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Originally posted by Mmmm, Burger (C.J.)
Is it too soon to start talking about the Senate and House in 2006? I haven't seen any numbers or calculations about safe seats, but isn't the GOP looking worse and worse?
Social security is going nowhere, and may divide the party between those who want to do something and those who insist that something includes private accounts
We'll still be Iraq come primary time, and there are only meager rumblings from the Hill about getting an exit strategy.
Bush's approval ratings are way low, with only the Hill's lower (thanks Tom Delay, and Bill "video diagnosis" Frist)
Maybe there are enough safe seats, but if the Dems can play things right (and they've shown they can't), it seems like the GOP is ripe for picking.
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What are you, a Bilmore sock? Things could be better for the Rs, but its waaay too early to discount the '06 possibilities. You have Dean in charge of the DNC, making silly statements and trying to raise money one piggy bank at a time. Durbin is up, I think, in '08, but if the Illinois Rs get their act together, he is certainly vulnerable. There are others.
That said, I recently got a fundraising letter from Thune's new PAC. They asked for input on a lot of topics, inlcuding who we would like to see run on the R ticket in '08 (for prez), who we should target in '06 (listing 10 or so Senators from various states), and what issues we should focus on/are important to us.
A pretty good litmus test for me has been the asbestos wars. Feinstein = good. Durbin = Bad. Kennedy = Really, really Bad.
And so on, and so on.
If the Ds can wrangle somebody like Warner in VA to run in '08, I'd give them their strongest odds (and perhaps even greater than 50/50 at the moment). But I can't figure out how they would get a moderate or conservative Dem through to the general election.
Anyway, I'm just sayin. The Rs are making a LOT of fundraising noise about how they've lost seats in the midterm elections during every 2-term R president's second term since 1495 or something. They are mobilizing their base discretely. They are selecting their targets. Meantime, the Ds are stuck with Dean and his mouth til.....
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