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-   -   Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=880)

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 02:22 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 511697)
The politics of it are totally insane. Not getting why they don't see that, or don't care. If Trump had half a brain, he would understand that having a Democratic Congress elected next fall means that he will be impeached (if not removed). Are the GOP legislators who lose their seats all planning to go to work for Heritage and the Koch Brothers?

A Democrat controlled Congress is a huge assumption. A lot of the predictions of that, right now, are more advocacy for and desire to see it, rather than actual proof it's coming.

And Trump's the honey badger. Next fall? That's predicting... thinking. He don't give a fuck about that kind of egghead stuff. Now Me Win! Moar Wins Now!

LessinSF 12-01-2017 02:26 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Did you just call me Coltrane? (Post 511699)
I mean FUCK. There was really only one way that I would benefit from this dickhead being president, and that's a tax cut. But first this SALT bullshit and now they're keeping the AMT? I'm calling again for the blue states to secede.

Don't forget the reduction in the cap on mortgage interest from $1MM to $500,000.

Home buyers care about what they can afford per month. So, if you are like me, with a home valued at $900,000, a buyer needing a $720,000 loan now has to pay more per month for that loan because $220,000 of it is no longer deductible. Ergo, my place's value will plummet.

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 02:26 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by greatwhitenorthchick (Post 511698)
Because of my practice area (and as someone who is going to lose her SALT deduction), I have paid far, far too much attention to this bill. My prediction is that it's not going to die. The last-minute Flake (DACA) amendment (and Senate bill now doesn't repeal the AMT) may make reconciliation more difficult, and delay plus potential government shutdown plus Alabama election are potential factors, but I think they'll keep horse trading and adding on stuff to please various interests until the thing looks like a glittery Christmas shit-tree and they'll get it through.

Can you explain the difference between treatment of LLC income under this 25% rate thing? The financial media is incoherent on this, but I understand there's a distinction between goods and services that goes like this:

Because I sell services, I cannot have the 25% rate on pass through income;
If I sold goods, I could have it.

Is that accurate? Because, well, fuck that bullshit right there. Fuck it hard, and not nicely in the least.

ThurgreedMarshall 12-01-2017 02:27 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 511689)
That seems like the one thing Trump realistically might do that would turn Republicans on the Hill against him.

How many Republicans? 20% They have absolutely no integrity or respect for this country's institutions that aren't the armed forces. He fires Mueller, they weather an extended storm and push through their abortion of a tax bill, ton of psychotic federal judges, and whatever else their donors can type up before the midterms, and sit back satisfied at their accomplishments. If you think that will trigger impeachment, you're crazy. And based on your other posts today, you are not crazy.

TM

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 02:28 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511700)
A Democrat controlled Congress is a huge assumption. A lot of the predictions of that, right now, are more advocacy for and desire to see it, rather than actual proof it's coming.

Mid-term elections are a referendum on the President, and Trump's approval ratings are at historic lows. He only knows how to play one tune, which is to appeal to his base, and the rest of the country doesn't like it. Democrat voters are motivated and Republicans are not. And Congress is about to raise taxes on the middle class to pay for a tax cut for the rich. Sure, Democratic control of Congress is not guaranteed, but I'll make a wager with you at even odds.

Quote:

And Trump's the honey badger. Next fall? That's predicting... thinking. He don't give a fuck about that kind of egghead stuff. Now Me Win! Moar Wins Now!
Sure.

greatwhitenorthchick 12-01-2017 02:35 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511702)
Can you explain the difference between treatment of LLC income under this 25% rate thing? The financial media is incoherent on this, but I understand there's a distinction between goods and services that goes like this:

Because I sell services, I cannot have the 25% rate on pass through income;
If I sold goods, I could have it.

Is that accurate? Because, well, fuck that bullshit right there. Fuck it hard, and not nicely in the least.

The bills are somewhat incoherent on this, but yes, that is what it boils down to.

greatwhitenorthchick 12-01-2017 02:36 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 511704)
even odds.



"sniff"

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 02:41 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 511704)
Mid-term elections are a referendum on the President, and Trump's approval ratings are at historic lows. He only knows how to play one tune, which is to appeal to his base, and the rest of the country doesn't like it. Democrat voters are motivated and Republicans are not. And Congress is about to raise taxes on the middle class to pay for a tax cut for the rich. Sure, Democratic control of Congress is not guaranteed, but I'll make a wager with you at even odds.

Sure.

This bill isn't raising taxes on the middle class. If you own a home with a mortgage over $500k, outside of a city, you're probably upper middle class to affluent. If the state income tax deduction is significant to you, you either live in a place like NY, which means you're fairly well off relative to the rest of the country, or you're making decent coin.

