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-   -   I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused. (http://www.lawtalkers.com/forums/showthread.php?t=879)

ThurgreedMarshall 02-08-2017 01:13 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505666)
Race is part of almost every political issue.

The "shut down" you see, which is very real, occurs when race moves to the forefront of causes. People see a complex issue, like Trump's win, and think of myriad reasons for it, all of similar gravity. I don't think any sane white person would debate racism and sexism were part of his success. Its when people forget race and sex are part of a broader whole in terms of that explanation that things go sideways.

Perhaps it's the media's fault. After Trump's win, the media created a quick and dirty sound bite explanation: Bihots and sexists awarded him the office. Naturally, we all cited articles here, from that media, many of which highlighted that gross oversimplification.

No. I disagree. The media did not flood the airwaves with stories suggesting that race was why Trump won. What you saw was the reaction (and related stories) of disbelief over how a racist, sexist asshole could win. The fact that people lamented the fact that Trump garnered so much support partly because of his racism and sexism and partly in spite of it is a huge story. I suppose one could combine all of that with actual racist voter ID laws and actual racist voter suppression in the form of limiting access to voting booths in black neighborhoods and shutting down early voting options to conclude that race sure as hell played a huge role in this very close election.

But the discussion of Comey's interference and Russia's involvement have been way bigger stories than what I listed above. And whenever we talk about why Trump won, you seem laser-focused on Trump's pretend jobs program. So who exactly are all these people you keep running into who "assert everything is about race or sex?"

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505666)
In turn, I cited opposing sources highlighting joblessness as s significant part of Trump's appeal. Being a board full of lawyers, people fought that, and I fought back. In the end, the truth was, as you note, and I've acknowledged, Trump was elected for a variety of reasons, which include racism and joblessness.

And given the amount of attention given to all of these things, I'm struggling to find examples of people who asserted it was all about race or sex." Like I said, after 8 years of Obama, it was shocking to many people that so many white people would overwhelmingly choose such a blatant racist, sexist asshole. But that's hardly the same as an assertion that his election was all about racism and sexism.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505666)
Re my ability to discuss race, I've told a number of dumb white fucks running their mouth off about the need to be "tough on crime" (I see lots of flyover types) that they don't know wtf they're talking about. Currently, I direct them to "13th," and remind them I did criminal defense, and our system is racist. Full stop. This does not make me popular with "conservatives." Which pleases me considerably. (I'm much more direct in person when I think someone's wrong.)

Great!

TM

Adder 02-08-2017 01:38 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505662)
Much of this debate about political correctness is complete and total bullshit. What people like you have done is conflate a demand for respect with college campus discussions about safe spaces and trigger warnings. It's just a way to trivialize actual issues raised by people who do not hold power and who are trying to get some. You say, "these people are way too sensitive," because you take the most ridiculous examples and hold them up as what political correctness means when the overwhelming share of what is at issue actually revolves around a demand for the same level of respect white men show one another and expect from everyone else. The term has become a catch-all for protecting feelings over speaking truth. And it's garbage. It's now a weapon that Republicans and Trump get to use to foment support or backlash on any topic at all.

Political correctness is the demand by those who are not white men to be treated the way white men expect to be treated. That's it. If that's too fucking difficult for anyone to handle, then they can fuck off.

TM

The thing that especially galls me about the current vogue for throwing out "political correctness" is that its never accompanied by an actual willingness to do so.

I mean, we're all old enough to remember when this debate was about whether white people can use the n word (or men the c word, or various ethnic slurs). If you're so anti-PC, why aren't you using those words freely?

Right, because you've figured out that those things are offensive, inappropriate, or get you a punch to the face and you can deal with that, but god forbid anyone ask you think go any farther.

ferrets_bueller 02-08-2017 01:51 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
[QUOTE=ThurgreedMarshall;505665]It is just overwhelmingly stupid that you characterize these issues as "Democrats picking the wrong issues." If what you mean by "picking these issues" is Democrats fighting Republicans who are constantly crafting actual laws shitting on people, then yeah. I suppose you're right. But what you said above is ridiculous. I suppose we should give Republicans credit for creating an atmosphere in which those who fight the active removal of rights for the vulnerable among us are considered to be "choosing the wrong issues," but among those of us who know better, we can surely do a little better.

