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Old 06-01-2018, 01:10 PM   #11
Adder
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Re: I'm hoping...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sebastian_dangerfield View Post
And I have the right to tell you it's illogical to criticize me for a protest vote where my intent was to protest unacceptable choices.

My aim was to say, "Fuck it. Nope. Not playing this game anymore." It's true I didn't think he'd win. And if I thought he'd win, I'd have agonized over that vote more than I did.

But as much as I respect you and Ty, I was never going to take your opinions over those of thousands of analysts who called the race a month before it was done. Not even the Comey thing made me think he had a chance.

You and Ty and Michael Moore saw the Blue Wall crumbling. That's impressive. But it's also a huge black swan. I love Taleb, but he'd be the first to tell you, it's almost impossible to call those things in advance.
If you act to cause your preferred outcome (or the one that's less bad), then you don't have to worry about your assumptions turning out to be wrong.
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