LawTalkers

LawTalkers (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/index.php)
-   Politics (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=16)
-   -   Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=880)

ThurgreedMarshall 07-10-2017 04:41 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 508655)
Why? My point is that he acts pretty rationally.

Worked out well for Saddam.

Interesting article on it: http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/24/opinio...rby/index.html

TM

Tyrone Slothrop 07-10-2017 05:04 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 508656)
Worked out well for Saddam.

Interesting article on it: http://www.cnn.com/2017/04/24/opinio...rby/index.html

TM

I don't get the crazy part. Here is a long explanation of how he is acting rationally:

Quote:

[A]ccording to some experts, young Kim Jong Un has absolutely no intention of giving up his toys. He knows that while he can produce a bomb, he can't produce a peace. And what he really wants is survival -- for him and the regime.
As The Economist noted this week, Kim "watched Moammar Gadhafi of Libya give up his nuclear program in return for better relations with the West -- and end up dead."
So, the young dictator makes it clear he will continue to pursue nuclear and ballistic missile technology so that, one day, he can -- if needed -- launch a nuke at his enemies.
We must take him at his word.
Bluster? Yes, of course. But he backs that bluster up with constant tests, constant research and constant resources. Kim means business.
Sometimes that business pays off. Sometimes, not so much. But for Kim, there is really no such thing as failure. Each time he attempts a launch or sets off a bomb, he learns. Each time, win or lose, he wins.
He wins because he advances his knowledge. He wins because he proves his seriousness. And he wins because he makes it more attractive for other nations to buy him off. The focus on him elevates him. It elevates the status of North Korea. And maybe, just maybe, helps put him in a better position to ensure the regime's sustainability.
The Lethal Weapon comparison doesn't follow. Riggs tells the police to fire. Kim isn't doing that.

Americans have a long, lazy habit of describing foreign leaders as crazy instead of understanding why they're doing what they're doing. Hussein wasn't crazy, either.

ThurgreedMarshall 07-10-2017 05:27 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 508657)
I don't get the crazy part. Here is a long explanation of how he is acting rationally:

Are you just quoting the article I posted back to me?

I understand the principle, which is why I mentioned Saddam.*

That said, I wouldn't put it past him to attack South Korea tomorrow. Because he's crazy.

TM

*From the following article:

"The record made clear that Saddam Hussein both possessed WMD and used them against both external enemies (Iran) and his own citizens. After the first Gulf War his regime now faced a dilemma. The resolution provided theUnited Statesand its allies with authority to use force inIraq. The United Nations resolution 687 was partly a repetition of its resolution 678 which authorised member states ‘to use all necessary means to uphold and implement resolution 660 and all subsequent relevant resolutions and to restore international peace and security in the area.’ This meant that if it was proven that Iraq had WMD, Saddam would risk a new western intervention.

On the other hand, if it was made clear that Saddam had no chemical or biological weapons, then he would lose one of his key instruments of inflicting fear both among his own population and Iraq’s neighbours. This could diminish Iraq’s position as a major force in the region. Saddam’s rational choice would then be to create uncertainty or ambiguity as to whether or not he actually had these weapons. Without proof of Iraq having WMD, it seemed unlikely that the West would intervene, and without proof of Iraq not having WMD, it would keep insurgents and Iraq’s neighbours at bay.

Therefore it would seem rational for Saddam Hussein to pursue the choice of ambiguity, as illustrated in Figure 1. This line of tactics is in compliance with what is known as signalling in game theory, i.e. revealing, concealing and eliciting information about one’s intentions and capabilities. The general principle is that you want to release your information selectively."

http://www.popularsocialscience.com/...raq-in-2003-2/

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-10-2017 05:59 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 508654)
Because he didn't hit Syria with a strike without approval?

TM

I'm not sure I understand.

I think it is just a matter of time with that lunatic in the WH before he does something like this, whether it is Syria, Iran, North Korea, Germany, or Berkeley. I think he's fuckin nuts, and that makes us a bigger risk than North Korea when it comes to Nukes.

We ought to be rethinking the idea that the Commander in Chief gets the codes and can do what he will with them.

Also, the lunacy of our own leader should help us realize: some leaders are indeed crazy. A key lesson I learned once was when I gave a client the advice that the other party would have to be crazy to sue him on an issue. What we didn't focus on was that we had good reason to realize that the other party was indeed crazy (they sued him, he got paid millions but they killed his company in the process). When you say "he'd have to be crazy to xxxx" always assess the change that he might actually be crazy. There are lunatics in the world.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-10-2017 06:00 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 508657)
Hussein wasn't crazy, either.

Well, then he certainly played his cards all wrong, because it did not turn out well for him.

ThurgreedMarshall 07-10-2017 06:04 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 508659)
I'm not sure I understand.

I think it is just a matter of time with that lunatic in the WH before he does something like this, whether it is Syria, Iran, North Korea, Germany, or Berkeley. I think he's fuckin nuts, and that makes us a bigger risk than North Korea when it comes to Nukes.

We ought to be rethinking the idea that the Commander in Chief gets the codes and can do what he will with them.

I thought you were stating that he doesn't have the authority to act without Congressional approval. Instead, we are agreeing. My bad.

TM

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-10-2017 06:09 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 508661)
I thought you were stating that he doesn't have the authority to act without Congressional approval. Instead, we are agreeing. My bad.

TM

I wish he didn't. It's frightening.

Tyrone Slothrop 07-10-2017 06:32 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 508658)
Are you just quoting the article I posted back to me?

Yes -- don't get why the author calls Kim crazy, since most of what he describes is pretty sane.

Quote:

I understand the principle, which is why I mentioned Saddam.*

That said, I wouldn't put it past him to attack South Korea tomorrow. Because he's crazy.
I guess it depends on what you mean by "attack," but I think North Korea is pretty clear that they're not going to win a war with South Korea, and that the regime likely would not survive the experience. So I don't see them going to war.

Hank Chinaski 07-10-2017 06:39 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 508663)
Yes -- don't get why the author calls Kim crazy, since most of what he describes is pretty sane.



I guess it depends on what you mean by "attack," but I think North Korea is pretty clear that they're not going to win a war with South Korea, and that the regime likely would not survive the experience. So I don't see them going to war.

That is really what we have to hope for. Long time dictators have good survival skills?

Pretty Little Flower 07-10-2017 07:23 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 508657)
I don't get the crazy part.

This is a little crazy.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZnBNuqqz5g

Tyrone Slothrop 07-10-2017 11:42 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 508674)

Agreed, but I'm a little disappointed that Dennis Rodman didn't show up.

Tyrone Slothrop 07-11-2017 11:32 AM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DEdmYGTVwAEhp_e.jpg

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 07-11-2017 11:50 AM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Confession: I don't eat ham, so I'd want to do Mexican, too.

Adder 07-11-2017 12:03 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 508677)
Confession: I don't eat ham, so I'd want to do Mexican, too.

Sounded like they might have been at Taylor Gourmet (which is delicious, btw, and I want one here), which has non-ham options too.

ThurgreedMarshall 07-11-2017 12:04 PM

Fucking Stupid
 
I am amazed at the levels of stupidity in Trump's circle (and family). That's saying something because I always knew he and his family are fucking stupid. But this is just overwhelming.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/11/u...one-share&_r=0

TM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:00 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin, Copyright ©2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Limited.
Hosted By: URLJet.com