If you had said, "Hillary did a terrible job expressing her plan to create opportunities for those in jobs that will soon be obsolete while Trump built fantasy factories, etc." I'd be with you. But this idea that you're perpetuating that Hillary and the Democrats fought Trump's fantasies by raising issues of transgender rights, makes you as programmed as any Trump numbskull.


Let me put it another way. There is a difference between governing and campaigning. Certainly the Democrats should oppose regressive policies, voter suppression being a perfect example. But the Democrats didn't campaign...didn't "pivot"..., if you will, to something like "The Warner Franken Manchin Massive Infrastructure Employment Bill." They never said to the blue collar base that they had a plan for them. They didn't campaign on building the Biden Memorial Bullet Train, or similar high end updated WPA projects across the country. Schumer should be talking about "The Bridge and Tunnel Act of 2017" force the Republicans to do what they said...build infrastructure. He should be talking about massive Space Exploration projects, and point out that we are relying on Putin's rockets to get into space.

Kill the retrogressive social policies in Committee. Run on clean water for Detroit. Run on big projects. Run on big ideas with tangible results. Say what you will about the pipelines, and their merit, but flyover country bought them, lock stock and barrel.

ThurgreedMarshall 02-08-2017 02:20 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ferrets_bueller (Post 505670)
Let me put it another way. There is a difference between governing and campaigning. Certainly the Democrats should oppose regressive policies, voter suppression being a perfect example. But the Democrats didn't campaign...didn't "pivot"..., if you will, to something like "The Warner Franken Manchin Massive Infrastructure Employment Bill." They never said to the blue collar base that they had a plan for them.

I disagree. I just think they did a terrible job of it and let themselves get defined by Republicans and Trump. But I guess that doesn't really matter.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ferrets_bueller (Post 505670)
Kill the retrogressive social policies in Committee. Run on clean water for Detroit. Run on big projects. Run on big ideas with tangible results.

No arguments here.

TM

Icky Thump 02-08-2017 04:10 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505671)
I disagree. I just think they did a terrible job of it and let themselves get defined by Republicans and Trump. But I guess that doesn't really matter.

No arguments here.

TM

Progressive policies are fine if they are framed correctly. I'd frame it as two words:

Fair
Equal

No one can be against those two concepts.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-08-2017 04:18 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505667)
GGG ducked that one because I cited justice reform as a significant demand for a candidate.

I forgot "demilitarization of police." Add that to my list.

Why do you think justice reform is all about race?

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-08-2017 04:21 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 505681)
Progressive policies are fine if they are framed correctly. I'd frame it as two words:

Fair
Equal

No one can be against those two concepts.

One thing Hill missed completely was the need for a campaign focused on shallow unachievable principles rather than detailed ways of improving peoples lives. Because she had like 20 speeches and 30 position papers about how to achieve as much of the above as possible.

Icky Thump 02-08-2017 04:37 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505683)
One thing Hill missed completely was the need for a campaign focused on shallow unachievable principles rather than detailed ways of improving peoples lives. Because she had like 20 speeches and 30 position papers about how to achieve as much of the above as possible.

Right. I am advocating shouting those two words over and over again.

Tyrone Slothrop 02-08-2017 05:02 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Icky Thump (Post 505681)
Progressive policies are fine if they are framed correctly. I'd frame it as two words:

Fair
Equal

No one can be against those two concepts.

There are a lot of people who are against those two concepts, including a great many people who are more comfortable with traditional social hierarchies and are happy that it feels like Trump is restoring them.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-08-2017 05:26 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505682)
Why do you think justice reform is all about race?

