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sebastian_dangerfield 11-17-2008 06:08 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 371425)
There was nothing there to wreck.

And, in fairness, BMW and Benz managed to fuck themselves up on their own, so we can't say for certain that Saab wouldn't have achieved mediocrity w/o GM.

Hank Chinaski 11-17-2008 06:10 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 371424)
Who's going to pony up the financing for that? BK is death here.

i don't get the argument that we need them for security, like a big war requires taking over those factories. we have foreign implant factories here now. we can take them over, no?

sebastian_dangerfield 11-17-2008 06:22 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 371431)
i don't get the argument that we need them for security, like a big war requires taking over those factories. we have foreign implant factories here now. we can take them over, no?

There are no non-political arguments for keeping them except for the psychological impact of a failure domestically, increased burdens on the pension guarantee corp (I'm not even sure that's real... I think I read somewhere that pension obligations are ok) and the global perception that this country is in financial freefall.

The psychological impact will be incredible and it will tarnish our perception abroad. But who knows? Maybe that kind of commitment to creative destruction will show us to be adults. I don't know... I do know that it will stoke a huge class warfare industry in the Midwest based on the complaint that the banks got bailed while the little union guy got fucked.

But then, this is all academic. GM will get a bailout. Obama is way too close to Andy Stern and the Dems would never allow something so damaging to union voters to occur on their watch. It'll happen and GM will stumble through more decades of shitty vehicles, bloated management and battles with unions over their workers' rights to smoke while operating the assembly line.

Adder 11-17-2008 06:25 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 371430)
And, in fairness, BMW and Benz managed to fuck themselves up on their own, so we can't say for certain that Saab wouldn't have achieved mediocrity w/o GM.

Not sure I agree. BMW and Benz are still making some good products, and at least in my mind have always been way more reliable than Saab.

Also, both are profitable (or have been).

Adder 11-17-2008 06:27 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hank Chinaski (Post 371431)
i don't get the argument that we need them for security, like a big war requires taking over those factories. we have foreign implant factories here now. we can take them over, no?

While I agree, I guess the thinking is that the domestic companies won't force us to take them over (they will just sell to the government at a tidy profit instead).

Penske_Account 11-17-2008 06:30 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 371433)

But then, this is all academic. GM will get a bailout. Obama is way too close to Andy Stern and the Dems would never allow something so damaging to union voters to occur on their watch. \.


What happened to change? Are our hopes to be dashed already? I still believe.

Replaced_Texan 11-17-2008 06:34 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 371433)
There are no non-political arguments for keeping them except for the psychological impact of a failure domestically, increased burdens on the pension guarantee corp (I'm not even sure that's real... I think I read somewhere that pension obligations are ok) and the global perception that this country is in financial freefall.

The psychological impact will be incredible and it will tarnish our perception abroad. But who knows? Maybe that kind of commitment to creative destruction will show us to be adults. I don't know... I do know that it will stoke a huge class warfare industry in the Midwest based on the complaint that the banks got bailed while the little union guy got fucked.

But then, this is all academic. GM will get a bailout. Obama is way too close to Andy Stern and the Dems would never allow something so damaging to union voters to occur on their watch. It'll happen and GM will stumble through more decades of shitty vehicles, bloated management and battles with unions over their workers' rights to smoke while operating the assembly line.

I think that having a concern over a million plus jobs isn't just political. A lot of lives would be destroyed if the automakers went down. Presumably, some industrious sort would be able to pick up the more valuable and productive people / sections, but letting them fail would have a huge impact on all of the country, not just parts where plants exist.

Adder 11-17-2008 06:39 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 371437)
I think that having a concern over a million plus jobs isn't just political.

Except I don't believe those numbers. A chapter 11 doesn't mean every job tied to the industry goes away.

ETA: The argument for bailing them out has always been that they are a huge part of the economy. Given the rise of imports and their continuing ineptitude, I don't know if this is true any more. Sure they are big, but unlike the banks, they are no longer part of the infrasctructure of the economy.

But it isn't an easy call, and I agree with Sebby that ultimately there is no doubt that the big three will get their own bailout.

Gattigap 11-17-2008 06:40 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 371437)
I think that having a concern over a million plus jobs isn't just political. A lot of lives would be destroyed if the automakers went down. Presumably, some industrious sort would be able to pick up the more valuable and productive people / sections, but letting them fail would have a huge impact on all of the country, not just parts where plants exist.

Put somewhat differently, I heard Daniel Gross of Slate mention on an audio bit somewhere that just letting them fail would essentially be telling Michigan and a couple of other of dependent, populous states to go pound sand. Maybe you do go for a solution that bails them out but encourages them to downsize by 40% (or whatever the number should ultimately be) over some extended period of time, but sending them straight into Chapter 7 (because Chapter 11 would apparently be unavailable) bombs those states into horse-and-buggy territory. I know that the Lions have much to answer for, and Hank lives there and all, but I'm not sure that we as a country are ready for Detroit's complete demolishment.

LessinSF 11-17-2008 06:45 PM

Re: Not cool
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Atticus Grinch (Post 371366)
Okay, Islam started out with a small group of followers. But this was only 13 years. Then came the Hajj and within 20 years of the first verses, Muhammad was a political leader. He subdued the entire Arabian peninsula before his death. That is what I mean about Islam "starting out" as a majority religion -- it was the religion of general governance during the period in which revelation (wahy) was still open. IIRC, a number of Qur'anic verses are about principles of government. The same cannot be said of Christianity, which never expected to have earthly power at its command.

Except for he may not have existed - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122669909279629451.html

Adder 11-17-2008 06:52 PM

Re: Not cool
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 371440)
Except for he may not have existed - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122669909279629451.html

This seems like a shocking blow to many a Pensk post past.

Penske_Account 11-17-2008 07:01 PM

Re: Not cool
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 371441)
This seems like a shocking blow to many a Pensk post past.

Actually, not.

I always thought the married a 5 year old thing was a "wink wink" that his whole existence was a sham. He was a prophet afterall, and certainly, with that status, he could have scored someone with a more substantial potential for sexual relations, if not pro-creation (isnt that the point of marraige, and if so, I am fairly certain that 5 yos are not so proficient at pro-creating).

Thoughts?

eta: I dont think those were my posts, but rather, socks attributed, rightly and wrongly, to me. Also, notwithstanding an overlap on IP addys, Slave is not my sock, nor me his. nttawwt.

reta: on reflection, a shocking blow to some sock's posts, perhaps, yes.

sebastian_dangerfield 11-17-2008 07:03 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 371437)
I think that having a concern over a million plus jobs isn't just political. A lot of lives would be destroyed if the automakers went down. Presumably, some industrious sort would be able to pick up the more valuable and productive people / sections, but letting them fail would have a huge impact on all of the country, not just parts where plants exist.

"Non-political" may be a bit narrow.

sebastian_dangerfield 11-17-2008 07:09 PM

Re: help! save me!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 371438)
Except I don't believe those numbers. A chapter 11 doesn't mean every job tied to the industry goes away.

And the argument that people will never buy a car made by a company emerging from some sort of quasi-11 where the govt acts as resurrecting financier is pure nonsense.

Atticus Grinch 11-17-2008 07:11 PM

Re: Not cool
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LessinSF (Post 371440)
Except for he may not have existed - http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122669909279629451.html

All it needs now is fewer adherents and a couple of Midwestern and Northeastern colleges where a few of the oldtimers bellyache about how P.E. and going to weekday services used the be required for undergraduates, and Islam will finally have achieved Total Theological Maturity.


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