Carolina, Bermuda, Aruba, Costa Rica, and, when the narco problem clears up again, Barra Beach in Rio. Buy futures in SPF 90 sunscreen. I'll be using it by the quart as I fish for breakfast at sunrise, reapplying until the cocktail hour at sunset.



I also expect to be busy enough, but not too busy. I will be working for the World Bank and the Financial Services Volunteer Corps once or twice a year to see a few of the more remote emerging economies I have yet to visit. Get ticket, review facts on the ground, write report, repeat.



I wish all of you the same level of happiness in your careers that I've been fortunate enough to have. Peace.

Mr. Bueller, enjoy your life off. Might I recommend Greek beaches?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-12-2019 04:33 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 520844)
Why trouble Seb with all that? Any word if Johnson and Stein are running again? This time they’ll def get that 5%!

I'm betting Seb ends up deciding all the candidates are imperfect so why not just screw it and vote for Trump. After all, he lowered someone's taxes.

Tyrone Slothrop 02-12-2019 06:06 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Not Bob (Post 520837)
At any rate, this is some @dick_nixon level oppo dump.

It's not really an oppo dump. Those calls are coming from inside the house.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 07:12 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 520844)
Why trouble Seb with all that? Any word if Johnson and Stein are running again? This time they’ll def get that 5%!

Oddly, though I disagree with her on much, I could vote for Warren just because it’s so rare to have an expert on bankruptcy and consumer debt running for office. And I think she’d pass bills making it easier for millennials to shed debt.

I also secretly want to see the corporate state implode. She’s a step in that direction.

We need the market to fall to 15k and masssive forced debt forgiveness to have honest economy and give the kids a chance.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-12-2019 07:42 PM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 520846)
I'm betting Seb ends up deciding all the candidates are imperfect so why not just screw it and vote for Trump. After all, he lowered someone's taxes.

Nope. He had a chance. Had he risen to the situation, even to the lowest bar of acting like an arguable adult, I could be swayed. Sadly, he’s been a bigger train wreck than my worst case predictions.

It’s not like he’s a fool. There’s an argument for putting a torpedo in China and stalling globalization. But I don’t think he does anything for any thoughtful reason. He’s just blundering through, incoherent, and without a plan, lashing out at media enemies like Oliver Stone’s paranoid version of Nixon. Only instead of paintings to assail, Trump has Twitter — a giant toilet bowl of his ADD effluent.

I think I save money with his tax plan. But not enough for me to vote for him.

Icky Thump 02-12-2019 11:21 PM

Re: Thanks for the Recommendation
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 520617)
How timely. I will be in Vancouver, Jasper, Banff and Calgary next week. I can look for all the colours and flavours I can find at the theatre organisation and by by cheque, eh?

I clicked on that page and thought I was back in 2002 again.

Icky from Doha on his way to Bangkok

Icky Thump 02-12-2019 11:37 PM

Re: Doesn’t Matter Who Wins the K Race; We’re All the Same
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Did you just call me Coltrane? (Post 520826)
Can you buy your own airplane?

Sorry all my money goes to paying for my boss’s G5.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-13-2019 09:43 AM

Re: Thanks for the Recommendation
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 520850)
I clicked on that page and thought I was back in 2002 again.

Icky from Doha on his way to Bangkok

Tell me how Bangkok is - I'm going to be there in 2 weeks.

Adder 02-13-2019 10:41 AM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 520848)
We need the market to fall to 15k and masssive forced debt forgiveness to have honest economy and give the kids a chance.

Seems like maybe we should be talking about ways of achieving the debt forgiveness goal that don't require massive pain that will include kids experiencing highly levels and longer period of unemployment, that will put them in a hole not dissimilar to their debt.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-13-2019 11:26 AM

Re: Northam, Warren, Fairfax...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 520853)
Seems like maybe we should be talking about ways of achieving the debt forgiveness goal that don't require massive pain that will include kids experiencing highly levels and longer period of unemployment, that will put them in a hole not dissimilar to their debt.

Most of that debt is held by or guaranteed by the govt. It'd just be another trillion on the 22 trillion pile. If we believe that the national debt doesn't matter much, and there are compelling arguments that's true, why not just let the millenials off the hook and drive all those wasted debt repayments they're making into the broader, productive (non-rentier) economy?

As to the private student loan lenders, caveat emptor. The kind of bottom feeder who seeks to lend to kids because the debt is non-dischargeable is exactly the kind of rentier who should lose everything.

It's not perfect, but it's a hell of a lot better than saddling these kids with so much debt they can never participate meaningfully in the economy (limited consumer spending ability, no chance of buying a home, no chance of affording lids or those kids' educations, etc.).


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