If that's what I had said, this would be a question worth answering.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-08-2017 05:35 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505683)
One thing Hill missed completely was the need for a campaign focused on shallow unachievable principles rather than detailed ways of improving peoples lives. Because she had like 20 speeches and 30 position papers about how to achieve as much of the above as possible.

She wasn't going to improve the lives of any trump voters. They knew that.

And neither is he.

Reread the part of ferret's post where he agrees with me about future unemployment. The outlook is beyond bleak. Hillary offered nothing more than the status quo. Trump offered lies. Either way, the Trump voters were and are fucked.

"Improving peoples lives… " How naïve are you? The best any politician will be able to do for most of the people becoming unemployed is provide a guaranteed income. You think any candidate is going to be able to do that within the next decade?

There is no political fix. Drive that into your skull and we can have a sensible conversation. Persist with delusions like Hillary would have somehow "improved" the terminal situations of the current and future unemployed in an aggressively automating age, and all I can do is slap my forehead reading your bullshit.

Now tell me a bedtime story about re-training, education, and how this is just like the industrial revolution. Jesus Fucking Christ...

Forget about politicians. Their toolbox is effectively exhausted.

ThurgreedMarshall 02-08-2017 05:40 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505687)
Reread the part of ferret's post where he agrees with me about future unemployment.

I would, but I think you've done it enough to have us all covered.

TM

sebastian_dangerfield 02-08-2017 05:51 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505688)
I would, but I think you've done it enough to have us all covered.

TM

It's a rare and glorious thing to get anybody here to admit anything contrary to the consensus. I'll happily wallow in the tiniest victory.

Pretty Little Flower 02-08-2017 05:54 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505688)
I would, but I think you've done it enough to have us all covered.

TM

He's already gotten a tattoo containing ferret's text.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-08-2017 05:57 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pretty Little Flower (Post 505690)
He's already gotten a tattoo containing ferret's text.

Best suggestion for a tattoo for the Trump years I've seen: "Marbury v. Madison, Motherfuckers."

ThurgreedMarshall 02-08-2017 06:03 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505689)
It's a rare and glorious thing to get anybody here to admit anything contrary to the consensus. I'll happily wallow in the tiniest victory.

This is completely false. If you had paid even the slightest bit of attention to our back-and-forth on this very issue, I conceded the fact that jobs are quickly becoming obsolete all over the place.* Your only responses have been to say (i) actual policy proposals by Hillary and Democrats that have been obstructed that would grant some relief even in the face of an inevitable march to obsolescence (as opposed to the fantasy proposed by Trump) are meaningless because it's only a matter of time and (ii) actual policy doesn't win elections.

And apparently, on your pat-yourself-on-the-back tour, you have grown unaware of the fact that you are just repeating yourself on this issue ad nauseum.

TM

*I hope you realize that this reality is not something you discovered or even brought to our attention on this board.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-08-2017 06:23 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505692)
This is completely false. If you had paid even the slightest bit of attention to our back-and-forth on this very issue, I conceded the fact that jobs are quickly becoming obsolete all over the place.* Your only responses have been to say (i) actual policy proposals by Hillary and Democrats that have been obstructed that would grant some relief even in the face of an inevitable march to obsolescence (as opposed to the fantasy proposed by Trump) are meaningless because it's only a matter of time and (ii) actual policy doesn't win elections.

And apparently, on your pat-yourself-on-the-back tour, you have grown unaware of the fact that you are just repeating yourself on this issue ad nauseum.

TM

*I hope you realize that this reality is not something you discovered or even brought to our attention on this board.


