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07-22-2011, 05:46 PM
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#1696
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
Look, you're the one concluding the cost per job was extraordinarily high, a conclusion neither you nor Michele Bachmann nor Clubby seem to be giving me a source for - I understand why Michele and Clubby don't want to think about the question.
And what is this google-bitch bitch - are you getting lazy on a Friday?
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They are from the CBO, which I referenced yesterday. Read much?
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07-22-2011, 05:47 PM
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#1697
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sidd Finch
Blow me. I didn't cite a specific number. My view that it was inefficient is mostly based on the inherent inefficiency of tax cuts as a job-creating tool.
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Don't go wobbly on me know. You and I are the bi-partisan coalition around here.
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07-22-2011, 05:49 PM
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#1698
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
Posts: 20,182
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sgtclub
They are from the CBO, which I referenced yesterday. Read much?
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You may want to read your CBO report again. This is the Fox interpretation, already rebutted repeatedly.
It's acheived by looking at CBO (or CEA) numbers on total job impact of the bill by the total cost of bill, disregarding any secondary impact. Thus, something not designed to impact jobs, like additional unemployment benefits, is counted in the cost. Same with low impact programs, like the tax cuts that the Rs insisted on.
We expect better from you.
__________________
A wee dram a day!
Last edited by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy; 07-22-2011 at 05:53 PM..
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07-22-2011, 05:51 PM
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#1699
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cletus Miller
As Hank would say, am I on ignore? $1T cost, 4,000,000 jobs. $250,000 per job.
I also believe that Holtz-Eakin or some other ass endorsed the simplistic calculation sometime in January or February of 2009.
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It is more like $850B and 3.5 million saved or created.
Do you have a better way to calculate?
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07-22-2011, 05:55 PM
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#1700
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Wearing the cranky pants
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Pulling your finger
Posts: 7,122
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sgtclub
3.5 million saved or created.
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How do they know? This strikes me as a figure most likely to have been pulled out of someone's ass.
__________________
Boogers!
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07-22-2011, 05:56 PM
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#1701
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
You may want to read your CBO report again. This is the Fox interpretation, already rebutted repeatedly.
It's acheived by looking at CBO (or CEA) numbers on total job impact of the bill by the total cost of bill, disregarding any secondary impact. Thus, something not designed to impact jobs, like additional unemployment benefits, is counted in the cost. Same with low impact programs, like the tax cuts that the Rs insisted on.
We expect better from you.
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http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/defa...rra_report.pdf
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07-22-2011, 05:58 PM
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#1702
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
You may want to read your CBO report again. This is the Fox interpretation, already rebutted repeatedly.
It's acheived by looking at CBO (or CEA) numbers on total job impact of the bill by the total cost of bill, disregarding any secondary impact. Thus, something not designed to impact jobs, like additional unemployment benefits, is counted in the cost. Same with low impact programs, like the tax cuts that the Rs insisted on.
We expect better from you.
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We spent an additional $850B than we would have without the bill. We "saved or created" $3.5 million jobs. You can get your panties in a bunch all you'd like, the facts don't change.
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07-22-2011, 06:01 PM
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#1703
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LessinSF
How do they know? This strikes me as a figure most likely to have been pulled out of someone's ass.
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You are preaching to the choir. No one in the political arena talked about jobs "saved" until 2008. Certainly not in the early Bush era, when the Ds went nuts when unemployment was below 5%.
I've said it before and I'll say it again. I hate both parties. But if someone doesn't stem the one-sided nonsense being spouted around, we might as well all take up permanent residence in an echo chamber.
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07-22-2011, 06:04 PM
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#1704
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
Posts: 20,182
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sgtclub
We spent an additional $850B than we would have without the bill. We "saved or created" $3.5 million jobs. You can get your panties in a bunch all you'd like, the facts don't change.
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Don't like to deal with real facts, huh? You helping Boehner and his tea partiers out with their economics these days?
__________________
A wee dram a day!
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07-22-2011, 06:09 PM
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#1705
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Serenity Now
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Survivor Island
Posts: 7,007
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greedy,Greedy,Greedy
Don't like to deal with real facts, huh? You helping Boehner and his tea partiers out with their economics these days?
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Them are the facts. We spent $850B under the rationale that if we did, unemployment would not exceed 8%. It was sold as a jobs bill. It did not deliver. Crunch the numbers however you like.
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07-22-2011, 06:10 PM
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#1706
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
Posts: 20,182
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LessinSF
How do they know? This strikes me as a figure most likely to have been pulled out of someone's ass.
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Pretty much.
__________________
A wee dram a day!
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07-22-2011, 06:10 PM
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#1707
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Moderasaurus Rex
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 33,080
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by lessinsf
how do they know? This strikes me as a figure most likely to have been pulled out of someone's ass.
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2, but I'm still more interested in knowing whether club or anyone else disagrees with Summers on what the problem is, before we all solve it.
__________________
“It was fortunate that so few men acted according to moral principle, because it was so easy to get principles wrong, and a determined person acting on mistaken principles could really do some damage." - Larissa MacFarquhar
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07-22-2011, 06:15 PM
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#1708
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
Posts: 20,182
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sgtclub
Them are the facts. We spent $850B under the rationale that if we did, unemployment would not exceed 8%. It was sold as a jobs bill. It did not deliver. Crunch the numbers however you like.
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Just to focus on one small point, because I realize the limits of your logical capabilities, I don't think anyone said that extending unemployment benefits would create jobs, did they? How would extending benefits for people not working create jobs?
__________________
A wee dram a day!
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07-22-2011, 06:15 PM
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#1709
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Government Yard in Trenchtown
Posts: 20,182
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tyrone Slothrop
2, but I'm still more interested in knowing whether club or anyone else disagrees with Summers on what the problem is, before we all solve it.
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You're going to distract him. He's too busy not answering my question to not answer yours.
Summers is one bright asshole.
__________________
A wee dram a day!
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07-22-2011, 06:19 PM
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#1710
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I am beyond a rank!
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 17,175
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Re: We're always in the 1970s.
Quote:
Originally Posted by sgtclub
Them are the facts. We spent $850B under the rationale that if we did, unemployment would not exceed 8%.
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Yes, because macroeconomic forecasting is iron-clad and every forecast is a promise upon which you can bank.
Why did you feel the need to obtuse in this particular way?
Quote:
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It was sold as a jobs bill. It did not deliver. Crunch the numbers however you like.
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Things were worse than they thought at the time, and the states reacted more strongly than they expected, thus it didn't work. Brilliant.
Although, honestly, it wasn't that things were worse than they thought, it's that they got the best deal they thought they could get out of Congress (thanks, Sen. Nelson!), rolled it up with a whole bunch of hope and optimism, and pretended like the deal they got was just right!
I read something just today, which I cannot find at the moment, about how all of Obama's economic advisers (I take that to mean Summers and Romer, btw) told him the stimulus was too small but they went with what they could get.
Last edited by Adder; 07-22-2011 at 06:22 PM..
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