This bill looks like it's targeting the upper middle class. If you plug in Adder's theory that people only care about their position relative to those nearest them (which I buy), Trump is targeting exactly the sort of effete professional sorts his base, the real low to middle classes, hates most.

Wentworth Plutocrat IV gets a fat tax break, and Purvis Coalcracker, who resents the college folk in the neighboring town, gets to spit in the eye of that fancy orthopedic surgeon he resents. You know... the one with the Range Rover and that Oriental wife.

LessinSF 12-01-2017 02:48 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 511685)
So maybe ABC knows something. Or maybe ABC mis-reported what's in the statement of offense.

The money appears to be on Jared - https://www.thedailybeast.com/very-s...ussia-outreach

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 02:53 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 511701)
Don't forget the reduction in the cap on mortgage interest from $1MM to $500,000.

Home buyers care about what they can afford per month. So, if you are like me, with a home valued at $900,000, a buyer needing a $720,000 loan now has to pay more per month for that loan because $220,000 of it is no longer deductible. Ergo, my place's value will plummet.

Moar homes for Blackstone to buy and rent!

"Renting? That's unsane!"

"Not now! Now you've got a $24k standard deduction from Uncle Sam! You can live in one of those excellent Blackstone townhomes. It's the American dream with whipped cream and cherries on top. I'm getting an erection just thinking about the granite kitchen and stainless steel refrigerator and microwave! It's so tasteful. The most chic living, ever!"

Adder 12-01-2017 03:20 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511707)
This bill isn't raising taxes on the middle class. If you own a home with a mortgage over $500k, outside of a city, you're probably upper middle class to affluent. If the state income tax deduction is significant to you, you either live in a place like NY, which means you're fairly well off relative to the rest of the country, or you're making decent coin.

It's hard to keep up with exactly what the numbers are, especially as the substance of the bill keeps changing, but I thought I saw an analysis that said that 80% of households making less than $100k will see a tax increase. That's the middle class.

Quote:

that fancy orthopedic surgeon he resents. You know... the one with the Range Rover and that Oriental wife.
If that fancy orthopedic surgeon is not himself in the top 5%, he's doing it wrong. Heck, he's probably in the top 1%.

Adder 12-01-2017 03:26 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 511708)

The money appears to be on Jared being among them, anyway.

Icky Thump 12-01-2017 03:44 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 511701)
Don't forget the reduction in the cap on mortgage interest from $1MM to $500,000.

Home buyers care about what they can afford per month. So, if you are like me, with a home valued at $900,000, a buyer needing a $720,000 loan now has to pay more per month for that loan because $220,000 of it is no longer deductible. Ergo, my place's value will plummet.

It's OK they still have my name on the list at The Projects. Hopefully they didn't paint over my tag on the handball courts.

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 03:52 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 511703)
How many Republicans? 20% They have absolutely no integrity or respect for this country's institutions that aren't the armed forces. He fires Mueller, they weather an extended storm and push through their abortion of a tax bill, ton of psychotic federal judges, and whatever else their donors can type up before the midterms, and sit back satisfied at their accomplishments. If you think that will trigger impeachment, you're crazy. And based on your other posts today, you are not crazy.

TM

Yeah, I don't know that it would turn enough Republicans against him. Many would pivot from "there's nothing to the Russia stuff" to, "he's allowed to do whatever he wants," but at least some wouldn't.

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 03:55 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511707)
This bill isn't raising taxes on the middle class. If you own a home with a mortgage over $500k, outside of a city, you're probably upper middle class to affluent. If the state income tax deduction is significant to you, you either live in a place like NY, which means you're fairly well off relative to the rest of the country, or you're making decent coin.

This bill looks like it's targeting the upper middle class. If you plug in Adder's theory that people only care about their position relative to those nearest them (which I buy), Trump is targeting exactly the sort of effete professional sorts his base, the real low to middle classes, hates most.

Wentworth Plutocrat IV gets a fat tax break, and Purvis Coalcracker, who resents the college folk in the neighboring town, gets to spit in the eye of that fancy orthopedic surgeon he resents. You know... the one with the Range Rover and that Oriental wife.

I'm not interested in arguing with you about who is and is not middle class. A lot of people who identify themselves as middle class will get hurt by this bill, which is one reason why it is staggeringly unpopular and will only get mores if it passes. And Trump isn't "targeting" anyone -- if you think he designed this bill, I have a bridge to sell you.