Just to expand, assuming this is a place where we're not just screaming "Jobs!" and calling it done, but where people actually care about policy (Sebby, you can stop reading), there are actually a wide range of job-focused policy initiatives that have been high priorities on the Democratic side:

(1) higher minimum wages - something the Rs are dead set against that are a fundamental driver of quality of life for many working class Americans;

(2) ACA has turned into a phenomenal jobs program and fees one of the most significant growth industries we have now, and does it across the country; Again, the Rs are dead set against it;

(3) funding for "spark" programs - key initiatives at universities or industry research centers - has always been a democratic initiatives; this is another one where Ds push, Rs obstruct;

(4) Clean energy initiatives, including spark programs; Rs want oil based industry, and would argue that's the jobs expander;

(5) ongoing support for union rights under direct attack from Republicans, especially in places like Wisconsin;

(6) infrastructure programs; this is something traditionally opposed by Rs that Trump is actually pushing, but Ds have pushed for all along;

(7) trade deals that have included provisions requiring union protection and prohibitions on slave and child labor; this is a really key item that you only see under Dem Presidents.

Of course, we could also just look at how jobs have fared under the last Dem and last R presidents.

Replaced_Texan 02-08-2017 06:30 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505693)
Just to expand, assuming this is a place where we're not just screaming "Jobs!" and calling it done, but where people actually care about policy (Sebby, you can stop reading), there are actually a wide range of job-focused policy initiatives that have been high priorities on the Democratic side:

(1) higher minimum wages - something the Rs are dead set against that are a fundamental driver of quality of life for many working class Americans;

(2) ACA has turned into a phenomenal jobs program and fees one of the most significant growth industries we have now, and does it across the country; Again, the Rs are dead set against it;

(3) funding for "spark" programs - key initiatives at universities or industry research centers - has always been a democratic initiatives; this is another one where Ds push, Rs obstruct;

(4) Clean energy initiatives, including spark programs; Rs want oil based industry, and would argue that's the jobs expander;

(5) ongoing support for union rights under direct attack from Republicans, especially in places like Wisconsin;

(6) infrastructure programs; this is something traditionally opposed by Rs that Trump is actually pushing, but Ds have pushed for all along;

(7) trade deals that have included provisions requiring union protection and prohibitions on slave and child labor; this is a really key item that you only see under Dem Presidents.

Of course, we could also just look at how jobs have fared under the last Dem and last R presidents.

Something like this??? http://fuelfix.com/blog/2017/02/08/j...y-on-the-rise/

sebastian_dangerfield 02-08-2017 07:03 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505692)
This is completely false. If you had paid even the slightest bit of attention to our back-and-forth on this very issue, I conceded the fact that jobs are quickly becoming obsolete all over the place.* Your only responses have been to say (i) actual policy proposals by Hillary and Democrats that have been obstructed that would grant some relief even in the face of an inevitable march to obsolescence (as opposed to the fantasy proposed by Trump) are meaningless because it's only a matter of time and (ii) actual policy doesn't win elections.

And apparently, on your pat-yourself-on-the-back tour, you have grown unaware of the fact that you are just repeating yourself on this issue ad nauseum.

TM

*I hope you realize that this reality is not something you discovered or even brought to our attention on this board.

Actual policy save guaranteed income will not work. (Well, war would as well, but that's a total reset situation.)

You're all navel gazing.

And perhaps not you, but a lot of this board (notably Adder) has bitterly refuted the suggestion that tech is destroying jobs and not going to bring anywhere near as many new ones in its wake. I've repeated that as nauseum for years because there remain a number of people here who still believe the "Buggywhip Paradigm" from Econ 101.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-08-2017 07:08 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505693)
Just to expand, assuming this is a place where we're not just screaming "Jobs!" and calling it done, but where people actually care about policy (Sebby, you can stop reading), there are actually a wide range of job-focused policy initiatives that have been high priorities on the Democratic side:

(1) higher minimum wages - something the Rs are dead set against that are a fundamental driver of quality of life for many working class Americans;

(2) ACA has turned into a phenomenal jobs program and fees one of the most significant growth industries we have now, and does it across the country; Again, the Rs are dead set against it;

(3) funding for "spark" programs - key initiatives at universities or industry research centers - has always been a democratic initiatives; this is another one where Ds push, Rs obstruct;

(4) Clean energy initiatives, including spark programs; Rs want oil based industry, and would argue that's the jobs expander;

(5) ongoing support for union rights under direct attack from Republicans, especially in places like Wisconsin;

(6) infrastructure programs; this is something traditionally opposed by Rs that Trump is actually pushing, but Ds have pushed for all along;

(7) trade deals that have included provisions requiring union protection and prohibitions on slave and child labor; this is a really key item that you only see under Dem Presidents.

