Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield
You want to know where we're going with Hillary or Jeb (one of them will win)? Start watching defense contractor stocks. Much of it's probably priced in already, but as you see them solidifying their lock on nominations, you'll see defense contractor equities moving upward quite nicely. Because whichever of the two we get, we're going to get a whole lot more interventions abroad.
Hillary and Bill are seeking a legacy built around ending human rights abuses. And Jeb is-- well, he's an establishment Republican, who's owned by the defense complex.
The non-interventionists are going to hate 2016-2024.
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I agree with you in general, but I think you're missing something. Hillary, like Bill before her, will be about the little wars. Bill will tell you history validates his intervention in the Balkans and that history looks ill on his failure to intervene in Rwanda, and he has a point. Hillary will pick the little wars. But she's not going to pick the big wars. Vietnam remains a Democratic nightmare, the last bigger war we pulled the trigger on. But Iraq is our bogeyman, and Afghanistan is not popular among Dems either. So Hillary is going to be very active policing the globe, but she'll have a couple of Balkans, a Libya or two, maybe even a nice Falklands war for Bill O'Reilly.
The biggest problem the Republicans have with both Iraq wars is that they weren't big enough. Jeb is about the big war. His loser father has a legacy of hangers-on now criticizing the 47 idiots at the very time Tom Cotton's stock is rising in Republican ranks. Jeb needs to give the Rs a big one. One they've been waiting for. Jeb needs an Iran.
