Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 522070)

The primary schedule is made for big money campaigns that can time their momentum for February. https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/ccad.phtml

Basically, there is the usual NH/IA/SC/NV stuff followed by an Ultra-super Tuesday in which Texas and California and a bunch of other good size states all go and more than a third of the delegates are chosen and then a compressed cycle with another third chosen in the rest of March. More than 70% by the end of March.

For candidates other than Bernie and Biden, who start with money and enough support to get them in any top tier, that means winnowing the field between now and January. If there are still more than a half-dozen standing in January, beating either of those front runners will be hard because they'll all split the vote fighting for second or third and a chance to go one-on-one in later primaries with the big guys while the big two rack up delegates.

I don't want Bernie and am kind of meh about Biden, so my hope is both of them start looking like yesterday's news by fall. I think that is possible, in which case we have a race. But if those two are still out front in November it is going to be tough for anyone else.

There is another potential odd dynamic - what if we get one or more "favorite son" candidates who say, hey, Texas, or hey, Calfornia, give me your votes and I'll broker the convention. If Beto takes Texas and Harris California, we could have a dynamic we haven't really seen in many decades.

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 522072)

Trump’s stream of crazy is a feature for many of his voters, not a bug. Biden’s not armed with that Teflon.

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 522084)

No one gives a fuck about Trump voters. His stupid junior high bullshit and racism speak to them. It's everyone else (swing voters) and the idiots who threw away their vote last time that matter.

TM

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 522061)

I quite like Gabbard, for obvious reasons.

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 522086)

Because she's Putin's stooge, a DINO agent provocateur, the kind of Democrats who exists to fuck with other Democrats?

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 522087)

You dipshits.

Because she’s hot. I know nothing about the woman. It was a joke.

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 522087)

You dipshits.

Because she’s hot.

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 522088)

I knew your electoral predictions and preferences were a joke, I just thought the punchline was different.

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 522089)

I'm sure she'd be happy to have you join her cult.

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 522030)

I find it very aggravating to go to a session where a firm gets updated on employment law and hear people wax nostalgically about the good old days when they didn't need to worry as much about harassment and discrimination.

Fuck you, assholes. If you're nostalgic for that shit, you're part of the problem.

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 522041)

I think he has come to an understanding and has handled it quite well. I don't think anyone thinks his physical contact was sexual in nature. And he isn't exactly getting #metoo'd. It's fine for women to say that they didn't welcome the physical contact. What's not fine is to act like this disqualifies him for office or puts him anywhere near Trump's category.

TM

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 522042)

I have some affection for Biden, and I wish that he wouldn't run for President, because it's not going to go well for him.

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 522084)

No one gives a fuck about Trump voters. . . .

TM

Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 522094)

Pick someone better. I'll wait.

Beto? Beta male would get stomped by Trump.

Pete Buttigieg. While I like him and would vote for him . . . puhleese. He wouldn't get a single vote south of the mason dixon line.

Any woman -- I tried that, I voted that, I contributed to that, so no.

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 522096)

Hmm, think Biden has trouble with this touching stuff going against several female candidates. Not sure he can survive.

And if he does, do he attract the “there the same I’m going 3rd party?” I know that makes no sense but it didn’t in 2016 either. I do hope non voters at least show up.