Of course, we could also just look at how jobs have fared under the last Dem and last R presidents.

Most of this will just accelerate automation.

This is such tired iron, I don't even know where to start. I love infrastructure, but even that is more a feel good/necessity program than actual serious employment fix.

Guaranteed income. Get ready to hear me repeat the shit out of that. Capitalism has hit a rut. And no -- we can't grow our way out of it either. That's the cause of the environmental crises!

sebastian_dangerfield 02-08-2017 07:12 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 505694)

Something like 100x that.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-09-2017 08:35 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Replaced_Texan (Post 505694)

Exactly. Pretty good for a state that has put very little effort in to it. Mass is up to 100K jobs in the sector and we're just getting started: http://www.bizjournals.com/boston/ne...t-time-in.html

There are tech sectors that don't just automate but create new jobs - back when there was a ton of activity digging cables was an example, and solar is another one because of the need for manufacture, installation and upkeep of devices. Solar is probably a more labor-intensive industry than most other energy production methods, so as you see a transition from coal and oil to solar you may well see a net increase in jobs, though they'll be spread out differently.

Also, a real odd counter on employment in some of the red states: we are moving in agriculture toward more labor intensive ag instead of fully automated ag. I was getting a run down on this from a red-state Dem. Senator who also runs an organic farm. He employs significantly more people than his non-organic neighbor. He thinks this will be important to rural employment. (He also noted there will be areas, not including his state, where the pot industry may lead to intensive cultivation rural jobs that are now outsourced to Mexico).

Adder 02-09-2017 10:19 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505683)
One thing Hill missed completely was the need for a campaign focused on shallow unachievable principles rather than detailed ways of improving peoples lives. Because she had like 20 speeches and 30 position papers about how to achieve as much of the above as possible.

"Yes we can"
"Hope and change"
"Make America Great Again"

???

Adder 02-09-2017 10:23 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505687)
She wasn't going to improve the lives of any trump voters.

She was, but not as much as Trump falsely promised. YOU know that.

Quote:

The outlook is beyond bleak.
And again, you're literally saying a thing that people have been saying about technology for millenia. Even specifically as to robotics, you're saying what people have been saying for half a century.

Which isn't to say that automation isn't going to continue to cause big changes. It is, but it's just not going to be the hellscape you're envisioning (by changing one thing while holding everythign else constant).

Quote:

You think any candidate is going to be able to do that within the next decade?
They sure as shit aren't going to be able to as long as stupid people keep equating trying to make incremental improvements with actively doing harm to working people.

Quote:

how this is just like the industrial revolution.
This is just like the industrial revolution, you fricking dolt.

Adder 02-09-2017 10:27 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505695)
And perhaps not you, but a lot of this board (notably Adder) has bitterly refuted the suggestion that tech is destroying jobs and not going to bring anywhere near as many new ones in its wake.

No, you moron, I've disputed that tech is going to leave us with masses of people that won't be able to find work. You do see how that's different, right?

Adder 02-09-2017 10:27 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505696)
Guaranteed income.

You realize that you're going to have to vote for the candidates of the left to get this, right?

ETA: Also, that this is completely incompatable with a top marginal tax rate of 25%?

Icky Thump 02-09-2017 10:32 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 505703)
You realize that you're going to have to vote for the candidates of the left to get this, right?

Guaranteed income, free college, free medical. The person who says that WILL win next time.

Greedy,Greedy,Greedy 02-09-2017 11:01 AM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 505700)
"Yes we can"
"Hope and change"
"Make America Great Again"

???

Hill's was "Better Together"

point made.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-09-2017 12:41 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 505702)
No, you moron, I've disputed that tech is going to leave us with masses of people that won't be able to find work. You do see how that's different, right?