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 03:58 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 511708)

Looks like Mueller may have interviewed Kushner about this stuff after Flynn flipped.

SEC_Chick 12-01-2017 04:02 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 511710)
It's hard to keep up with exactly what the numbers are, especially as the substance of the bill keeps changing, but I thought I saw an analysis that said that 80% of households making less than $100k will see a tax increase. That's the middle class.



If that fancy orthopedic surgeon is not himself in the top 5%, he's doing it wrong. Heck, he's probably in the top 1%.

I think the bill is worst for the top 5% to .01%. Especially if the AMT stays.

The thing that is most upsetting is the ridiculous giveaways that remain, when IT ADDS OVER A TRILLION TO THE DEFICIT!!!

WTF happened to people like Paul Ryan? I have not been a fan of his for a while, but really? What ever happened to conservatives* not wanting to blow up the budget and hand our kids a giant bill? I'm as big a believer that the govt takes more than enough money already, but doing this without any meaningful entitlement reform is idiotic. Even for this GOP Congress.


*Whatever that term means now in the age of Trump and Moore. To me the term still means this:http://www.nationalreview.com/articl...ficult-produce

ThurgreedMarshall 12-01-2017 04:07 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 511715)
Looks like Mueller may have interviewed Kushner about this stuff after Flynn flipped.

Set that ass up.

TM

Pretty Little Flower 12-01-2017 04:13 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 511717)
Set that ass up.

TM

This is the most disappointing use of that phrase ever.

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 04:13 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 511716)
WTF happened to people like Paul Ryan? I have not been a fan of his for a while, but really? What ever happened to conservatives* not wanting to blow up the budget and hand our kids a giant bill? I'm as big a believer that the govt takes more than enough money already, but doing this without any meaningful entitlement reform is idiotic.

Unlike you, they never believed it. The crocodile tears about deficits were a pretext to oppose government spending they didn't like.

Adder 12-01-2017 04:20 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 511716)
What ever happened to conservatives* not wanting to blow up the budget and hand our kids a giant bill?

Given that they blow up the budget every time they're in power, I'm not sure they ever existed.

ThurgreedMarshall 12-01-2017 04:23 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 511718)
This is the most disappointing use of that phrase ever.

Because he wasn't properly gassed OR hoodie-and-masked up?

TM

Pretty Little Flower 12-01-2017 04:29 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 511721)
Because he wasn't properly gassed OR hoodie-and-masked up?

TM

Among other reasons.

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 04:36 PM

caption, please
 
https://images.newrepublic.com/a272d...op=faces&h=667

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-01-2017 04:49 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by greatwhitenorthchick (Post 511705)
The bills are somewhat incoherent on this, but yes, that is what it boils down to.

There will be an industry in converting services income to goods income, or coupling the two together sufficiently to gain the benefit.

At one point, I don't know if it survived, the bill had language that literally exempted services income under $250K per year from the concept of services income - in other words, a lot of services income for biglaw urban associates would fit in the lower rate but not most of the services income for biglaw partners.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-01-2017 04:51 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SEC_Chick (Post 511716)
I think the bill is worst for the top 5% to .01%. Especially if the AMT stays.

[/url]

Huh? Fact check here.

Corporate rate nearly halved.

International provisions like a sieve for offshore vehicles.

Estate Tax eliminated.

Tax shelters re-created.

This is the ultimate smash and grab for the top percenters.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-01-2017 04:54 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511688)
Did not vote for Trump.

You voted for this. There was only one way to stop this.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-01-2017 04:57 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop (Post 511684)
I'm sure that Sebby continues to think there would have been no real difference between the Hillary and the Donald Administrations. Sure, Sebby is going to get screwed when he can't deduct state and local tax payments anymore, but no doubt Hillary was going to do that too.

Among all the people who will be screwed by this, the two I most lack sympathy for are Sebby and Sarandon.

Oh wait. Sarandon will probably benefit from this.

So just Sebby.

Did you just call me Coltrane? 12-01-2017 05:01 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 511701)
Don't forget the reduction in the cap on mortgage interest from $1MM to $500,000.

Home buyers care about what they can afford per month. So, if you are like me, with a home valued at $900,000, a buyer needing a $720,000 loan now has to pay more per month for that loan because $220,000 of it is no longer deductible. Ergo, my place's value will plummet.

My congresscritter is an R, and has been in office for 10 years. I think there's a good chance he's gone in 2018 - people are pissed (mostly because of his support for Trump). I think (hope) many blue state Rs could be in trouble next year.