Bullshit. You've repeatedly offered the Econ 101 argument, "Tech and automation will create more jobs over time, just like all new technologies of the past."

And you had to be dragged to the proposition you offered above, after arguing "Everything is great! Unemployment is low and it's all going to work out just as it always does!" for years.

You're revising your position now, for obvious reasons.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-09-2017 12:46 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 505703)
You realize that you're going to have to vote for the candidates of the left to get this, right?

ETA: Also, that this is completely incompatable with a top marginal tax rate of 25%?

Yes.

Scrap all the agencies and people who administer programs (the bureaucratic middlemen) and just give money - and nothing else - to people directly and a shift to guaranteed income pays for itself.

Cost of middleman govt administrator (salary + benefits) is way greater than cost of just giving the person a decent guaranteed income.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-09-2017 12:52 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Adder (Post 505701)
She was, but not as much as Trump falsely promised. YOU know that.



And again, you're literally saying a thing that people have been saying about technology for millenia. Even specifically as to robotics, you're saying what people have been saying for half a century.

Which isn't to say that automation isn't going to continue to cause big changes. It is, but it's just not going to be the hellscape you're envisioning (by changing one thing while holding everythign else constant).



They sure as shit aren't going to be able to as long as stupid people keep equating trying to make incremental improvements with actively doing harm to working people.



This is just like the industrial revolution, you fricking dolt.

She was not. That's ludicrous.

Tech and automation and the demographics of today render your historical comparisons meaningless. It is different this time. Compare the numbers adversely impacted by the industrial revolution, and the labor removing capacity of the tech of that day to the capacity of today's tech. Apples and watermelons. Giant, 600 lb watermelons.

Are you even capable of creative thinking?

sebastian_dangerfield 02-09-2017 12:54 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy (Post 505699)
Exactly. Pretty good for a state that has put very little effort in to it. Mass is up to 100K jobs in the sector and we're just getting started: http://www.bizjournals.com/boston/ne...t-time-in.html

There are tech sectors that don't just automate but create new jobs - back when there was a ton of activity digging cables was an example, and solar is another one because of the need for manufacture, installation and upkeep of devices. Solar is probably a more labor-intensive industry than most other energy production methods, so as you see a transition from coal and oil to solar you may well see a net increase in jobs, though they'll be spread out differently.

Also, a real odd counter on employment in some of the red states: we are moving in agriculture toward more labor intensive ag instead of fully automated ag. I was getting a run down on this from a red-state Dem. Senator who also runs an organic farm. He employs significantly more people than his non-organic neighbor. He thinks this will be important to rural employment. (He also noted there will be areas, not including his state, where the pot industry may lead to intensive cultivation rural jobs that are now outsourced to Mexico).

You know anyone at a fund covering energy? Sing him the song of solar. Ask him how that sector's treated him... how many jobs he thinks that'll create, and how much of the grid it can power at full capacity.

Nuclear. That's the clean energy we need to embrace.

ThurgreedMarshall 02-09-2017 01:58 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505695)
Actual policy save guaranteed income will not work. (Well, war would as well, but that's a total reset situation.)

You're all navel gazing.

This is why it's pointless discussing anything with you. I imagine at every leap in technology throughout history you would have held the same position. You can run screaming like some dim-witted chicken little if you want. The rest of us will try to evolve and create as many jobs in new industries as possible.

TM

Adder 02-09-2017 02:00 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505707)
Bullshit. You've repeatedly offered the Econ 101 argument, "Tech and automation will create more jobs over time, just like all new technologies of the past."

You also know you've stated the Econ 101 argument wrong, right?

Quote:

And you had to be dragged to the proposition you offered above, after arguing "Everything is great! Unemployment is low and it's all going to work out just as it always does!" for years.
I've repeatedly pointed out how there's still slack in labor markets but things have returned to historical norms and thus far appear heading back toward the levels of the recent past.

Meanwhile, you think a couple of million people out of the labor force is the be all and end all of all politics.