Did you just call me Coltrane? 12-01-2017 05:02 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511695)
Yes. They're already doing so because Jersey has miserable property taxes. This would accelerate the process.

Of course, then PA, being the fourth most corrupt state in the country, with a brutally inept legislature and Governor, would jack property taxes in response and fuck up the whole thing.

But DE is a more savvy state. They'd do well with it.

Does IL rank #1 or #1a?

And it's the Ds who have ruined this state.

greatwhitenorthchick 12-01-2017 05:33 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 511725)
Huh? Fact check here.

Corporate rate nearly halved.

International provisions like a sieve for offshore vehicles.

Estate Tax eliminated.

Tax shelters re-created.

This is the ultimate smash and grab for the top percenters.

I was reading her statement that it was good for the .001% and above and bad for those below down to the 5%ers. Which I kind of agree with (although it's bad for those below 5% especially when/if the brackets sunset and Medicare/Social Security gets fucked with). And there's a bunch of private equity/hedge fund managers and employees in the 1% but not 0.001% who are going to be fine since they get to keep their capital gains on carried interest/profits interests. But overall the winners are the idle rich, as opposed to the working rich and below.

Oh, and Bob Corker appears to be the only principled "deficit hawk" (maybe because he has nothing to lose). Since we are at the lowest of the low bars, I applaud his backbone in the circumstances.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-01-2017 06:05 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by greatwhitenorthchick (Post 511730)
Oh, and Bob Corker appears to be the only principled "deficit hawk" (maybe because he has nothing to lose). Since we are at the lowest of the low bars, I applaud his backbone in the circumstances.

Perhaps we ought to refer to this as "back cartilage".

sgtclub 12-01-2017 06:52 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 511725)
Huh? Fact check here.

Corporate rate nearly halved.

International provisions like a sieve for offshore vehicles.

Estate Tax eliminated.

Tax shelters re-created.

This is the ultimate smash and grab for the top percenters.

Top percenters that aren't service providers

Tyrone Slothrop 12-01-2017 06:57 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Interesting:

Quote:

[F]or Mueller to give Flynn a deal of this sort, the prosecutor must believe he is building a case against a bigger fish still.

There’s another peculiar nuance: Section 3 of the plea agreement leaves Flynn unprotected against certain future prosecutions. The section is titled “Additional Charges” and states in its entirety that “In consideration of your client’s guilty plea to the above offense, your client will not be further prosecuted criminally by this Office for the conduct set forth in the attached Statement of the Offense” (emphasis ours). The office, in other words, seems to be reserving the right to prosecute Flynn for conduct not set forth in that document, which is to say all of the other conduct on which he might be vulnerable. It is hard to know what to make of this language. It could mean nothing at all. It could mean that the threat of further prosecution is being held over Flynn’s head if he does not hold up his end of the bargain. It could mean that another plea agreement covering other matters is coming.
https://lawfareblog.com/flynn-plea-q...dirty-analysis

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 07:21 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 511727)
Among all the people who will be screwed by this, the two I most lack sympathy for are Sebby and Sarandon.

Oh wait. Sarandon will probably benefit from this.

So just Sebby.

I may not... But I think the other half of my household will. Perhaps nicely so. Net gain to household, acct thinks.

There’s always a way to make lemonade. Unless you’re entirely W-2d. In which case, yeah, you got a target on your back.

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 07:27 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Did you just call me Coltrane? (Post 511729)
Does IL rank #1 or #1a?

And it's the Ds who have ruined this state.

Both parties have ruined this one. People here in govt are hopeless. The whole place is hopeless. Fucking backwash shithole.

sebastian_dangerfield 12-01-2017 07:34 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 511726)
You voted for this. There was only one way to stop this.

Look, I’m sorry. I’d no idea he’d win by one vote in one state.

It’s never happened before, you know? You don’t have to be such a dick about it.

Pretty Little Flower 12-01-2017 08:44 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 511736)
Look, I’m sorry. I’d no idea he’d win by one vote in one state.

It’s never happened before, you know? You don’t have to be such a dick about it.

Jesus fuck, it's about time you apologized. Predictably, as we're about to go full Watergate.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-03-2017 11:08 AM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sgtclub (Post 511732)
Top percenters that aren't service providers

Wait for the tax shelter industry to gear up. There will be ways to convert service income for those for whom its worth the freight.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 12-03-2017 12:22 PM

Re: Mother, mother, mother - there's too many of you crying.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 511737)
Jesus fuck, it's about time you apologized. Predictably, as we're about to go full Watergate.

Besides death and taxes, the only other thing that is inevitable is self-righteous third party voters screwing up our lives.


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