Quote:

You're revising your position now, for obvious reasons.
Uh huh.

Adder 02-09-2017 02:01 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505708)
Scrap all the agencies and people who administer programs (the bureaucratic middlemen) and just give money - and nothing else - to people directly and a shift to guaranteed income pays for itself.

You know this is not true, right? Like, you've looked at some numbers??

Adder 02-09-2017 02:03 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505709)
She was not. That's ludicrous.

You could not be a better example of motivated reasoning.

Quote:

Tech and automation and the demographics of today render your historical comparisons meaningless. It is different this time.
That's what they said every other time.

Adder 02-09-2017 02:06 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505710)
how much of the grid it can power at full capacity.

Man, is there anything you're not wrong about? Solar has already won. It's only a matter of time.

Quote:

Nuclear. That's the clean energy we need to embrace.
Now I get it. Like Trump, your view of the world is based on "facts" that are a decade out of date.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-09-2017 03:14 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThurgreedMarshall (Post 505711)
This is why it's pointless discussing anything with you. I imagine at every leap in technology throughout history you would have held the same position. You can run screaming like some dim-witted chicken little if you want. The rest of us will try to evolve and create as many jobs in new industries as possible.

TM

You're missing the point. The aim right now is to totally eliminate labor costs. Robert Reich calls it the "Vicious Cycle."

There. Is. No. One. Trying. To. As. You. Say, "create as many new jobs in as many new industries as possible."

The aim in new industries is to create as much profit as possible by utilizing the cost savings provided by tech. The aim in old industries is to mine out profits by replacing labor with tech.

Labor is a cost to businesses. From a corporate profit perspective, we have stumbled into the Holy Grail. The current tech and automation removes the biggest cost in the way of profits to management and shareholders. Unlike prior labor eliminating advancements, this one rids the balance sheet of white collar management and administrative position costs. It also eliminates professional services costs.

Your statement above aligns you with Trump -- trying to recapture that which no one in corporate America desires.

sebastian_dangerfield 02-09-2017 03:20 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

You also know you've stated the Econ 101 argument wrong, right?
I've repeated what you've stated.

Quote:

I've repeatedly pointed out how there's still slack in labor markets but things have returned to historical norms and thus far appear heading back toward the levels of the recent past.
Yes. It's all normal. Hence, we just elected Trump.

Do we need to have the discussion about the quality of the jobs created right now, wage stagnation, etc. again?

Quote:

Meanwhile, you think a couple of million people out of the labor force is the be all and end all of all politics.
No. I think unemployment is a completely useless metric. Completely and utterly fucking useless. Just like GDP (particularly as recently revised). I think the quality of the jobs being created versus those lost, wage stagnation, and automation are the measures worth examining. And I've a lot of company there. It's only dinosaurs who are even still paying attention to U3 unemployment.

ThurgreedMarshall 02-09-2017 03:30 PM

Re: I used to be disgusted, and now I try to be amused.
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505716)
You're missing the point.

You need to retire these words, set forth in this order, from your vocabulary. You've yet to make a point that isn't embarrassingly obvious.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505716)
The aim right now is to totally eliminate labor costs.

This has always been the goal.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505716)
There. Is. No. One. Trying. To. As. You. Say, "create as many new jobs in as many new industries as possible."

Bullshit. There are entire industries which we should be leading, which we aren't because Republicans refuse to make the necessary investment.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505716)
The aim in new industries is to create as many profits as possible by utilizing the cost savings provided by tech. The aim in old industries is to mine out profits by replacing labor with tech.

You realize that this is the exact same thought, don't you? And, again, this has always been the goal.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505716)
Labor is a cost to businesses.

You sound dumber when you say simplistic shit like it's some sort of revelation.

Quote:

Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield (Post 505716)
Yous statement above aligns you with Trump -- trying to recapture that which no one in corporate America desires.

Your ability to say stupid shit is without equal. I'm tired of it, so go play with Adder.

TM


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